Plus 5 New Strong Buys for Today Stocks End Down, But Well Off Their Lows
[Kevin Matras - EVP - Photo]
Profit from the Pros By Kevin Matras
Executive Vice President Stocks End Down, But Well Off Their Lows [Stocks End Down, But Well Off Their Lows]Image: Bigstock Stocks closed lower yesterday, but well off their lows. Some have blamed the weakness in equities on the weakness in cryptocurrencies (bitcoin, for example, was down more than -25% at one point yesterday, before trimming that to a more modest loss of -11.5% by the time stocks closed). Whether it's fair to ascribe all the blame on cryptos (or even any of it) is debatable. But the crypto trade is being called the 'most crowded trade' right now. And a recent Bank of America survey of large money managers found that 75% believe it's a bubble. (I think that word gets thrown around too easily. But it's good to know what's being said.) In addition, the market still had the same 'worries' they did the day before: inflation (although, I think it's premature at best, if not misplaced at this time), Middle East tensions, and the ultimate size and shape of the infrastructure package and the tax hikes that will pay for it. But given the impressive rebound yesterday, the market was able to shrug most of that off. In other news, MBA Mortgage Applications were up 1.2% last week (-4.0% for purchases, and +4.0% for refi's). We also got the FOMC Minutes. In it, it reads that "a number of participants suggested that if the economy continued to make rapid progress toward the Committee's goals, it might be appropriate at some point in upcoming meetings to begin discussing a plan for adjusting the pace of asset purchases." Although, the minutes also show that "various participants noted that it would likely be some time until the economy had made substantial further progress toward the Committee's maximum-employment and price stability goals." The takeaway: it doesn't look like anything is going to happen to interest rates anytime soon. And if the economy does grow faster than expected and the Committee's goals are reached (max employment, price stability, and let's also include sustained inflation readings over 2% for a meaningful period of time, given that Mr. Powell expects inflation this year to be transitory), then, maybe in the future, they can start talking about the issue of talking about tapering their bond purchases. None of this sounded like a revelation. Quite frankly, it would be surprising if nobody brought it up. I want those in charge to consider those contingencies for the future, regardless of how far off it might be. And the market seemed to take that news in stride as well. Let's also not forget that the only reason why people are talking about inflation down the road is because we're expecting a 'gangbuster' economy. So, before any inflation reading becomes actionable, we're going to have to experience some pretty stellar and sustained economic growth first. That's bullish, and suggests we could be at the beginning of a multiyear boom. To learn how to take full advantage of it, be sure to read my latest commentary... [Are We At The Beginning Of A Multiyear Boom?]( Best, [Kevin Matras - Signature] Kevin Matras
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