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[Go PRO]( | [Rate My Team](=) [Unsubscribe]( | [Sign Up]() [Footballguys.com](=)Special Limited-Time Offer From Footballguys --------------------------------------------------------------- [Footballguys Players Championship]() Sponsored by [The 2022 Footballguys Players Championship - Labor Day Weekend Draft-A-Thon]() [Enter Now For Your Chance At The $500,000 Grand Prize]() [The 2022 Footballguys Players Championship]() features a $500,000 grand prize, a $150,000 runner-up prize, and a $4,395,750 fully-guaranteed total prize pool. Teams are $350 each or -- our best value -- $1,000 for a three-pack. Only 15,000 teams are available, so don't miss out. [Sign Up Now]() --------------------------------------------------------------- The Footballguys Players Championship Draft-A-Thon Is Underway! Are you drafting this weekend? If not, would you like to be? We've kicked off our annual FPC Labor Day Weekend Draft-A-Thon. Online drafts begin hourly as they fill throughout this long weekend. And we donate $50 to charity for each draft completed through Monday night. This year's charity is the [Knoxville Dream Center](, serving the underserved here in Knoxville, Tennessee. The winning team will receive a Grand Prize of $500,000. The Runner-Up gets $150,000 and the fully-guaranteed total prize pool exceeds $4.3 million. Entry fees are $350 per team or three teams for $1,000. The contest is capped at 15,000 teams with fewer than 3,200 teams left. Come join us. [Join Now](=) Peace, J PS: We always want to bring you value at Footballguys, so here’s a sample of the type of content we deliver to our subscribers every week. Our Sigmund Bloom reviews the players he's relieved to not draft this season and who he'd prefer to draft in their place. --------------------------------------------------------------- [The "All-Rolaids" Relieved Someone Else Took Them Team]( by Sigmund Bloom Exclusive to Footballguys.com --------------------------------------------------------------- Not every player makes our list of targets or players to avoid. We still have clarity on the value of some of those players, but there are others that vex us and elude our understanding even when (especially when) we are pondering whether to take them when we are on the clock. Big thanks to my Mon Valley Academic League rival Joe Wright for giving me the name “Rolaids” for these players. You could also call this the “I’m probably not taking them but worried that I’m wrong” list. Sometimes it’s a relief when you see a player drafted ahead of you, and that’s how they make the all-Rolaids team. [Derrick Henry](=) (RB-TEN) - If Henry is only 75% of what he was last year and he holds up for the whole season, he’ll return ADP value in the second half of the first round. That should make him an easy pick, but there’s a feeling I can’t shake that his foot injury last year, combined with the [A.J. Brown](=) trade, will turn the Titans offense back into a pumpkin. Keep [Dontrell Hilliard]() on your waiver wire speed dial. [Najee Harris]( (RB-PIT) - [Will Harris]() catch 74 passes again this year? Will he have over 300 carries again this year? Can anything other than sheer volume overcome the porous Steelers offensive line? Harris is bigger and stronger than last year’s rookie version, and it doesn’t appear that a training camp lis franc injury will be a problem that lingers into the regular season. If [Kenny Pickett](=) is a hit or the Steelers offense has a renaissance now that [Ben Roethlisberger]( is not the de facto offensive coordinator, Harris will make fantasy teams happy, but my Steelers fan neurosis will not allow me to be part of the party. To Avoid Indigestion: Take [Dalvin Cook]() DAndre Swift (RB-DET) - Swift is a talented receiver out of the backfield and runner in space, but it’s not clear that he’s a better between the tackles running back than [Jamaal Williams](. His goal of going over 1000 rushing and receiving yards is a nice headline. Still, between the additions in the passing game and his deficiencies as an inside runner, it’s almost impossible to see a path to that outcome. Swift may still return ADP value as a second-round pick riding the rising tide of the Lions offense and his development as a player, but he’s being drafted at his ceiling. To Avoid Indigestion: Take [Aaron Jones]() or [Alvin Kamara]( [Deebo Samuel]( (WR-SF) - Samuel performed and produced like a fantasy first round pick last year, so it should be a great value to get him in the second round, but it doesn’t feel that way. The 49ers pass offense could feature [Brandon Aiyuk](=) more than last year since Aiyuk has been one of the stories of training camp, and the already low pass volume could get lower with [Trey Lance](=) at the helm. The run game involvement could get reduced if the backs stay healthy this year, even though his new contract appeared to contemplate continued usage there via an incentive that kicks in if he goes over 380 rushing yards, 15 more than last year. Samuel also reportedly asked for a trade because he was unhappy with how he was used last year. Like Henry, he can return ADP value even with a 20% drop in output, but that’s not that comforting when it’s time to make a pick. To Avoid Indigestion: Take [Tyreek Hill]() or [Mike Evans](=) [Kyle Pitts](=) (TE-ATL) - After strongly recommending Pitts in a better situation with a better quarterback last year, it’s tough for me to pound the table for Pitts with more experience but a worse situation and worse quarterback. Calvin Johnson was able to transcend his situation in year two to break out. If Pitts is a talent the caliber of Johnson, then he should be able to be a hit at ADP on growth in his game alone. Good outside corners were able to stick to him last year as defenses immediately treated him like the primary threat in the passing game. Defenses will do that again this year, but Pitts might be better able to use his considerable gifts and skills to make them look silly. To Avoid Indigestion: Take a wide receiver and address tight end at least two rounds later [James Conner]( (RB-ARI) - Conner just needs to repeat last season’s production, when he shared with [Chase Edmonds](=), who is now with the Dolphins, to return (arguably exceed) the third-round pick it will cost to get him. [Eno Benjamin]( and [Darrel Williams]( aren’t as formidable competition for touches as Edmonds, so this pick should be a slam dunk. Conner’s injury history is part of the hesitation. He stayed healthy for five games as the uncontested starter, then tried to play through a Week 14 ankle injury only to be a Week 15 dud and miss Weeks 16 and 17. When he was a lead back with the Steelers, he also wore down in the second half of the season and missed multiple key games on the fantasy calendar. The Cardinals aren’t that effective running the ball, making Conner more reliant on touchdowns and passing game involvement that could be diminished if the team trusts Benjamin and Williams on passing downs. Good thing I like the wide receivers in the third and the RB2 candidates going later so I don’t have to ponder this one too hard. [Ezekiel Elliott]( (RB-DAL) - The cons list in the case for and against drafting Elliott has gotten longer with the serious injury to stud left tackle Tyron Smith that will cost him at least 2-3 months of the season and a lack of viable replacements for La’el Collins and [Amari Cooper]( emerging this summer, leading some to speculate that the team is really in “wait til next year” mode already, with the expectation that failure will create the precursor needed to move on from Mike McCarthy. That is in addition to Elliott slowing down considerably when he was playing with a knee injury last year and the clear difference between him and [Tony Pollard]( in terms of juice and big play ability. On the other hand, the team will continue to stubbornly try to get their money’s worth from a way too large contract they signed with Elliott, and he’ll be the first option at the goal line. He cost a lot more last year, so the fantasy community’s skepticism is apparent, but is it healthy enough? To Avoid Indigestion: Take A.J. Dillon a round later [Marquise Brown]() (WR-ARI) - It’s easy to give [Zach Ertz]( a big bump for the first six weeks of the season while [DeAndre Hopkins]( sits, but more difficult to give one to Brown, who might be unlocked by playing with a much better deep passer in [Kyler Murray](, one that Brown played with at Oklahoma, Brown was a WR1 with Jackson last year in a more run-heavy offense than Arizona, so a hot start is possibly in the cards (forgive me). Then again, there’s the worry of how consistent Brown will be for fantasy once Hopkins returns. If Brown and Murray rekindle the deep ball connection, will that even matter? Could it actually help by dividing the pass defense game plan’s attention? To Avoid Indigestion: Take [Darnell Mooney]() or [Gabriel Davis](=) [Elijah Moore]( (WR-NYJ) - Moore’s talent is undeniable, and he had the look of an unstoppable player when he was healthy and playing with someone other than [Zach Wilson]() at quarterback. He did miss six games last year, and Wilson is still slated to start once his knee is healthy. The team also added [Garrett Wilson]() in the first round and brought back [Braxton Berrios]( on a two-year, $12 million deal that indicates he will be involved in the passing game too. Bets on bright shining talents like Moore often hit in a way that makes hand-wringing over peripheral details look foolish in hindsight, but this is the Jets. [Allen Lazard]( (WR-GB) - [Aaron Rodgers](=) is repeatedly coming out and telling us that Lazard is his #1 wide receiver. Lazard put up 6-146-1 in the one game in 2020 Adams missed after Lazard was established in the offense (and healthy), and Lazard made himself relevant in Green Bay in the first place while Adams was out in 2019. This alone should make him a screaming value. Yet there’s still hesitation since Lazard doesn’t fit the pedigree of a #1 receiver and the team has a run-first approach on offense. We could all look bad very quickly for letting Lazard fall to the range where most teams are taking their first bench wide receiver. To Avoid Indigestion: Take [Adam Thielen]( or [Hunter Renfrow]() [Joe Burrow](=) (QB-CIN) - Burrow could take another step forward this year with an improved offensive line and another year of experience squaring off against NFL defenses. He appeared to be on the verge of entering the elite fantasy passer tier with [Tom Brady]( and [Aaron Rodgers](=) - quarterbacks who are every-week starters in fantasy leagues despite not adding much as a runner. A closer look at last season’s game log reveals that Burrow was only QB12 going into Week 16 against the beleaguered Ravens pass defense and that the team was content to limit his pass attempts when the game script warranted. Burrow is being drafted closer to his ceiling than his floor, but then again, we might be underestimating the height of his ceiling. To Avoid Indigestion: Take [Russell Wilson]() or [Tom Brady]( [Joe Bryant - Guide - Footballguys.com](=) Thank you for subscribing to our Footballguys Daily Update Email! You're subscribed as {EMAIL} To unsubscribe, click [here](. * Sportsguys * 118 N. Peters Rd., Suite 208 * Knoxville[,]( TN 37923 *