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🏆 Week 3 Monday Injury Report

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Mon, Sep 18, 2023 11:44 PM

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The Latest Injury News And Outlook Plus What It Means For Your Team ‌ ‌ ‌

The Latest Injury News And Outlook Plus What It Means For Your Team  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ 09/18/23 ​[Unsubscribe |]( [Read Online]() | [Join]() | [GO PRO](​ Exclusive Subscriber-Only Content ​ Howdy {NAME}, ​ ​I wanted to take a moment to introduce you to Adam Hutchison, our newest addition to the Footballguys team. He's here to provide expert analysis on player injuries and expected outcomes, and how they affect your team. And you all know how significant injuries are. ​ Adam earned his Doctorate in Physical Therapy and is a practicing Physical Therapist. And best of all, he's been an avid fantasy football player for years. He loves to talk about all these things on Twitter at [@TheRealAdam_H](. ​ Adam writes our weekly Monday Injury Report and Gameday Injury Expectations features. You can catch him every Sunday Morning on our Start-Sit/Q&A [Footballguys Fantasy Football Show](. And you can check out all his articles on the Footballguys site [HERE](. ​ So please join me in welcoming Adam to Footballguys. You can follow him on Twitter [@TheRealAdam_H]( [HERE](. ​ Peace, J ​ PS. We're considering sending out the Monday Injury Report to our entire mailing list each week to give you an early advantage on your waivers. Shoot me a reply and let me know what you think. ​ To read the most current version on our site, click ​[HERE​](). Monday Injury Report by Adam Hutchison ​ Week 2 was not any kinder to our fantasy football rosters, and after a difficult Week 1, some fantasy rosters may already be in trouble. Here are some of the major injuries from this past slate of games. Make adjustments where needed and take advantage of all the resources that Footballguys has to offer so that you can recover if your team was afflicted by an injury below. Key: (Position) Player | Injury | My Projection for Return to Play WR [Jaylen Waddle]() | Concussion | Projecting Week 3/4 Return After taking a hard hit to the back of his head Sunday night, [Jaylen Waddle](=) was taken to the blue medical tent to be examined for a concussion. He was later ruled out and did not return. On average, NFL WRs miss one week with concussions, with >75% missing at least one week. Waddle will have to clear the concussion protocol this week in order to return next Sunday. WR [Davante Adams](=) | Concussion | Projecting Week 3/4 Return Similar to [Jaylen Waddle](=), [Davante Adams](=) also sustained a concussion Sunday. Unfortunately, Adams has a concussion history, and minus the year where he had two concussions in the same season, he has typically returned the following week. No concussion is ever the same; thus, he will also be one for fantasy football managers to monitor as the week progresses. Adams' teammate [Jakobi Meyers](=) missed Week 2 with a concussion. QB [Joe Burrow](=) | Calf (Re)Injury | Projecting Week 3 Return The Cincinnati Bengals' offense has gotten off to a really slow start in 2023, and part of the issue may be related to [Joe Burrow](=)'s calf. Typically a 2-3 week injury, Burrow was sidelined ~4.5 weeks in the preseason. Although that time span was maybe skewed because there was no incentive for the Bengals to rush Burrow back in the preseason, it might have been a small glimpse of the severity of the injury. Cincinnati reported Sunday that Burrow re-aggravated his calf injury in their Week 2 loss and that he would be considered "day-to-day." There is also some concern that this could be a multi-week injury. The Bengals are 0-2 and cannot afford to dig themselves into a deeper hole. If Burrow was more of a mobile QB, the effects of this injury could be more significant. For that reason, I think there is chance Burrow continues to play but it could be a bumpy road along the way. RB [Saquon Barkley]() | Ankle Injury | Projecting Week 6 Return ​[Saquon Barkley]() exited late in Sunday's game vs. Arizona with a right ankle injury, and by video, the mechanism fit a high ankle sprain: [twitter profile avatar] Adam Hutchison [Twitter Logo] [Twitter Logo] @TheRealAdam_H [Saquon Barkley Injury Video Unsure exactly what it is but this is a textbook mechanism for a high ankle sprain IF that is the case. Average time missed is 4 weeks for RBs with an 18% in production rest of season]( [video] 6:9 PM • Sep 17, 2023 7 Retweets 40 Likes [Read 5 replies]( ​ Obviously, video is never diagnostic, but here is what we do know. X-rays of Barkely's ankle were negative - perfect. This means there is no fracture. Additionally, Brian Daboll, according to NFL Insider Ian Rapoport, is "hopeful" regarding Barkely's ankle, and there are some hopes that Barkely is not dealing with a high ankle sprain. Even with all of this information, I do not think Barkley will play Week 3, as the Giants have the Thursday night game. Regarding the two most likely injuries, here is what Barkley managers need to know. If it is a high ankle, this can be a 3-4 week injury. RBs who miss time see an 18% decline in fantasy points per game for the rest of the season (ROS). It's worth noting that Barkley had a high ankle sprain in 2019, and he was one of the few outliers, as his ROS production only dipped by 6%. If it is a classic ankle sprain - the average time missed is 1-2 weeks. In the next three games after a player returns, fantasy production also decreases by 16.5% but returns to normal afterward. Monday Update: Adam Schefter reporting that Barkley is dealing with an "ordinary" ankle sprain. Use the "classic ankle sprain" data above for Barkley. It sounds like New York is eyeing a Week 6 return. WR [Amon-Ra St. Brown]() | Possible Toe Injury | Projecting Week 3 Return Although the Lions have not officially come out and said that [Amon-Ra St. Brown]() is dealing with a toe/turf toe injury, there is a lot of speculation growing online, and I believe that it warrants at least a discussion. [twitter profile avatar] Matthew Betz [Twitter Logo] [Twitter Logo] @TheFantasyPT [Will be monitoring this situation closely this week. Amon-Ra St. Brown looked to injure that right big toe yesterday. Looks like classic turf toe mechanism.](=) [video] 11:44 AM • Sep 18, 2023 10 Retweets 229 Likes [Read 18 replies](=) ​ The mechanism of injury certainly fits that of turf toe, and there is even additional video of St. Brown getting a plate put in his shoe, which could also hint at a turf toe issue. Turf toe injuries are difficult injuries for WRs. Of the 19 most common NFL WR injuries I've collected data on, it is one of the 7 that average time missed is >3 weeks (reinforcing the difficulty this injury causes). Post-injury over a 3-game sample WR fantasy production takes a hit - dropping by 13% over that time period. That doesn't sound terrible, but this is weighted because 87% of WRs with turf toe in my database missed time, suggesting they have had adequate time to heal/recover. I am projecting St. Brown plays next week because he played through the injury in Week 2, but this is a murky situation. Because of it, that top-end upside fantasy managers have been accustomed to might not be there with St. Brown. Detroit does not have a bye until Week 9, so it might be up-and-down until then, with a decent chance that St. Brown misses a few games over that span. RB [David Montgomery](=) | Thigh Injury - Contusion | Projecting Week 5 Return ​[David Montgomery](=) was unable to finish Sunday's game with a thigh injury, and when video surfaced of him being carted to the locker room, some fantasy managers may have gotten nervous. Although no injury is "good news", it does appear that Montgomery avoided a long-term injury. Reporters are diagnosing him with a quadriceps contusion. Montgomery himself told the Detroit press that he would miss "a couple of weeks", but rarely do these injuries linger beyond 2 weeks. There is a good chance he will be back by Week 5. WR [Brandon Aiyuk](=) | Shoulder Injury | Projecting Week 4 Return ​[Brandon Aiyuk](=) appeared to injure his left shoulder early in the game Sunday, and video showed him in discomfort on the sidelines. Aiyuk ended up finishing the game but only played 53% of the 49er's team snaps. By video, Aiyuk could be dealing with an AC joint sprain. There is evidence of some players playing through this injury during the game, but afterward, swelling and pain increase and could result in time missed. The 49ers also play on Thursday, so this also hampers his chances of playing through injury. Right now, signs point to time missed. QB [Anthony Richardson]( | Concussion | Projecting Week 4 Return ​[Anthony Richardson]( is in the NFL's concussion protocol after hitting his head on the turf after his second rushing TD of the day. Compared to RBs and WRs, for whatever reason, QBs tend to miss more time with concussions. Relying on the data tells us that Richardson misses Week 3. WR [DK Metcalf](=) | Rib Injury | Projecting Week 3 Return After a blow to his torso, [DK Metcalf](=) left the game with a rib injury, but he did return and finish the contest. The fact that Metcalf was able to return suggests that he does not have a fracture, but similar to Bradon Aiyuk's injury situation, Metcalf's pain will likely increase this week. He very well could miss practices and be limited, but assuming he can manage the pain, he should suit up for Week 3. WR [Odell Beckham Jr](=) | Ankle Injury | Projecting Week 4 Return ​[Odell Beckham Jr](=) did not finish Sunday's game at Cincinnati due to an ankle injury, but Jim Harbaugh called his injury "minor." Wide receivers average 2 weeks missed, with 48% missing no time at all. Given his injury history, age, and the fact that he was unable to finish the game, it's very possible Beckham will sit next week. RB [Chase Edmonds](=) | MCL Sprain | Projecting Week 6 Return ​[Chase Edmonds](=) is going to miss time with an MCL sprain. He was not relevant in most fantasy football leagues, but if you roster [Rachaad White](=) and need his handcuff, [Sean Tucker]() figures to be the next man up. [READ ON OUR SITE]() ​ Thanks for reading, and thanks for being a Footballguys Premium Subscriber. [avatar] Joe Bryant Guide ​ ​ ​ ​ [[twitter]​]()[[facebook]​]([[discord]​]()[[youtube]​]()[[instagram]​]() Written By Joe Bryant. News by Sigmund Bloom and Cecil Lammey Was this email forwarded to you? [Sign Up here]()​ ​[Advertise with us]()and get your brand in front of 600,000+ football fans [GO PRO]( [PODCASTS](=) [COMMUNITY]() [SHOP]() [CONTACT US]() You’re subscribed as [{EMAIL}](=) . [Unsubscribe here](​ Copyright @ 2023 Sportsguys, LLC. 118 N Peters Road, Suite 208. Knoxville, TN 37922 ​

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