Best Market Volatility Trade

Trader see the trade of the week inside... You receive this email, because you signed up to get email from YellowTunnel newsletter on 06/30/21.  If you no longer wish to receive any emails from YellowTunnel, please use the "Unsubscribe" link towards the bottom of this email. [Image] June 25th, 2023 | Issue 188   Hello Trader Another turbulent week in the market is behind us. In today's edition of our finance. As we continue into the second half of 2023, the question of inflation and market uncertainty is just as prevalent as it was to start the year. Back at home, just as we started the year with a fervent book club discussion, we held another one just this past week.  This time, our book club embarked on a fascinating journey that takes us from the realms of science fiction to the pressing realities of our modern financial landscape. Our adventure begins with a slight detour into the captivating pages of "The Gods Themselves" by Isaac Asimov, a novel that deftly weaves together parallel universes, human settlement on the Moon, and the quest for sustainable energy.  As we delve into the book's intricate tapestry of story, we encounter a profound realization: our existence, both as individuals and as a civilization, is intimately entwined with the availability and utilization of energy sources. The discussion of how reliant we are on energy and how we have always, as humans, sought out sources of energy to improve our well-being was a fascinating one and one that we do not often consider. Just as the characters in Asimov's work grapple with the intricate concepts of particle acceleration, isotopes, and the profound impact of gravity on human psychology and physicality, we are reminded of our own reliance on energy and its profound influence on our financial systems.  Consider the stark reality that even in this day and age, approximately 80% of our energy is derived from fossil fuels. The implications are profound for our planet, our markets, and our very way of life. The recent fluctuations in oil prices serve as a stark reminder of how energy markets can shape the conditions within which financial decisions are made. Traders and investors must pay heed to these fluctuations, as they harbor the potential to impact our economies and influence the trajectories of industries.  However, amid the challenges we face, there glimmers a ray of hope. In a breakthrough that once seemed confined to the pages of science fiction, scientists have recently achieved a net positive energy output through nuclear fusion. This momentous milestone brings us one step closer to realizing the sustainable and clean energy sources that Asimov's visionary tale alluded to. It signifies a future where our dependence on fossil fuels can be diminished, paving the way for a more resilient and prosperous financial landscape. So, my fellow financial adventurers, let us embark on this journey together. Let us explore the intricate connections between energy, markets, and our collective future. As we navigate the ever-changing tides of finance, let us remember that the lessons of the past and the promises of tomorrow are intertwined, guiding us toward a brighter and more sustainable world.  Until next time, stay curious and keep an eye on the horizon. [Image] To great returns, [Image] Vlad Karpel YellowTunnel and Tradespoon Founder P.S. [Click here]( for access to the Power Trading Live Strategy Roundtable Recorded every Thursday.   TRADE IDEA OF THE WEEK Best Market Volatility Trade Given the current market conditions and the prevailing uncertainties surrounding inflation and potential volatility, shorting the market with $SH as a hedge can be a prudent move for investors. As highlighted earlier, the Federal Reserve's commitment to combating inflation and the possibility of future rate adjustments, as well as concerns about global growth, have contributed to a cautious atmosphere in the market. By utilizing $SH, which aims to provide inverse returns to the S&P 500, investors can potentially benefit from downward movements in the market. This hedge trade strategy offers a means to safeguard portfolios against potential turbulence and capitalize on bearish market conditions.  As we anticipate increased volatility in the coming weeks, shorting the market with $SH can serve as a defensive measure to mitigate risks and potentially generate gains in a downward market. However, it is crucial to remember that $SH is designed for short-term trading strategies and tactical hedging, and careful monitoring and risk management are essential when engaging in such trades.  When reviewing our A.I. data we see several encouraging signals. SH holds a model grade of “A” putting it in our top 10% for accuracy within our data universe. Similarly, the symbol is showing a 52-week range which we currently sit at the bottom of. Trading near $14 with a 52-week range of $14-$17.71 indicates that there is plenty of room to the upside. As we head into Q3 of 2023, it is important to stay on top of the ever-changing market. With the power of my A.I., I believe I have discovered my next profit-making move and strategy for the upcoming week.  This week, I’ll be adding $SH to my portfolio! [Click here to read more about this week’s Power Trade pick…](     TRADE REVIEW In this edition of our trade review, we delve into a recent opportunity identified by our Profit Accelerator Trader (PAT) service. For those who missed it, you can catch the recording of our live trading room session from Tuesday.  Our PAT model flagged $RIG stock as an intriguing prospect, and we seized the opportunity to capitalize on the elevated implied volatility. To enhance our potential returns, we employed a strategy of selling out-of-the-money calls against the stock, allowing us to collect extra premium. This approach was particularly effective given the liquid nature of $RIG and the availability of weekly options.  One of the advantages of this strategy is the ability to generate a return by simply holding the position overnight. By selling options with strike prices above the current stock price, we positioned ourselves to profit from the time decay of these out-of-the-money options. This allowed us to collect a premium equivalent to approximately 0.5-1% of the underlying stock's value.  It's important to note that this strategy requires careful consideration of risk and reward. While the potential return may appear modest, the probability of success is typically higher when selling out-of-the-money options. Furthermore, our diligent analysis of the options market revealed that approximately half of the option volume for $RIG consisted of weekly options and options expiring on the same day (0 DTE options). This liquidity and availability of short-term options played a crucial role in our decision-making process.  One key differentiating factor between our paid and free services is the level of timely guidance we provide. Our paid subscribers receive SMS messages, ensuring they are promptly notified when it is time to enter or exit a trade. This real-time communication allows for optimal execution and the potential to capture the full benefit of market movements.  Remember, successful trading often lies in the combination of robust strategies, careful risk management, and timely execution. Stay tuned for more trade reviews and opportunities in future newsletters. [Click here to watch…](     (Advertisement) (A portion of Yellow Tunnel sales will go to directly help the Ukrainian people)     CURRENT TRADING LANDSCAPE Another week is in the books and Wall Street found itself on track for weekly losses after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite snapped their multi-day losing streaks on Thursday, ahead of Friday’s PMI data. Despite this recent setback, it's important to note that stocks are still poised to close the month with gains. The week started off positively, but the major U.S. indices took a downward turn, ultimately ending the week in the red. Source: barchart.com One significant event that influenced market sentiment was Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's testimony before the U.S. House Financial Services Committee. His remarks regarding the long road ahead in combating inflation and the likelihood of future policy tightening had a noticeable impact on stock prices, contributing to Wednesday's losses.  Concerns about global growth also weighed on investor sentiment, leading to three consecutive days of downward movement in the market. Powell's testimony continued to garner attention, while in the United Kingdom, inflation surprised economists by remaining unchanged in May, defying expectations of a decline. In response to this worrisome inflation, the Bank of England implemented a larger-than-expected rate hike to address the highest inflation within the G-7.  Amidst these developments, the market had to digest a plethora of headlines from the Federal Reserve. Powell emphasized the central bank's ongoing commitment to combating inflation and reiterated the need for further rate hikes, which impacted investor outlook. This, coupled with initial jobless claims in the United States remaining flat from the previous week, added to the cautious atmosphere.  In other news, the Federal Trade Commission filed a lawsuit against Amazon (AMZN) for alleged unauthorized enrollment of consumers in Amazon Prime and difficulties faced in canceling subscriptions. FedEx (FDX) experienced a decline in its stock price due to disappointing guidance. Major tech companies also witnessed a decrease in their shares, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average showed slight gains thanks to positive performances from UnitedHealth Group, Honeywell, and Caterpillar.  Recent economic data released on Friday indicates a further slowdown in the manufacturing economy, sparking concerns of an impending recession. The June reading for the U.S. Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) fell to 46.3, down from May's 48.4 reading and below the anticipated 48.4 forecasted by analysts. Additionally, the U.S. services index for June came in at 54.1, slightly lower than May's 54.9 figure but marginally higher than the projected 54. A reading below 50 implies a contraction in economic activity. These worrisome figures are not exclusive to the United States, as other nations also report similar concerns. Consequently, attention is now turning back to the possibility of the Federal Reserve resuming rate hikes in July, potentially leading to an economic slowdown in the United States.  Additionally, Bitcoin rallied on news of institutional players like BlackRock entering the market, while a rotation into value stocks and potential top-building in technology stocks were observed. It's worth noting that the market appears overbought, yet it continues to climb higher.  China's decision to lower interest rates and implement stimulus measures to revive its weak economy also had an impact on the market. However, China experienced a pullback this week, despite its investments in the electric vehicle industry, infrastructure stimulus, and efforts to stimulate the economy through interest rate adjustments. Something to note, the earnings report from FedEx, for example, revealed missed sales and downward guidance. Weak demand in Europe and China, along with a generally sluggish economy, were cited as reasons for the disappointing results.  Looking ahead, it is expected that the market will continue to trade sideways with the anticipation of increased volatility in the second half of the year. Following Powell's testimony, the PMI data released on Friday, and Thursday’sandThursday’s unemployment data it appears the next key player to shape market sentiment will be PCE data next week. As we analyze these market conditions, it is important to remain cautious, considering the Federal Reserve's commitment to higher interest rates and the historical strength of the U.S. Dollar. Based on these factors, there is a belief that the rally in the SPY may be capped at levels around $440-450, with short-term support potentially found in the range of 400-430 over the coming weeks. See $SPY Seasonal Chart: While the market may face challenges in the second half of the year, particularly with the potential for a bear market resurgence, it is essential to stay informed, monitor key indicators, and adjust strategies accordingly. With my A.I. system in hand, I plan to do just that- and it looks like my A.I. has found our next Power Trading Markets move! [Click here to read more…](   SECTOR SPOTLIGHT Amidst the prevailing currents of market volatility and the lingering uncertainty surrounding inflation, astute traders and investors are seeking ways to navigate the challenging waters ahead. As we chart our course for the coming week, there is a particular hedge trade strategy that has piqued our interest, offering potential protection and opportunity amidst the fluctuating tides. This carefully selected approach aims to capitalize on the prevailing market conditions, providing a shield against potential turbulence while positioning ourselves for potential gains. With anticipation building, we are eager to explore this hedge trade in the coming days, as it presents an intriguing prospect to safeguard our portfolios. ProShares Short S&P 500 (SH) is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that aims to provide investors with inverse exposure to the performance of the S&P 500 index. In other words, $SH is designed to deliver the opposite returns of the S&P 500 on a daily basis. As an ETF, $SH offers investors a convenient way to hedge against or take advantage of potential downward movements in the broader market. By seeking to provide inverse returns, $SH has garnered attention from traders and investors looking to protect their portfolios or capitalize on bearish market conditions. It is important to note that $SH is not intended for long-term investment but rather for short-term trading strategies and tactical hedging.  After reviewing the latest market conditions, it appears a top has been set and shorting the market should prove beneficial at the right time. As we’ve seen the market fluctuate throughout the year, it is important to always have a strategy and at this time, I believe mine will be hedged. Using symbols like $PSQ and $SH, which short these market-leading ETFs is a prudent investment when it appears that the market is due for a downswing. While I see the technical levels for such an occurrence, let’s double-check with my A.I. toolset. [Click here to continue reading…](   NOTE: We encourage all subscribers [to view the instructional videos]( on how to use your membership best and invite our members to participate in live weekly strategy roundtable workshops that are also archived for your convenience so that they can be viewed at a later time.   [How To Trade a Bear Market Strategy](  With the unpredictable nature of the market and the uncertainty ahead of us, I can’t emphasize enough how vital it is for our readers and members of the Yellow Tunnel community to keep referring to our Live Trading Room so as to maintain a close tie of how our I and my AI platform is navigating us in and out of select trades. [It’s FREE and I highly encourage everyone to sign up for the Live Trading Room and keep checking in throughout the trading day.Â](  Every Monday and Wednesday, I highlight our best strategies and potential trading setups via the DISCORD server. It’s the future of bringing together a trading community’s total services, educational products, live chat venues, support, news, how-to tutorials, webinars, live-trading demonstrations, and tons of market analysis. It is incredibly interactive and full of crucial and timely information. Just go to: [(  I also want to emphasize to traders how vital a stop-loss discipline is to winning and being successful in an unforgiving market. We employ specific stop-loss instructions with every trade. The buy and sell programs controlled by high-frequency related algorithms can create great profits or cause sudden losses, so it is imperative to maintain an element of controlling risk with each trade. TRADING CONCEPTS - VIDEO Market Analysis To effectively trade in today's rapidly moving equity markets, active day traders and swing traders must stay ahead of market changes due to inflation, global uncertainty, politics, as well as innovations and technological changes used by hedge fund traders and proprietary trading firms. With traders like you in mind, we designed this intensive roundtable where you will deepen your understanding of all aspects of stock and options trading in today’s changing market. [Click here to watch the video...](   DISCLAIMER: Vlad and his team may have a financial interest in the picks as they trade many of the same equities and options they pick. Vlad Karpel and YellowTunnel (Company) is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. All investing strategies are made available to the general public on a regular basis. We do not provide personalized financial advice or investment recommendations. As an investor, you know that any kind of investment opportunity has its risks. There is no such thing as low-risk stocks and we recommend you invest wisely and that only risk capital should be used to trade. Investing in Stocks and Options is highly speculative. No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed here and on our website. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE SUCCESS: It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators developed at YellowTunnel will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. Nor should it be assumed that future picks will be profitable or will equal past performance. All of the content on our website and in our email alerts is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell securities. Remember, you should always consult with a licensed securities professional before purchasing or selling securities of companies profiled or discussed on YellowTunnel.com. Performance results that are discussed above are from the Live Trading Room. Multiple YellowTunnel tools were used to achieve these results. Trade % Gain/Loss is calculated by dividing the $ Gain/Loss by the Max Risk, which is the posted Stop Loss for the trade. Yellow Tunnel’s performance data represents the average return on all trading recommendations from January 1, 2020, to today. *Win rate percentage reflects the average that Yellow Tunnel’s software helped me identify a profitable investment strategy.** Triple-digit returns are not typical and are not intended to reflect the likelihood of similar returns in the future. This email was sent to {EMAIL} by info@yellowtunnel.com. Questions or inquiries regarding the website and/or service may be submitted via email to i[nfo@yellowtunnel.com](mailto:Info@Yellowtunnel.com?subject=Questions%20or%20Inquires%20PTM%20Blog). You may also complete our [inquiry form located here](.  YellowTunnel LLC, 318 Half Day Rd., Suite #215, Buffalo Grove, Illinois 60089. Website: [](  Copyright © 2023 Yellow Tunnel LLC. 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