Upshot: Are we in a realignment?

Also: The Fox effect [View in browser](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRn5BYOP4Q4AWh0dHBzOi8vbWVzc2FnaW5nLWN1c3RvbS1uZXdzbGV0dGVycy5ueXRpbWVzLmNvbS9keW5hbWljL3JlbmRlcj9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDI0MDMyNSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMTg0NTkmaXNWaWV3SW5Ccm93c2VyPXRydWUmbmw9dGhlLXVwc2hvdCZwYWlkX3JlZ2k9MCZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTYxNzA2JnRlPTEmdXJpPW55dCUzQSUyRiUyRm5ld3NsZXR0ZXIlMkY2NjBmOGQwZC04NGJiLTU5YmItOWQ3MS05OTIyNDYxOTU4MmMmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0Qgpl-w6RAWZJwibEUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~)|[nytimes.com](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRn5BYOP0SuaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTI5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjQwMzI1Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTExODQ1OSZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNjE3MDYmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmX7DpEBZknCJsRSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~)[Continue reading the main story](#) [Ad](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRn5BYOP0SVaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYyMDE0JmxpPVVQJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1VUF8yMDI0MDMyNSZ0ZT0xJm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmZW1jPWVkaXRfdXBfMjAyNDAzMjVXA255dEIKZfsOkQFmScImxFIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) [The Upshot](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRn5BYOP0SzaHR0cDovL3d3dy5ueXRpbWVzLmNvbS91cHNob3Q_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MjkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdXBfMjAyNDAzMjUmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTE4NDU5Jm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE2MTcwNiZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZfsOkQFmScImxFIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) March 25, 2024 [[Article Image] Cody O'Loughlin for The New York Times Are We in the Midst of a Political Realignment? Assessing the level of change in partisan allegiance in recent years, as well as the president’s numbers since the State of the Union. By Nate Cohn](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRn5BYOP0TmaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wMy8yMy91cHNob3QvdHJ1bXAtYmlkZW4tcG9saXRpY2FsLXJlYWxpZ25tZW50Lmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MjkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdXBfMjAyNDAzMjUmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTE4NDU5Jm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE2MTcwNiZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZfsOkQFmScImxFIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) Feedback For suggestions on how we can improve this newsletter, write to [theupshotnewsletter@nytimes.com](mailto:theupshotnewsletter@nytimes.com?subject=Upshot%20Newsletter%20Feedback). If you have a compelling data set you’d like us to pursue, send it to [dear.upshot@nytimes.com](mailto:dear.upshot@nytimes.com?subject=Upshot%20Newsletter%20Feedback). WEEKLY HIGHLIGHTS [[Article Image] Haiyun Jiang for The New York Times](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRn5BYOP0TaaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wMy8yMy91cHNob3QvZm94LXJlcHVibGljYW5zLXRydW1wLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MjkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdXBfMjAyNDAzMjUmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTE4NDU5Jm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE2MTcwNiZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZfsOkQFmScImxFIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) [Republicans Who Do Not Regularly Watch Fox Are Less Likely to Back Trump Survey data shows more of them believe he acted criminally. By Ruth Igielnik](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRn5BYOP0TaaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wMy8yMy91cHNob3QvZm94LXJlcHVibGljYW5zLXRydW1wLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MjkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdXBfMjAyNDAzMjUmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTE4NDU5Jm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE2MTcwNiZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZfsOkQFmScImxFIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) [Article Image](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRn5BYOP0TaaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyNC8wMy8yMi91cHNob3QvZmxhc2hiYWNrLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MjkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdXBfMjAyNDAzMjUmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTE4NDU5Jm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE2MTcwNiZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZfsOkQFmScImxFIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) [Flashback: Your Weekly History Quiz, March 23, 2024 Can you sort 8 historical events?](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRn5BYOP0TaaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyNC8wMy8yMi91cHNob3QvZmxhc2hiYWNrLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MjkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdXBfMjAyNDAzMjUmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTE4NDU5Jm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE2MTcwNiZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZfsOkQFmScImxFIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD)[Continue reading the main story](#a11y-skip-universal-0) ADVERTISEMENT [Ad](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRn5BYOP0SVaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYyMDExJmxpPVVQJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1VUF8yMDI0MDMyNSZ0ZT0xJm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmZW1jPWVkaXRfdXBfMjAyNDAzMjVXA255dEIKZfsOkQFmScImxFIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) We hope you’ve enjoyed this newsletter, which is made possible through subscriber support. 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