Why has there been such a striking increase in American overdose deaths during the pandemic? Noa Krawczyk on the consequences of isolation and a fatal contamination of illicit-drug supplies.
 âYouâd need a little fentanyl where youâd need, say, a lot more heroin.â
 The Dose Makes the Poison Why has there been such a striking increase in American overdose deaths during the pandemic? Noa Krawczyk on the consequences of isolation and a fatal contamination of illicit-drug supplies.
  Among the devastating health crises of the COVID-19 pandemic has been a [massive upsurge]( in drug-overdose deaths across the United States. Having risen less than 6 percent between 2018 and 2019, from 68,000 to 72,000, the overdose-death rate spiked by more than 29 percent between 2019 and 2020, to 93,000âand is currently on track to break the 2020 record in 2021. Why is this happening?
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Noa Krawczyk is an assistant professor in the Department of Population Health at New York Universityâs Grossman School of Medicine and a member of NYUâs Center for Opioid Epidemiology and Policy. According to Krawczyk, thereâs a complex set of elements behind these numbers. They include a proliferation of difficulties people have experienced in trying to get treatment during the pandemic; an increase in instances of people using opioids alone, on account of lockdowns and the need for social distancing; mental-health issues and other problems related to the fracturing of social networks. But the most significant factor driving the escalation in overdose deaths, Krawczyk says, is the emergence of the opioid fentanyl in illicit-drug supplies. âWhatâs really important to keep in mind with opioids particularly is that so much of the overdose-death crisis really depends on the drug supply,â she says. âSo, we might be seeing certain areas of the country with higher death rates, and itâs not always due to more drug use, or particular patterns of drug use, but rather to illicit-drug supplies being contaminated with fentanyl.â
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Eve Olivette: Whatâs causing this rise in overdose deaths?
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Noa Krawczyk: Mostly, itâs been driven by illicit fentanyl, a very potent opioidâmuch stronger than other opioids like oxycodone or heroin. Since 2013, weâve seen this substance infiltrate the illicit U.S. drug marketânot only the opioid supply but also the supply of other drugs, such as cocaine and methamphetamines.
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There are few reasons why fentanyl would have become especially dangerous during the pandemic. One is that the pandemic seriously disrupted illicit drug supplies. Many people dependent on opioids were no longer able to their usual supplier, and so ended up accessing more contaminated supplies that contained more fentanyl. So, separately from any rise in drug use, even people who were using the same quantity of drugs were more likely to encounter illicit fentanyl in their supplyâand so were at greater risk of death, just because that fentanyl is so potent.
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Olivette: Why are we seeing illicit drug supplies cut with more fentanyl?
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Krawczyk: There are a couple of theories. One is that, because there were already disruptions to drug-supply chains in certain areas, there were lower quantities of drugs available and so more pressure to cut them with fentanylâessentially to make them stronger. Youâd need a little fentanyl where youâd need, for example, a lot more heroin.
  More from Noa Krawczyk at The Signal:
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âNow weâre at a point that some are even calling the fourth wave of the epidemic, where weâre starting to see a lot more people dying from using other drugsâcocaine or methamphetamines, again, mainly due to the drugsâ contamination with the opioid fentanyl.â
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âThere are a few things in the U.S. and Canada that didnât replicate as much in other places, primarily in the availability of different types of opioids. Prescription opioid use was exponentially greater in North America than anywhere else and in the world, and the supply of other drugsâincluding heroin and fentanylâhas been much larger and more widespread in the U.S., in particular.â
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âWhen people talk about the opioid crisis, thereâs often the perception that itâs almost exclusive to white communities. Over the last two decades, thereâs indeed been a sharp increase in opioid-use disorder and overdose deaths among whites, largely in suburban and rural communities. But in the last few years, opioid-related deaths among Black Americans have been rising even faster than among other communities. Itâs even surpassed rates from other drugs.â
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