Plus 5 Just-Added Strong Buys Stocks End Mostly Higher Yesterday, On Track To Close Higher For The Week And Month
[Kevin Matras - EVP - Photo]
Profit from the Pros By Kevin Matras
Executive Vice President Stocks End Mostly Higher Yesterday, On Track To Close Higher For The Week And Month [Stocks End Mostly Higher Yesterday, On Track To Close Higher For The Week And Month]Image: Bigstock Stocks closed mostly higher yesterday with the small-cap Russell 2000 and mid-cap S&P 400 leading the way with gains in excess of 1.20% each. Wednesday afternoon's stress test results, which showed the banking sector "remains strong and resilient," lifted many of the smaller and mid-sized financial stocks that were hit when SVB collapsed and fears of contagion set in a few months ago. But the rally extended beyond just that segment as evidenced by the outsized gains in the Dow and S&P 500. In other news, yesterday's 3rd and final estimate for Q1'23 GDP came in better than expected at 2.0% vs. the previous estimate of 1.3% and views for 1.4%. Q1's personal consumption expenditures component also rose more than expected to 4.2% vs. last month's 3.8% estimate. Granted, that's for Q1. And it's now almost July. But the higher than expected PCE could very well provide some foreshadowing for this morning's current PCE reading. More on that in a moment. Weekly Jobless Claims fell -26,000 to 239K, well below the consensus which estimated an increase to 270K. The Pending Home Sales Index fell -2.7% m/m vs. views for -0.6%, coming in at 76.5. And Corporate Profits improved to -5.1% y/y vs. last month's snapshot of -6.0%. With inventory & consumption adjustments, it was down -1.9% vs. last month's -2.8%. Today we'll get the report everybody's been waiting for -- the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index. This is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. The core rate last came in at 4.7%, which was an uptick from the previous month's 4.6%, surprising many given that the CPI and PPI reports prior to that both showed y/y decreases. The Fed specifically cited core PCE in the latest FOMC announcement as one of the reasons why they believe more rate hikes are needed to bring it down. They even upped their end-of-year inflation forecast to 3.9% from their previous estimate of 3.6%. To be clear, core PCE is down from last year's peak of 5.3%. And their forecast for 3.9% clearly shows that inflation is expected to decline even further. But the elevated stickiness remains a concern for the Fed. And that's why every PCE report has become one of the key data points in gauging what the Fed will or won't do. That comes out this morning at 8:30 AM ET. While that will be today's main event, we'll also get the Chicago PMI, and Consumer Sentiment. Today will also be the last trading day of the week, the month, and the first half. All of the major indexes are tracking higher for the week and the month. In fact, it would be the 4th month in a row of gains for the S&P and Nasdaq. And with one more day to go, the indexes are showing YTD gains of 2.94% for the Dow, 14.5% for the S&P 500, 29.9% for the Nasdaq, 6.83% for the small-cap Russell 2000, and 7.20% for the mid-cap S&P 400. And it looks like there's plenty more upside to go for the second half of the year. Best, [Kevin Matras - Signature] Kevin Matras
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