FiveThirtyEight’s top politics stories this week

A [FiveThirtyEight]( email [Popular In Politics] Thursday, June 2, 2022 [1. What Went Down During The May 24 Primary Elections]( [2022-MAY-24-LB_4x3-nolive]( [Read more]( [2. The Twisted Logic Behind The Right’s ‘Great Replacement’ Arguments]( [A woman in American flag face paint attends a Save America rally]( Days after a white gunman shot 13 people, killing 10, at a grocery store in a majority-Black neighborhood in Buffalo, New York, Fox News host Tucker Carlson aired a segment about the “great replacement theory.” “We’re still not sure exactly what it is,” Carlson claimed about the racist, white-supremacist conspiracy theory that the population of white Americans is being systematically and intentionally “replaced” by nonwhite immigrants and their children, something the suspected shooter espoused prior to the attack. Yet elements of the theory have been echoed by mainstream figures on the right, including Carlson, as well as GOP members of Congress like Reps. Matt Gaetz and Elise Stefanik, the third-ranking Republican in the House. [Read more]( [3. 11 Primaries To Watch In Alabama, Arkansas, Minnesota And Texas]( [Campaign signs for Rep. Mo Brooks]( Tuesday brings the next big batch of primaries, as voters head to the polls in Alabama, Arkansas and Georgia — plus we get a little bonus electoral action thanks to several runoffs in Texas and a special election in Minnesota. And thanks to former President Donald Trump’s attempt to dislodge multiple incumbents who refused to overturn the 2020 election, Georgia is the election on everyone’s mind this week, but there are even more races of note in the other four states — 11, to be exact. Here’s the lowdown on each of them. [Read more]( [4. We Asked 2,000 Americans About Their Biggest Concern]( [IPSOS-ISSUES-0517_4x3]( In 1935, Gallup first asked Americans what they thought was the most important problem facing the United States. In the midst of the Great Depression, about 3 in 5 Americans mentioned concerns related to the economy. [Read more]( [5. Georgia’s Primaries May Be Trump’s Biggest Test Yet]( [Herschel Walker]( Five states hold primary elections today, but it’s Georgia, with its busy slate of federal and state-level nomination contests, that is most on our minds. (You can read our preview of the other four states’ primaries here.) In total, 10 Georgia primaries have grabbed our attention, and in nearly all of them, the key question is once again whether the candidates endorsed by former President Donald Trump, mostly in connection to his false claim that his narrow loss in Georgia’s 2020 presidential vote was fraudulent, will prevail. Trump has become involved in almost two-thirds of the GOP primaries for U.S. Senate, U.S. House, governor, lieutenant governor, secretary of state and attorney general, making Georgia his most endorsement-heavy state that’s voting today. [Read more]( --------------------------------------------------------------- Forecasts How popular is Joe Biden? [How popular is Joe Biden?]( [See all polls]( --------------------------------------------------------------- Weekly Listen [Play]( [Politics Podcast: Are Democrats Actually In Disarray?]( [FiveThirtyEight] [View in browser]( [ABC News]( [Unsubscribe]( Our mailing address: FiveThirtyEight, 47 West 66th Street, New York, NY 10023.