FiveThirtyEight’s top politics stories this week

A [FiveThirtyEight]( email [Popular In Politics] Thursday, July 13, 2023 [1. Why Biden Probably Won’t Get A Serious Primary Challenger]( [US President Joe Biden]( It’s July in the year before a presidential election, and a first-term president is running for reelection. Most of the time, nothing about this situation would merit more than a passing acknowledgment: The incumbent would face little intraparty opposition, and the media would be almost entirely focused on the other party’s presidential primary. [Read more]( [2. What Happened In This Year’s Supreme Court Term?]( [SlackChat-AmeliaThomsonDeVeaux-JohnRobertsCushyGig-4×3-v01-ks]( Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. [Read more]( [3. Nonreligious Americans Are The New Abortion Voters]( [US-politics-abortion-RALLY]( When Roe v. Wade was overturned last year, many white evangelical Protestants didn’t just see the Supreme Court’s ruling as a political win — it was a spiritual victory. For decades, religious conservatives have been singularly focused on ending the constitutional right to abortion, a priority that few other demographic groups shared. White evangelical Protestants — a group that has, since the 1980s, voted overwhelmingly for Republicans — were much more likely than other religious groups to say that abortion was a high priority. [Read more]( [4. No Labels Is Chasing A Fantasy]( [NoLabelsBidMainImage_4x3_v01_DG]( There’s not a lot of love for the two-party system. Over the past decade, a majority of Americans have repeatedly told Gallup that the Republican and Democratic parties do such a poor job representing the American people that the country needs a third party. [Read more]( [5. The Supreme Court Killed Biden’s Student Loan Forgiveness Plan. What Does That Mean For 2024?]( [Biggest Cases Loom As Supreme Court Hits Homestretch]( On Friday, the last day of this year’s term, the Supreme Court struck down President Biden’s student loan forgiveness plan. The court concluded in a 6-to-3 ruling that the president overstepped his executive authority by making such a large-scale change to the program via a waiver, as laid out in a 2003 law. Chief Justice John Roberts was joined by the five other Republican appointees to the court. “The [2003 law] provides no authorization for the Secretary’s plan even when examined using the ordinary tools of statutory interpretation — let alone ‘clear congressional authorization’ for such a program,” Roberts wrote. [Read more]( --------------------------------------------------------------- Weekly Listen [Play]( [Politics Podcast: What’s So Special About ‘Bidenomics’?]( [FiveThirtyEight] [View in browser]( [ABC News]( [Unsubscribe]( Our mailing address: FiveThirtyEight, 47 West 66th Street, New York, NY 10023.