🏆 The NFL News You Need This Week

[Footballguys Email Updates](=) [Go PRO]() | [View Online](=) [Unsubscribe]( | [Sign Up]() [Footballguys.com](=)Daily Email Update • Vol. 25, #12 • Mar. 2th 2023 --------------------------------------------------------------- Thanks To Our Sponsor, [BetterHelp]() Howdy {NAME}, It's baseball season! Enjoy the festivities and the basketball Final Four and we'll keep you covered with everything you need to know for the NFL. We've got a ton of great new content for you plus our Sigmund Bloom has this week in news. You can read it below or [jump to it on the Footballguys site HERE](). Also, can I ask a favor? One that also includes a chance to win a free 2023 Footballguys Hall of Fame subscription? We'd love your help if you can spare a couple of minutes to share your thoughts on our survey with what you're looking for in season-long fantasy football contests. Please [check it out HERE](. There are no wrong answers. I'm just looking for your insight. At the end of the survey, we also are giving folks a chance to be part of our Footballguys Contest Advisory Team. Plus a chance to enter for the free subscription. Your opinions matter to me so thanks for sharing. Now let's get the awesome content from this week including an excellent feature from our Christian Williams. He identifies the running backs entering the 2023 season whose 2022 statistics best match those of a prototypical top 12 fantasy-scoring NFL RB. Let's Go. J PS. Please welcome our newest Footballguys Sponsor, [BetterHelp](). This one is incredibly easy for me to promote as it's a topic near and dear to me: Mental Health. If you've read much of my content, you know as much as I love football, I'm much more about the really important things in life. And [BetterHelp]() is about helping people get mentally healthy. 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Give therapy a try without the hassle or headache so you can focus on what matters most: getting the help you deserve. [Get Started With 25% Off On Your First Month]() --------------------------------------------------------------- SITE NEWS A. [The Dynasty Investor: An Intro to Value](=) Please welcome our newest Footballguys Staffer, Jay Stein as he introduces The Dynasty Investor, a new way to look at value in Dynasty fantasy football, and gives you his top buys and sells. B. [The Archetype of a Top-12 RB](=) Christian Williams talks about using data to identify the archetype of a top-12 running back in fantasy football. C. [Roundtable: Post Free Agency Dynasty RB Risers](=) Our staff discusses running backs with Dynasty value trending upwards following NFL free agency. D. [Roundtable: Post Free Agency Dynasty RB Fallers]() Our staff discusses running backs with Dynasty value trending down following NFL free agency. E. 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[] --------------------------------------------------------------- [The Week in NFL News - 3/30]() by Sigmund Bloom Exclusive to Footballguys.com --------------------------------------------------------------- AFC News from the Past Week Baltimore QB [Lamar Jackson](=) announced via Twitter that he requested a trade on March 2 and that the Ravens have “not been interested in meeting my value.” Why It Matters: Jackson going public with the trade request three-plus weeks after making it and right before John Harbaugh’s scheduled time with the media at the league’s spring meetings would seem to make a trade more likely, but it’s hard to say exactly how likely a deal is at this point. The team that acquires Jackson might need to offer a fully guaranteed contract like the one [Deshaun Watson]() got. The Ravens are putting in a new offense, and it’s unclear if Jackson will attend OTAs or camp to be part of new offensive coordinator Todd Monken’s install. Teams are through the first and second waves of free agency and ready to prepare for the season with what they have right now, so they might be conservative about rearranging everything to make room for Jackson. Then again, the Jets appear to be doing that for the winter years of [Aaron Rodgers](=)' career. If no trade happens, we have to wonder if Jackson will try to force the team’s hand a la Le’Veon Bell and sit out the season. Only Indianapolis has expressed interest, so we must consider whether this will remain unresolved through the summer and incorporate that uncertainty into the projections for this offense. The Ravens signed WR [Nelson Agholor]() (New England) to a one-year, $3.25 million deal. Why It Matters: The Ravens are hamstrung cap-wise by [Lamar Jackson](=)’s franchise tag, so this is about the best they can do to help Jackson or whoever lines up at quarterback in Week 1. Agholor got $22 million from the Patriots over the last two seasons, and New England got 68 receptions for 835 yards and two scores from their investment. [Hunter Henry]( is the last player left on the Patriots roster from the trio of him, Agholor, and [Jonnu Smith](), that was supposed to revitalize the offense. Agholor could start for Baltimore despite the small salary because of the lack of proven competition, and this offense could pass more with Todd Monken calling the shots, but Agholor is only worth a late-round pick if Jackson is on the field in Week 1. Buffalo Head coach Sean McDermott said, “We have to get that adjusted,” in reference to the number of hits QB [Josh Allen](=) takes during games. Why It Matters: The signing of [Damien Harris](=) could help McDermott make that adjustment because he gives the Bills the legitimate power back they have lacked, but a lot of Allen’s rushing stats come on scrambles and improvised runs, so even if the team reduces the number of times he runs by design, Allen should still pad his fantasy stats with rushing production enough to stay in the top three fantasy quarterbacks, where he is currently being drafted. Allen was well ahead of the pack as the #1 fantasy quarterback last year before suffering an elbow injury. Cincinnati The Bengals signed TE [Irv Smith Jr.](=) (Minnesota). Why It Matters: Smith was a promising second-round pick by Minnesota in 2019 when he was only 20 years old, but injuries and plateaus in his development kept him from making the expected impact. Contract terms were not immediately available, but Smith likely came cheap on a one-year prove-it deal. [Devin Asiasi]( and [Tanner Hudson](=) are his main competition to take over a role that helped [Hayden Hurst]( land a three-year, $21 million deal with Carolina this offseason. Smith should be on our offseason/preseason watch list because he’ll only be 25 when the season starts, and he has a fresh start in a good offense. --------------------------------------------------------------- FOOTBALLGUYS PICKS DOMINATE YOUR FRIENDS WITH A FOOTBALLGUYS PREMIUM SUBSCRIPTION - Consistently winning at Fantasy Football is hard. And losing sucks. We have the secret weapon you need in a Footballguys Premium Subscription. We do the work so you can do the winning. And as always, we have a 30-day Moneyback Guarantee so there's zero risk. [Join Now](=) --------------------------------------------------------------- LOOKING FOR EVEN MORE FANTASY FOOTBALL CONTENT? - Matthew Berry's RotoPass bundles together premium subscriptions from Footballguys, RotoWire, RotoViz, DLF, and more at a steep discount. [Sign Up Now](=) --------------------------------------------------------------- FOOTBALLGUYS GEAR IS HERE! - We're proud of what we put together here for you and we're thankful and appreciative when our Footballguys Family represents. And if you're reading this, it's a safe bet to assume you're dominating your league. Now you can look the part too. [Shop Now]( --------------------------------------------------------------- NFC News from the Past Week Atlanta The Falcons signed DL [Calais Campbell]( (Baltimore) to a one-year deal. Why It Matters: This is notable because Campbell also drew interest from the Jaguars, Lions, Bills, and Jets, who all seem closer to the playoffs and a potential Super Bowl berth than the Falcons. Maybe Campbell didn’t weigh win-now considerations heavily in his deliberations, but in any event, this should be considered a sign of respectability for a team that has decided to build up around an unsettled long-term quarterback situation after they were in on [Deshaun Watson]() last offseason. The Falcons look like NFC South contenders after an active March on the free agent front, not just because the other three starting quarterbacks are [Derek Carr](=), [Baker Mayfield](), and the #1 pick. Carolina The Panthers signed WR D.J. Chark Jr. (Detroit) to a one-year, $5 million deal. Why It Matters: Frank Reich said that he “had his eye on Chark for a couple of years” and that they’ll develop Chark to be more than a vertical receiver. Assistant head coach/RB coach Duce Staley and Chark were together with the Lions last year, and the team also had other offensive coaches recruit Chark before he signed. While the contract is a significant drop from the one-year, $10 million deal he got from Detroit last year, Chark is in position to be the team’s #1 downfield receiver, and whether it’s [Andy Dalton]() or the #1 pick, the passing game should improve. He’s worth a late-round pick, but monitor his recovery from January ankle surgery, as Chark playing only 15 games over the last two seasons is probably a big part of why he found a tepid market. Detroit The Lions signed WR [Marvin Jones Jr]( to a one-year, $3 million deal. Why It Matters: Jones is back with an organization where he experienced enough success to completely play out a five-year, $40 million deal he signed in 2016. His stats declined last year after the Jaguars signed [Christian Kirk](), [Zay Jones](, and [Evan Engram]() in free agency. Marvin Jones will compete with [Josh Reynolds](=) for snaps as the #3 receiver as the team hopes 2022 first-round pick [Jameson Williams](=) makes the leap this year as a top downfield receiver in the fantasy-friendly pass offense. This is a smart depth signing, but it won’t be noteworthy for fantasy until multiple injuries strike the Lions' wide receiver corps. Philadelphia The NFL Competition Committee will not assess the legality of the “tush push,” the Eagles' preferred goal-line sneak play with QB [Jalen Hurts](). Why It Matters: The Eagles converted 36 of 40 quarterback sneaks last year, contributing largely to Hurts’ 13 regular season rushing scores. There was some talk that the league would review whether the Eagles' tactic of having players line up behind Hurts and push him forward was legal, but it looks like Hurts will be lined up to lead quarterbacks in rushing scores again in 2023. Head coach Nick Sirianni said RB [Trey Sermon]() has “got a chance to be really good” and wishes he “could get him touches.” Why It Matters: While this might be dismissed as offseason coachspeak, the Eagles did keep Sermon on the roster all season, so they must see something in him. Sermon will compete with [Rashaad Penny](=), [Boston Scott](, and [Kenneth Gainwell](=) (and maybe a rookie, maybe even top prospect [Bijan Robinson]()) for touches, but Penny is injury-prone, and Scott and Gainwell are undersized, so there’s a path to value for Sermon in one of the most productive backfields in NFL history. Sermon will be worth a late-round pick if he can build momentum this summer. San Francisco The 49ers acquired PK [Zane Gonzalez](=) from Carolina for a 2025 conditional pick. Why It Matters: In leagues that still use kickers, Gonzalez could have some value after missing all of the 2022 season. [Robbie Gould]( was the #5 scoring kicker in 2022 in this role for the 49ers, and Gonzalez probably has a better distance leg than Gould, who only attempted two kicks from 50+ yards last season. Put Gonzalez on your last-round kicker target list, assuming he’s healthy to begin the season. General manager John Lynch said all three of [Sam Darnold](), [Brock Purdy](), and [Trey Lance](=) would compete to start at quarterback but that Purdy is the “leader in the clubhouse.” Lance and [Sam Darnold]() will split first-team snaps while Purdy is out this offseason. Why It Matters: This isn’t a surprise, as [Nick Bosa](, [George Kittle](=), and even Lance himself have acknowledged that Purdy earned a chance to start again after he led the team to the NFC Championship following season-ending injuries for Lance and [Jimmy Garoppolo](. Splitting snaps with Darnold is a little more ominous for Lance, but Kyle Shanahan did leave open that Lance could regain the #1 quarterback job while Purdy is recovering from elbow surgery. Lance still has a ton of speculative value because of the quality of this offense and his rushing ability, but he could also be a trade target if Purdy’s recovery goes well and Darnold takes to Shanahan’s scheme. Consider making a buy-low trade offer for Lance in Superflex dynasty leagues. Seattle The Seahawks signed LB [Bobby Wagner]( to a one-year, $7 million deal. Why It Matters: Wagner is back after only one year away from the franchise that drafted him in 2012. This isn’t great news for [Jordyn Brooks](=) (recovering from ACL surgery) in IDP leagues, but good news for the Seahawks' bid to build on their 2022 success. Some pundits have suggested that Wagner won’t be a three-down linebacker any longer, so build in some downside to Wagner’s projections compared to 2022. --------------------------------------------------------------- That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for reading and thanks for being part of the Footballguys Family. I appreciate you. Peace and Grace, J [Win More At Fantasy Football With A Premium Subscription From Footballguys.com]( Footballguys Rewards - Be A Hero - Share The Love - Get Cool Swag - Share the Footballguys Daily Update -> Earn Rewards Have friends who'd love our newsletter too? Want free stuff? Give them your unique referral link (below) and get an awesome reward when they subscribe and confirm their email. Just copy your unique referral code below, or click the button to simultaneously share and track your progress. 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