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WEEKLY MARKET OVERVIEW â
Debt Threat: The Challenge to Trumpâs Bold Agenda Hi Traders, As President-elect Donald Trump prepares to implement his ambitious economic agenda, a familiar and formidable challenge looms large: the growing U.S. debt burden. Trumpâs plans to lower taxes, impose tariffs, and bring jobs back to American shores resonate with voters who feel left behind by decades of economic globalization. Yet these proposals face a significant obstacleâpersistent debt growth that threatens to undermine his vision. Americaâs public debt has reached 99% of gross domestic product, up sharply from 76% when Trump first took office in 2017. Compounding interest has fueled this rise, alongside policies like the 2017 tax cuts, which added significantly to the deficit. While extending these tax cuts in 2025 remains a top priority, doing so could increase the deficit by an estimated $4.7 trillion. Although tariffs and the repeal of green-energy tax credits could offset some of these costs, the structural budget deficit remains a critical issue. Treasury issuance has long been a mechanism for funding Americaâs debt, with investors both domestic and international serving as creditors. However, rising Treasury yields and concerns about a potential buyerâs strike could place significant pressure on the administrationâs ability to finance its policies. Such a scenario would force tough decisions, reminiscent of fiscal challenges faced by other nations in recent years. U.S. revenue, steady at around 17% of GDP since 1962, contrasts sharply with rising expenditures, which have grown from 20% to 24% over the same period. This widening gap underscores the urgency of addressing the nationâs fiscal imbalance. Trumpâs proposed "Department of Government Efficiency" aims to tackle these inefficiencies, but his economic plansâtariffs, tax cuts, and domestic production incentivesârely heavily on narrowing the deficit. The stock market has reacted positively to Trumpâs re-election, buoyed by optimism over his pro-growth policies. However, without a meaningful effort to address the underlying debt issue, the sustainability of these policies remains uncertain. For now, investors remain hopeful, but the path forward will depend on whether the administration can balance its bold agenda with the reality of Americaâs mounting debt. - The Team at Altos Trading In the next article, learn how South Korea's brief but dramatic declaration of martial law has sparked political turmoil, market volatility, and global investor attention, raising questions about the stability of this vital economic hub. SPONSOR Cheat Sheet: Top Dividend Stocks Ready to build a powerhouse dividend portfolio? [These FIVE (FREE) Dividend Investing Cheatsheets Can Help!]( Inside, youâll discover: - Cheat sheet #1: The 3 Rules for Dividend Investing
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- Cheat sheet #5: Bonus Cheat Sheet with Next Steps And you can get all 5 of them mailed to your home for free - just pay shipping! [Go ahead and tap here to grab your copies right now.]( South Koreaâs Martial-Law Showdown: What It Means for U.S. Investors Geopolitical turbulence swept through South Korea on Tuesday, rattling markets and raising concerns about political stability in a key U.S. ally and global supply-chain hub. The declaration of martial law by South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol marked a dramatic turn of events, pushing haven assets higher, sinking the South Korean won, and drawing international attention. The crisis unfolded with the president suspending parliament and ordering the military to enforce emergency measures, including compelling striking doctors to return to work. However, South Koreaâs parliament quickly voted 190-0 to overrule the martial-law declaration, forcing President Yoon to lift the order within hours. Despite this, opposition parties have initiated impeachment proceedings against the president, signaling ongoing political unrest. South Koreaâs stock market reopened on Wednesday with the Kospi index down around 2%, reflecting investor unease. The Bank of Korea responded swiftly, holding an emergency meeting and announcing measures to stabilize markets and boost liquidity. This follows a surprising rate cut last week, aimed at countering slower-than-expected economic growth. While Wall Street largely shrugged off the headlines, safe-haven flows were evident. U.S. Treasurys saw increased demand, with 10-year yields briefly dropping to 4.164%âtheir lowest since Octoberâbefore rising back to 4.221%. The U.S. dollar surged against the South Korean won, which hit its weakest level in over two years before recovering some losses. Korean stocks and ETFs listed in the U.S. pared initial declines after the martial-law order was rescinded. For now, U.S. investors seem justified in treating the South Korean political turmoil as a fleeting event. However, with South Koreaâs critical role in global supply chains, market participants will keep an eye on developments. The possibility of President Yoonâs impeachment and a subsequent election next year adds uncertainty, which could sustain volatility in the region. As South Korea tiptoes around this political crisis, global markets may feel limited immediate impact, but the broader implicationsâranging from supply-chain disruptions to shifts in trade policyâremain areas of concern for international investors. For now, the focus will remain on whether South Korean policymakers can balance internal political challenges with the economic demands of a globalized market. SPONSOR [New Customers earn 5.25% APY* (variable)]( Store your money with Cash Reserve, a high-yield account built for peace of mind. New customers earn 5.25% variable APY*âthatâs 13x higher than the national savings rate. ** Plus, your moneyâs FDIC-insured up to $2Mâ at our program banks and no limits on withdrawals and transfers. **The national average savings account interest rate is reported by the FDIC (as of 5/15/23) as the average annual percentage yield (APY) for savings accounts with deposits under $100,000. [Sign Up Now!]( Disclaimer: The Altos Trading Alert Newsletter is published as an information service for subscribers, and it includes opinions as to buying, selling and holding various stocks and other securities. However, the publishers of the Altos Trading Alert Newsletter are not brokers or investment advisers, and do not provide investment advice or recommendations directed to any particular subscriber or in view of the particular circumstances of any particular person. Altos Trading, including its owner, does not participate in any trades issued through the alert services. Subscribers to Altos Trading or any other persons who buy, sell or hold securities should do so with caution and consult with a broker or investment adviser before doing so. Trading securities and options involves risk. Prior to buying or selling an option, an investor must receive a copy of Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options. Investors need a broker to trade securities and options, and must meet suitability requirements. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Performance figures are based on actual recommendations. Due to the time critical nature of trading, brokerage fees, and the activity of other subscribers, there is no guarantee that subscribers will mirror the performance of the service. Performance numbers shown are based on trades subscribers could enter based on the trade alerts. Altos Trading, LLC assumes no responsibility for any losses incurred by any individual or entity as a result of trade alerts or strategies taught through courses or coaching services. 7154 W State Street
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USA Disclaimer: The Altos Trading Alert Newsletter is published as an information service for subscribers, and it includes opinions as to buying, selling and holding various stocks and other securities. However, the publishers of the Altos Trading Alert Newsletter are not brokers or investment advisers, and do not provide investment advice or recommendations directed to any particular subscriber or in view of the particular circumstances of any particular person. Altos Trading, including its owner, does not participate in any trades issued through the alert services. Subscribers to Altos Trading or any other persons who buy, sell or hold securities should do so with caution and consult with a broker or investment adviser before doing so. Trading securities and options involves risk. Prior to buying or selling an option, an investor must receive a copy of Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options. Investors need a broker to trade securities and options, and must meet suitability requirements. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Performance figures are based on actual recommendations. Due to the time critical nature of trading, brokerage fees, and the activity of other subscribers, there is no guarantee that subscribers will mirror the performance of the service. Performance numbers shown are based on trades subscribers could enter based on the trade alerts. Altos Trading, LLC assumes no responsibility for any losses incurred by any individual or entity as a result of trade alerts or strategies taught through courses or coaching services. 7154 W State Street
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