Sponsor Your time is almost up! [Tom Busbyâs newest Weekend Side Hustle technique dropped THURSDAY!]( If you're reading this, that means you're late⦠But not too late! There is still time to tap into this unique income opportunity before the weekend rolls around! [CLICK HERE]( And learn how you can set yourself up for many Mondays to come with this one trade set up! The Government Shutdown Crisis Is Over. Or Is It? Weekly Market Overview Hi Traders, The recent buzz in the corridors of power centered on the potential government shutdown. Washington, once again, teetered on the brink due to fiscal challenges. But just when things seemed dire, Congress stepped in with a 45-day "stopgap" measure to keep things running. But the real question is, is this just a band-aid solution? Looking back, government shutdowns aren't a new phenomenon. Katherine Buchholz of Statista provided some interesting stats, highlighting that the 2018/19 shutdown was the longest in recent history, clocking in at 34 days. Surprisingly, the 70s and 80s saw numerous shutdowns, though most were shorter in duration. Since 1976, we've witnessed 20 shutdowns, averaging about 8 days each. But here's a twist: come mid-November, we might be revisiting this drama. It's intriguing to note that since 2008, the usual fiscal operations have changed. Gone are the days when the government would run on an annual fiscal budget. Instead, we now have "Continuing Resolutions" which increase spending by 8% based on previous spending levels. Result? A ballooning debt as spending compounds year after year. This shift in spending strategy has led to revenues struggling to keep up, leading to increased debt issuance and a growing deficit. Before 2008, revenues surpassed the growth trend of public debt. Sadly, this isn't the case anymore. However, should we be losing sleep over a government shutdown? Interestingly, a shutdown might not be as disastrous as it sounds. True, around 900,000 "non-essential" workers would be temporarily out of a job, affecting economic growth slightly. But if we look at data from past shutdowns, the impact isn't earth-shattering. For instance, Goldman Sachs estimated that every week of a shutdown could potentially reduce annualized growth by about 0.2%. Even if we consider the longest shutdown of 35 days, the economic growth reduction could be up to 1%. Concerning? Maybe. But it's not signaling an impending recession, especially with growth rates hovering around 5%. Diving deeper, one realizes that shutdowns primarily affect discretionary spending. Essential spending continues. This means that social welfare, interest on debt, and the likes aren't severely impacted. Interestingly, data shows that discretionary spending, which primarily involves government employment and national parks, constitutes only 2% of Federal spending. Analyzing data from 2023, we see that the government spent a whopping $6.3 Trillion, with $5.3 Trillion going to mandatory expenses. This means we're spending more than we earn, relying on debt to bridge the gap. Shifting focus to the financial markets, many wonder about the potential ramifications of a shutdown. Historically, the markets have shown resilience during shutdowns, with positive returns overall. Investors, naturally cautious, might hesitate to invest in uncertain times. But as history shows, markets find a way to bounce back. While government shutdowns grab headlines, they might not be as catastrophic as they sound. The real issue? The fiscal mismanagement in Washington that threatens long-term economic growth and prosperity. The massive debt and its implications on economic growth deserve more attention. Maybe, just maybe, a brief shutdown could be the wake-up call Washington needs to get its act together. - The Team at Altos Trading Sponsor Thanks to the âIncome Glitchâ on one ticker, [this computer whiz has nailed a 100% success rate on 52 trade opportunities and counting!]( Thatâs 52 wins ⦠0 losers - a 100% win rate. [Seriously, check it out. I promise itâs NOT too good to be true.]( Missed our Live Weekly Market Review? Don't worry; we've got a recorded version just for you. The market faced another downturn, and our team suggested potential strategies and ways to navigate such market conditions. If you're interested, join us for our live sessions every Tuesday night. Can't attend? No worries! The recording will be available by Wednesday midday, letting you revisit it whenever you're ready. This week our topics were... - Market Overview - Mapping Out Key Levels
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USA Disclaimer: The Altos Trading Alert Newsletter is published as an information service for subscribers, and it includes opinions as to buying, selling and holding various stocks and other securities. However, the publishers of the Altos Trading Alert Newsletter are not brokers or investment advisers, and do not provide investment advice or recommendations directed to any particular subscriber or in view of the particular circumstances of any particular person. Altos Trading, including its owner, does not participate in any trades issued through the alert services. Subscribers to Altos Trading or any other persons who buy, sell or hold securities should do so with caution and consult with a broker or investment adviser before doing so. Trading securities and options involves risk. Prior to buying or selling an option, an investor must receive a copy of Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options. Investors need a broker to trade securities and options, and must meet suitability requirements. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Performance figures are based on actual recommendations. Due to the time critical nature of trading, brokerage fees, and the activity of other subscribers, there is no guarantee that subscribers will mirror the performance of the service. Performance numbers shown are based on trades subscribers could enter based on the trade alerts. Altos Trading, LLC assumes no responsibility for any losses incurred by any individual or entity as a result of trade alerts or strategies taught through courses or coaching services. 7154 W State Street
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