Profit from the Pros
Strong Earnings Underpin Stocks, But Trade And Shutdown Worries Weigh
Stocks closed mixed yesterday after a seesaw session.
First, Weekly Jobless Claims came in much better than expected at 199,000 new claims, well below last week's 212K and views for 218K. Futures firmed up on the news.
Then Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross, in a wide-ranging interview, said that while a large delegation from China will be coming in for trade talks next week, we're still "miles and miles away from getting a resolution." That subsequently weighed on the markets.
But after a modestly weaker open, stocks climbed into positive territory.
The two failed Senate votes to reopen the government didn't help the markets, but strong earnings from the chipmakers definitely helped.
Traders will continue to monitor the trade talks, the partial government shutdown, and earnings.
With high level talks between the U.S. and China next week and a deal deadline fast approaching, there's no time to waste. The mood is still optimistic, but we're going to need to see some concrete progress soon.
The longer the shutdown lasts, the greater the likelihood that we'll start to see some economic damage – transitory as it may be, it will not be good for stocks.
And while earnings season is off to a strong start, we 'only' have another 5 weeks left. Stocks typically go up during earnings season so that's helping to underpin the market. But we're going to need to see some progress in the other aforementioned items if stocks are going to keep this rally going.
There's plenty to be excited about right now.
And once some of these worries are lifted, most notably trade with China, stocks should soar.
Best,
Kevin Matras
Executive Vice President, Zacks Investment Research
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