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🏆 The Pre-Draft Bloom 100 Plus A Footballguys Discount

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And Join Us LIVE This Thursday Night For Round One ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ?

And Join Us LIVE This Thursday Night For Round One  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ [Footballguys Email Updates](=) [Go PRO]() | [View Online](=) [Unsubscribe]( | [Sign Up]() [Footballguys.com](=)Daily Email Update • Vol. 25, #19 • Apr. 25th 2023 --------------------------------------------------------------- Thanks To Our Sponsor, [Footballguys 2023 NFL Draft LIVE!](=) Howdy {NAME}, The Draft is almost here. And not a moment too soon. Our Sigmund Bloom kicks off the week for us with his much-anticipated [Bloom Pre-Draft 100](). Read on below for all the goodness. Plus, it looks like Aaron Rodgers will finally be a Jet. Just in time to wreck all our mock drafts... But that won't stop us from celebrating this week with a [Draft Week Special Discount on our Footballguys Premium Subscriptions](=). Check out the details below! Let's Go. J PS. Please join us LIVE this Thursday night on our Footballguys YouTube channel for our [Live NFL Draft Show](=). We'll break down the first round with you pick by pick. Our Sigmund Bloom, Matt Waldman, and Jason Wood will be joined by special guests through the night. We'll roll into the Preseason in style, plus we'll have some free [Footballguys Premium Subscriptions]( to give away. --------------------------------------------------------------- [Footballguys 2023 NFL Draft LIVE!](=) Sponsored by [Footballguys 2023 NFL Draft LIVE!](=) [HANG OUT AND WATCH ROUND ONE WITH US](=) [Join Footballguys for the best LIVE 2023 NFL Draft analysis you can find.](=) Our expert fantasy analysts, Sigmund Bloom, Matt Waldman, and Jason Wood are back again this year to cover the entire first round, with guest appearances from our Footballguys Staff and other fantasy experts from around the industry. [Tune in this Thursday ee4/27 at 7:45pm ET](=) for live, instant reactions to every pick plus in-depth analysis of what this draft means for your upcoming fantasy football season. Plus, get multiple chances to win a [2023 Footballguys Premium Subscription]( just for hanging out with us in chat. Visit the video link [HERE](=) and hit the "Notify Me" button to make sure you don't miss out. And if you're not already riding with us, be sure to subscribe to the [Footballguys Youtube channel](=) for daily videos from our team of fantasy experts. [SET YOUR NOTIFICATION NOW](=) --------------------------------------------------------------- SITE NEWS A. [Understanding QB Values in Dynasty League Startups](=) Kevin Coleman breaks down how to approach drafting quarterbacks in a Superflex startup draft. B. [Understanding the Value of TEs in your Dynasty Startup Draft]() Ryan Weisse takes a look at the value of tight ends in different stages of a dynasty startup draft. C. [Where Are the Rookie TEs Going to Play?](=) Jordan McNamara looks at the potential landing spots of this year's top rookie tight ends based on team needs and market trends. D. [The Top 5 Landing Spots for C.J. Stroud]() Ben Cummins looks at the top five landing spots for C.J. Stroud. E. [Where Do You Want Jaxon Smith-Njigba to Play?]() Ben Cummins looks at the top five landing spots for Jaxon Smith-Njigba. F. [The Best Spots for Zach Charbonnet to Land]() Ben Cummins looks at the top five landing spots for Zach Charbonnet. G. [Clearing Roster Fodder to Gain Backup RBs]( Unstartable players can weigh down your dynasty roster. Jordan McNamara offers a way to clean it up. H. [Who will New Orleans and other NFC South Teams Draft?](=) Jeff Bell identifies offensive roster needs in the NFC South entering the 2023 NFL draft to identify dynasty buy-low trade targets. I. [Who will New England and other AFC East Teams Draft?]( Jeff Bell identifies offensive roster needs in the AFC East entering the 2023 NFL draft to identify dynasty buy-low trade targets. J. [Draft Week Discount - 10% Off Footballguys Premium Subscriptions](=)Celebrate Draft Week and start prepping for Fantasy Domination with [10% off all Footballguys Premium Subscriptions](=). [Footballguys Draft Week Discount - 10% Off All Premium Subscriptions](=) NFL Draft Week is here, and that means fantasy football season is officially upon us. A new class of rookies is looking to crack their teams' starting lineup -- and ours. Our league group chats are blowing up again, and it’s starting to feel a little like Christmas. And we’re celebrating with [10% OFF](=) all Footballguys subscriptions. [🔥 CLICK HERE TO SAVE 10% 🔥](=) But this week isn't just about celebrating; it's also your chance to gear up for Fantasy Domination in 2023. Winning championships requires smart moves -- on draft day, when working the waiver wire, and in selecting your winning lineups. That all starts now -- with good preparation. Let us help you Win More At Fantasy Football with a [Footballguys Premium Subscription](=). 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[👉 SAVE 10% NOW 👈](=) [] --------------------------------------------------------------- [The Pre-Draft Bloom 100: #1 - #20]() by Sigmund Bloom Exclusive to Footballguys.com --------------------------------------------------------------- With less than a week to go, it’s time to stop speculating and start getting ready to absorb, react to, and act on everything that happens in Kansas City next Thursday, Friday, and Saturday. For a lot of us, a big part of that is our dynasty rookie drafts. For the 18th time, I’m bringing you my top 100 players for fantasy leagues (including IDPs!). As always, [we'll be joined by Matt Waldman, Jason Wood, and a ton of guests to broadcast and react live to the first round on our YouTube channel](, and I’ll be updating this for draft capital and destination by Tuesday after the draft. The Bloom 100 is ranked with the following type of dynasty fantasy football league in mind: - Full IDP lineups, including DT and CB - PPR, start 3 WR - Deep lineups and rosters Quick Links - [The Bloom 100 Players - 1-20]() - [The Bloom 100 Players - 21-40]( - [The Bloom 100 Players - 41-60]( - [The Bloom 100 Players - 61-80]( - [The Bloom 100 Players - 81-100](=) How are the classes per position? QB: Two safe but flawed prospects and three boom/bust prospects lead the way, with the best athlete we have ever seen at the position headlining. RB: The albino tiger - a three-down back from day one - leads the way, with a strong player in the new paradigm of a fantasy stud who supplements 12-15 carries a game with a big passing game presence trailing just behind. After that, a huge amalgam of 3rd-5th round types will sort themselves out based on opportunity and draft capital. WR: This class lacks the star power of the last two and doesn’t have a classic #1 outside receiver prospect, but there are lots of intriguing talents with holes in their game that will go in the first two rounds and a big group of players who can be solid role players whose fantasy value will depend on the quality of their offenses as much as it will depend on their development. TE: Maybe the best class in my time doing this, and just in time as the league moves back to power running, which favors two tight end sets. There’s not a future [Travis Kelce]( in this class, but there could be a [Darren Waller](=), [George Kittle](=), [Mark Andrews](, and more. DT: Three prospects at the top of this class could become instant fantasy studs. If your league prioritizes this position, pay attention. EDGE: With the new true position approach in IDP leagues that should eliminate the value fluctuation based on whether edge defenders land in 3-4 or 4-3 or line up more in a two-point or three-point stance, this group should be valuable, but then again, true position should make the available pool of players at EDGE larger, so the two seemingly cancel each other with a small boost to edge players this year because we don’t have to worry about their value being torpedoed by being designated as a linebacker. LB: There are three strong prospects, a late bloomer who is ascending, and then not too much. This position is going to be a premium after being plentiful in years past. CB: We should get 4-6 players who are startable from day one under the “rookie corner” rule. S: There’s no elite prospect, but four or five who could be fantasy relevant, including a couple of whom will be disappointing if they aren’t. IS THIS A GOOD ROOKIE CLASS FOR DYNASTY LEAGUES? Well, it depends on your format. Superflex: After the drought last year, the first half of the first-round picks in rookie drafts will be worth more because of the likelihood of 4-5 quarterbacks going in the first round, 2-3 of which will add a lot of value as runners. Tight End Premium: A fantasy bonanza with prospects through the first 4-5 rounds who could be fantasy relevant, and at least 3-4 who could be top 6-8 at the position within 2-3 years (which isn’t exactly a high bar). Traditional PPR: Subpar compared to previous classes lacking an elite wide receiver prospect and maybe even a wide receiver prospect who would be in last year’s top five. The running back class is stocked with players who should have short runs of fantasy value and sporadic hits as committee members. However, few will have lasting and consistent value. Big Play IDP: The strength at EDGE should help boost the value of this class. Tackle-heavy IDP: The lack of off-ball linebackers and box safety rack up the tackles types diminishes the value of this year’s crop. --------------------------------------------------------------- [100% Deposit Match Up To $100 At Underdog Fantasy]( --------------------------------------------------------------- Pre-draft Strategy Cheatsheet - Be willing to overpay to trade up to #1. There’s a good argument that [Bijan Robinson]() will be the #1 dynasty running back from the moment his name is announced, no matter where he lands. If someone is willing to give up the #1 pick, they are probably not getting enough for it. - There’s a big gap between [Anthony Richardson]( and the rest of the quarterback class in terms of fantasy upside. Be willing to trade up for him, especially if he falls in the draft, which triggers falls in fantasy drafts. Even if the NFL is unsure about him, that doesn’t change the fact that he has the potential to be as impactful as any fantasy quarterback since Michael Vick. - The top three wideouts are closely packed. If you can recoup picks to move down a spot or two before any are taken, you’re almost getting the picks for free. - [Dalton Kincaid]() is the only tight end worth a first-round pick in rookie drafts. If you miss on him, be patient about getting a tight end (or two), as the next (large) tier is more tightly packed for fantasy than their spread of draft slots will indicate. - The second and third tiers at wide receiver and running back are level, and the third tiers are especially deep. There will be a wide range of opinions and rankings. Because of this, there’s not a huge dropoff from the late first in non-Superflex leagues to the late second. There’s also not a huge dropoff from the early third to fourth or even fifth round. Be more willing than ever to trade down once your draft is past the first seven to eight picks. - The premium IDPs are well above the rest of the class, and the offensive classes are deep at almost every position. Break ties in the early rounds in favor of IDPs. - Remember to adjust rankings for your league’s scoring and lineup settings! This list will look very different after the draft, as this class has bigger and more tightly packed tiers than in recent years. --------------------------------------------------------------- FOOTBALLGUYS PICKS DOMINATE YOUR FRIENDS WITH A FOOTBALLGUYS PREMIUM SUBSCRIPTION - Consistently winning at Fantasy Football is hard. And losing sucks. We have the secret weapon you need in a Footballguys Premium Subscription. We do the work so you can do the winning. And as always, we have a 30-day Moneyback Guarantee so there's zero risk. [Join Now](=) --------------------------------------------------------------- LOOKING FOR EVEN MORE FANTASY FOOTBALL CONTENT? - Matthew Berry's RotoPass bundles together premium subscriptions from Footballguys, RotoWire, RotoViz, DLF, and more at a steep discount. [Sign Up Now](=) --------------------------------------------------------------- FOOTBALLGUYS GEAR IS HERE! - We're proud of what we put together here for you and we're thankful and appreciative when our Footballguys Family represents. And if you're reading this, it's a safe bet to assume you're dominating your league. Now you can look the part too. [Shop Now]( --------------------------------------------------------------- The Pre Draft Bloom 100: 1-20 1. [Bijan Robinson]() (RB-Texas) - Robinson is a three-down back from day one, which is not something we get in every NFL draft. He is a highly advanced receiver and a runner that blends speed, power, quickness, vision, and toughness in a rare package. Not since 2018, when [Saquon Barkley]() went #4 (Will he be the last running back ever to go in the top five of the draft?) and no other running back or wide receiver went in the top 20, will there be such a significant gap between the value of the #1 and #2 pick in 1QB league rookie drafts. Not that that means there will be a gap in three, four, or five years, as at least Gibbs and Richardson can easily attain first-round pick redraft value, but Robinson’s floor gives him a big edge right now. It’s hard to say exactly what it will take to move up to #1 in your rookie draft, but it never hurts to ask. TIER BREAK 2. [Jahmyr Gibbs]( (RB-Alabama) - Gibbs combination of speed, quickness, and route-running ability make it easier to overlook how his 5-foot-9, 199-pound frame could make him a committee back in the NFL - after all, he was a committee back at Alabama with only 151 carries last season. In the PPR era of fantasy football, Gibbs can still hit first-round redraft value because of his advanced contributions in the passing game, along with his big-play ability as a runner. Don’t be surprised if he gets into the first round of the NFL Draft, which will cement his value as the #2 pick in 1QB leagues and help increase the value of the top five to six picks in Superflex rookie drafts. 3. [Jaxon Smith-Njigba]( (WR-Ohio State) - Smith-Njigba is a master route runner with elite quickness who set a Big Ten record for receiving yards in a season. His hands are also among the best in the class, and he just understands how to manipulate defenders. Smith-Njigba isn’t a burner and is going to be at his best operating out of the slot, but that shouldn’t prevent him from becoming an instant primary target wherever he lands. Addison and Flowers probably have a better shot of being an inside/outside NFL receiver, but as Matt Waldman laid out in the RSP, Smith-Njigba has a chance to follow in the footsteps of [Cooper Kupp]() and [Michael Thomas](), among others, as an elite fantasy receiver who operates mainly from the slot. 4. [Jordan Addison]() (WR-USC) - Addison has the combination of route-running prowess and vertical speed to get open at all three levels of the field and keep defenders on their heels. This helps offset the concerns that his 5-foot-11, 173-pound frame will only fit in as a slot receiver in the pros. His 29 touchdowns and game after the catch shows that his lack of a big frame might not limit his production. He should be a top-five pick in rookie drafts. 5. [Zay Flowers]() (WR-Boston College) - Flowers is elusive in his routes and after the catch and will frustrate defenders who try to stick with him. Like the other top receivers in this class, he doesn’t have a classic WR1 build at 5’9” 182, but that shouldn’t keep him from being a threat downfield. There’s not a lot of separation between Smith-Njigba, Addison, and Flowers in terms of ranges of outcomes, so if you get him as the third off of the board of the three, you got good value for your mid-first-round rookie pick. 6. [Anthony Richardson]( (QB-Florida) - Richardson could be in for a draft day slide, but that could be a blessing in disguise because it will lower expectations early in his career and keep his team from forcing him on the field too early. Whether you believe in his ability to progress as a passer, Richardson is the best athlete in this draft at any position. His fantasy ceiling is a difference-maker on the level of [Josh Allen](=). Like Allen, his accuracy can improve with more experience. Matt Waldman was all over [Patrick Mahomes II]( pre-draft, and he wrote about Richardson “Imagine a quarterback who is as fast as [Justin Fields](=), but 17 pounds heavier, has a vertical explosion of 40 inches and has a more nuanced understanding of how to manipulate coverage despite playing 12 fewer games in college”. His ceiling is an unfair advantage in fantasy football that makes up for a lot of warts in your lineup. Note that the Bloom 100 is based on 1QB scoring systems and not Superflex. In Superflex scoring, Richardson would be the #2 pick. And in Superflex leagues, his potential makes the #2 pick almost as valuable as the #1 pick (which is still [Bijan Robinson]()). 7. [Quentin Johnston](=) (WR-TCU) - Johnston’s size/speed combination will get him into the first round, but his hands and route-running are not first-round quality. He has a second gear and can create big plays after the catch. Johnston will also make plays at the catch point, but he’s not a bully with a my-ball mentality despite his 6-foot-3 frame. With improvement, he’ll be the most valuable wideout in this class and worthy of a higher pick in hindsight. He could also be frustrating and never live up to his potential. 8. [Will Anderson Jr](=) Jr. (EDGE-Alabama) - Anderson started as a true freshman for the Crimson Tide and only got better from there. Only Derrick Thomas had more career tackles for loss and sacks, and no Alabama player was a consensus All-American in back-to-back seasons before Anderson did it in 2021 and 2022. He is an advanced player against the run, and with the new true position designation in IDP leagues, he should instantly be one of the most valuable edge players in your league. 9. [Drew Sanders]( (LB-Arkansas) - Sanders is likely to be the #1 off-ball linebacker off of the board, and he has a chance to go in the first round. He also has pass rush chops (9.5 sacks in 2022 - only [Will Anderson Jr](=) had more among SEC defenders) and makes plays in pass coverage. If he becomes a surer tackler, he could be one of the most valuable linebackers in IDP leagues. TIER BREAK 10. [Dalton Kincaid]() (TE-Utah) - Dane Brugler said there’s an argument that Kincaid is the best pass catcher in this class, wide receivers included. That should make a big separation between him and the rest of the tight ends on your board. He was originally focused on basketball, but his buddies lobbied for him to join the football team in his senior year. You can see the basketball player in his game at the catch point, but he’s also a great route runner and threat after the catch. It won’t be a surprise if he’s a top 3-5 fantasy tight end by year three of his career. 11. [Cedric Tillman]() (WR-Tennessee) - Tillman probably won’t go ahead of his teammate, [Jalin Hyatt](), in the NFL draft, but he’s a better investment in fantasy leagues. He’s a formidable 6-foot-3, 213-pounder with great hands and the speed to surprise cornerbacks downfield. Press coverage and physical approaches from NFL corners won’t faze him. Tillman can add value after the catch, and the weakness in his route tree won’t matter as much because he projects as an outside starter who wins with size and good hands. He’s a safe pick who might not have been available outside of the first round of rookie drafts if he hadn’t hurt his ankle last year. 12. [Jack Campbell](=) (LB-Iowa) - Campbell is a high-end athlete with a large enough frame that Iowa considered moving him to defensive end early in his career. He was highly productive as a middle linebacker and will be a three-down player with a nose for the ball in zone coverage. Give him a bump up in the rankings in tackle-heavy leagues. TIER BREAK 13. [Tyjae Spears]( (RB-Tulane) - Matt Waldman tossed out the name Jamaal Charles when describing Spears’ game, and that’s enough to get my attention in the first round of rookie drafts. He’s quick and agile and doesn’t lose speed through changes of direction. He also has good patience and vision, creating more broken tackles than you’d expect from a 200-pound back, enough to score 19 touchdowns in 2022. His size could doom him to a committee-back role, but even a team with a plan to use him in a part-time role could have their mind changed quickly. 14. [Kayshon Boutte]() (WR-LSU) - Don’t let Boutte’s poor combine throw you off. He didn’t look like a below-average NFL athlete in the SEC. In fact, he set the SEC single-game receiving yards record as a freshman. His career went off track after a broken ankle in his second year, but he was on track to top his outstanding freshman year before the injury. He has the ball skills and game after the catch to drive defenses crazy, but his inconsistencies could (and did) drive his coaches crazy. It’s possible that his ankle keeps him from ever becoming the player he was on track to be before the injury. The chance that he does makes him an easy call in the late second round of rookie drafts. 15. [Bryce Young]() (QB-Alabama) - Young was the rare Alabama quarterback that carried the offense, and he wasn’t helped as much by his surrounding as the long line of Crimson Tide passers who didn’t amount to anything in the pros. His processor and fearless approach to pocket management are both high-end and the reason that he’ll go #1 despite instantly becoming the smallest starting quarterback in the league. Young won’t add much as a runner, but he could be a top-end producer as a passer, so if your scoring system boosts passing production, move him up on your list. In Superflex drafts, he should go top three, or even top two for the risk averse. 16. [Josh Downs](=) (WR-North Carolina) - Downs was ultra-productive the last two years, but he is undersized and projects as a slot-only receiver, so his fantasy value will be tied to how much his offense stresses the position in the passing game. He has the quicks and route-running chops to get free against NFL corners, but he’ll also have to deal with more physical coverage that will test his ability to translate his production to his pro career. Downs will probably go in the top 40-50 picks of the draft, which means he won’t be falling anywhere near this far in rookie drafts. 17. [Zach Charbonnet]( (RB-UCLA) - Charbonnet could be a three-down back, and he adds yards after contact with his balance, strong churning legs, and pad level. He’s not going to be a big-play back, but fantasy value along the lines of a [David Montgomery](=) is within his range of outcomes, which isn’t bad for a player who should be available in the second half of the first round of rookie drafts but isn’t very exciting either. 18. [Zach Evans](=) (RB-Ole Miss) - Evans has instant acceleration and a penchant for the big play, with a physical edge once he gets into the open field. He’s also good in pass protection, which can get a young back on the field earlier than his peers. Matt Waldman called him “the best overall decision-maker in this class,” which means he gets the most out of his athleticism. He does have some durability concerns, so if it seems like the NFL is reluctant to commit to him, you should let him fall and hope to snag him in the third round, where I was recently able to get him in a rookie mock with industry vets like Mike Clay, Evan Silva, and Matthew Berry. 19. [Trenton Simpson]( (LB-Clemson) - Simpson has the highest ceiling of the top three off-ball linebackers in this class, but he also has the lowest floor. He’s hard-nosed, aggressive, and very athletic (4.43 40, 40.5” vertical), but he also lacks advanced instincts to sniff out plays. He can produce as a blitzer and should be able to neutralize athletic tight ends, but he wasn’t as productive as Sanders or Campbell in college, and you can’t be sure that his numbers will grow to match his potential. 20. [Jalin Hyatt]() (WR-Tennessee) - Hyatt will go high in the draft, perhaps in the first round, but it will be on the value of his straight-line speed and ability to go up and get the ball. That might be enough to justify an NFL team spending a high pick on him, but it’s questionable whether he’ll justify a first-round pick in rookie drafts unless the rest of his game comes into focus in the pros, which is a big ask. Whether to take Hyatt will come down to whether his landing spot is conducive to creating quality opportunities in the deep passing game. Hyatt’s fantasy outlook isn’t that different than Henry Ruggs' when he came out, which means he’ll probably be overdrafted in fantasy because the NFL puts such a premium on deep speed at wide receiver. --------------------------------------------------------------- That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for reading and thanks for being part of the Footballguys Family. Peace, J [Win More At Fantasy Football With A Premium Subscription From Footballguys.com]( Footballguys Rewards - Be A Hero - Share The Love - Get Cool Swag - Share the Footballguys Daily Update -> Earn Rewards Have friends who'd love our newsletter too? Want free stuff? Give them your unique referral link (below) and get an awesome reward when they subscribe and confirm their email. 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