[Altos Weekly Traders Edge] The Economic Impacts of Instability in the Middle East...Details Inside

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Oil Fears: The Strait of Hormuz Factor Remember that tiny stretch of water that handles a massive chunk of the world's oil? The Strait of Hormuz is where the trouble is brewing. Fears of supply disruptions have oil markets spooked, driving up prices as buyers scramble to secure future supplies. Inflation Worries Heat Up Unfortunately, those surging oil prices are dumping fuel on the inflation fire. Central banks are getting nervous, and that means more interest rate hikes could be on the way. This has the potential to slow down economic growth in ways that reach far beyond the Middle East conflict. Is the World Getting Smaller? Here's the big, scary question some financial leaders are asking: Is the current unrest a sign of deglobalization? China's shifting role, Russia's isolation, and changes in Latin America are all causing concern. A less interconnected world carries economic risks that could play out for years. Safe Havens and Surprising Winners In times of trouble, investors seek shelter. It's no surprise that gold, commodities, strong currencies, and real estate are hot items right now. Defense stocks are also getting a lot of attention as governments look likely to ramp up defense spending. Think cautiously about Bitcoin – its recent behavior suggests it might not be the best hedge in this particular storm. Don't Panic, Plan It's normal to feel stressed about your investments, especially with so much uncertainty. But history says the basics of sound investing hold up, even during geopolitical shocks. Don't make rash decisions. Instead, monitor your portfolio closely, make gradual adjustments if needed, and remember those long-term goals. - The Team at Altos Trading In the next article: An opinion piece about the Federal Reserve, that warns that its current policies are fueling economic instability and could lead to a severe crisis. Sponsor $25,000 into $109,616 in two months? 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By clicking the link above you agree to periodic updates from The TradingPub and its partners (]( policy]( The Federal Reserve Market Manipulation Has to End The Fed's original mandate centered on stability: preventing bank failures and ensuring price stability within a free-market system. Over time, however, the Fed's remit has expanded into dangerous territory – attempting to micromanage economic cycles rather than serving as an insurer of last resort. This shift from crisis control to active market manipulation undermines fundamental economic principles. One of our analysts highlights the inherent contradiction: the greater the Fed's intervention, the stronger the signal they send about the market's inability to function independently. This fuels a dangerous cycle of dependency and erodes trust in the natural mechanisms of price discovery and capital allocation. The belief that the Fed can predict and preempt economic downturns is tragically misguided. No person or institution can consistently forecast future market conditions. Yet time and again, the Fed falls victim to this hubris. Remember the insistence that inflation was "transitory," followed by a shocking reversal once reality became undeniable? These repeated forecast failures damage the institution's credibility and fuel disastrous cycles of misplaced market optimism followed by painful corrections. In recent years, the Fed's actions have exacerbated wealth inequality and generated a troubling sense of false security within financial markets. Interventions meant to provide short-term relief have instead set the stage for far more destructive future crises. One of our senior analysts believes the current complacency, fueled by hopes of rapid interest rate cuts, mirrors the conditions that preceded past severe market downturns. Worst of all, the Fed's inconsistent communication strategy undermines investor confidence and erodes trust in the market itself. Every Fed statement, however cautious, creates an illusion of control over inherently unpredictable events. The resulting misplaced optimism distorts investment decisions and ultimately sows the seeds for instability. The Fed cannot fine-tune the economy with a series of press releases and interest rate adjustments. The nation is facing a persistent inflation crisis, heightened economic uncertainty, and a looming currency crisis fueled by policy failures. The Fed must acknowledge the limits of its ability to control these events. For the sake of economic health and to restore faith in the free market system, several measures are urgently needed: - Transparency and Honesty: Acknowledge the inherent unpredictability of future economic events and cease issuing overly confident forecasts that mislead the public. - Market-Driven Solutions: Trust in the market's ability to self-correct and price risk appropriately. Refrain from interventions that artificially prop up specific sectors or asset classes. - Return to the Mandate: Focus on the Fed's core functions – ensuring price stability, providing emergency liquidity, and safeguarding financial system integrity. Leave business cycles to the realm of business. The Federal Reserve holds immense power. It's time that power was wielded with greater humility and a clear understanding of the damage caused by constant manipulation, misplaced forecasting, and fostering a culture of market reliance on a central authority. Sponsor [New Customers earn 5.25% APY* (variable)]( Store your money with Cash Reserve, a high-yield account built for peace of mind. New customers earn 5.25% variable APY*—that’s 13x higher than the national savings rate. ** Plus, your money’s FDIC-insured up to $2M†at our program banks and no limits on withdrawals and transfers. **The national average savings account interest rate is reported by the FDIC (as of 5/15/23) as the average annual percentage yield (APY) for savings accounts with deposits under $100,000. [Sign Up Now!]( Disclaimer: The Altos Trading Alert Newsletter is published as an information service for subscribers, and it includes opinions as to buying, selling and holding various stocks and other securities. However, the publishers of the Altos Trading Alert Newsletter are not brokers or investment advisers, and do not provide investment advice or recommendations directed to any particular subscriber or in view of the particular circumstances of any particular person. Altos Trading, including its owner, does not participate in any trades issued through the alert services. Subscribers to Altos Trading or any other persons who buy, sell or hold securities should do so with caution and consult with a broker or investment adviser before doing so. Trading securities and options involves risk. Prior to buying or selling an option, an investor must receive a copy of Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options. Investors need a broker to trade securities and options, and must meet suitability requirements. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Performance figures are based on actual recommendations. Due to the time critical nature of trading, brokerage fees, and the activity of other subscribers, there is no guarantee that subscribers will mirror the performance of the service. Performance numbers shown are based on trades subscribers could enter based on the trade alerts. Altos Trading, LLC assumes no responsibility for any losses incurred by any individual or entity as a result of trade alerts or strategies taught through courses or coaching services. 7154 W State Street Suite 169 Boise Idaho 83714 USA Disclaimer: The Altos Trading Alert Newsletter is published as an information service for subscribers, and it includes opinions as to buying, selling and holding various stocks and other securities. However, the publishers of the Altos Trading Alert Newsletter are not brokers or investment advisers, and do not provide investment advice or recommendations directed to any particular subscriber or in view of the particular circumstances of any particular person. Altos Trading, including its owner, does not participate in any trades issued through the alert services. Subscribers to Altos Trading or any other persons who buy, sell or hold securities should do so with caution and consult with a broker or investment adviser before doing so. Trading securities and options involves risk. Prior to buying or selling an option, an investor must receive a copy of Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options. Investors need a broker to trade securities and options, and must meet suitability requirements. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Performance figures are based on actual recommendations. Due to the time critical nature of trading, brokerage fees, and the activity of other subscribers, there is no guarantee that subscribers will mirror the performance of the service. Performance numbers shown are based on trades subscribers could enter based on the trade alerts. Altos Trading, LLC assumes no responsibility for any losses incurred by any individual or entity as a result of trade alerts or strategies taught through courses or coaching services. 7154 W State Street Suite 169 Boise Idaho 83714 USA [Unsubscribe]( | [Change Subscriber Options](