Better Than a Crystal Ball

Who needs a crystal ball when you have this? [Shield] AN OXFORD CLUB PUBLICATION [Wealthy Retirement]( [View in browser]( SPONSORED [6,570% vs. 491%!]( Over the last 20 years... one approach to the markets dominated in historical testing. It produced a 6,570% gain vs. just 491% for the S&P 500. [Claim Your Spot in Alex Green's FREE Training Here Revealing This Portfolio in Full.]( [MARKET TRENDS]( [Better Than a Crystal Ball]( [Marc Lichtenfeld, Chief Income Strategist, The Oxford Club]( [Marc Lichtenfeld]( I met one of my best friends more than 25 years ago on the trading desk. He's a very private person, so I'll call him Chris (even though his name is Mike). He runs a small hedge fund, and we chat online every day the market is open. On Friday, as stocks were moving higher and interest rates were plummeting, we were discussing the day's market action. M: Feels like the market wants to melt up. C: Market is telling Powell to go jump in a lake. Full disclosure, my buddy Chris used much more colorful language than that. The language used on the trading desk could make a Samuel L. Jackson rant after stubbing his toe seem tame. But since we keep it classy here at Wealthy Retirement, we'll leave it at "go jump in a lake." You probably get the idea of what he was saying. Inflation has come way down from the near-double-digit readings we saw just a few months ago. It's currently at 3.2%. And Fed Chair Jay Powell has been steadfast in his insistence that the Fed will tame inflation and will not back off until the mission is accomplished. But a quick look at interest rates tells you the markets aren't too worried about future rate hikes. SPONSORED [A Weird Income Tactic So Simple and So Lucrative...]( It Has Billionaires JOKING About It! [Taking candy from a baby HL]( There's an unusual income tactic Warren Buffett has relied on time and time again for BILLIONS in dividend payouts. Carl Icahn once joked it was "like taking candy from a baby." [Click Here to Discover Why One "Market Maven" Says He's Going "All-In" on This Income Method... RIGHT NOW.]( The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury has come all the way down from 5% in mid-October to under 4.2% as of this morning. That's a big move in a short amount of time. [Chart: The Bond Market Is Calling Powell's Bluff]( Markets tend to be forward-looking mechanisms. They generally forecast about six to 12 months into the future. That's why you sometimes see stocks bottom and start to rebound while the economy is still in a recession. When that happens, it signals that the recession is likely to end soon. Similarly, when stocks fall while things are booming, that tells you the good times might be about to end. The rapid decline in bond yields suggests to me that the market believes the Fed is done raising rates and that the Fed's next move will be a reduction in rates, not a hike. The futures market agrees. According to the fed funds futures data, there is a near-zero probability that the Fed will raise rates in 2024, and it is a near certainty that it will lower them by late next year. Now, markets are not always right. Things change, data fluctuates and investors respond accordingly. But generally speaking, it pays to listen to what the markets tell you, because they are a good barometer of what is likely to happen. With stocks climbing and interest rates falling, my interpretation is that inflation is fading and the Fed should be close to finished with its rate hikes. Should that occur, Jay Powell may find he has more time to relax... perhaps at a lake. Good investing, Marc P.S. If the constant back-and-forth about the Fed and interest rates has you feeling like you want to jump in a lake, my counterpart here at The Oxford Club, Chief Investment Strategist Alexander Green, has a [solution for you](. Tomorrow at 1 p.m. ET, he's hosting a free training called "How to Build the Perfect Fed-Proof Portfolio." Our research team and legal team have confirmed that a portfolio of stocks that [meet Alex's four key criteria]( would've more than doubled your money since the start of 2021! [Chart: ]( [Sign up to learn the four components of a Fed-proof portfolio - for free.]( (If you can't make it tomorrow, no worries! Just sign up today, and we'll record the event and send you a link so you can rewatch it at your convenience.) [Leave a Comment]( [Investment U Conference 2024 at the Ojai Valley Inn & Spa in Ojai, California, February 26-29, 2024]( RECOMMENDED LINKS [Wall Street PROJECTS $30 Energy Stock Will Rise to $280 in 18 Months!]( ["My First Impression Was 'You've GOT to Be KIDDING Me!'" - Bill O'Reilly]( MORE FROM WEALTHY RETIREMENT [Image of a man in a suit pulling back his shirt to reveal a Superman logo with a dollar sign]( [The Federal Reserve's Aspiring Superhero]( [Image of a rocket taking off ]( [A Surge Could Be Coming for Small Cap Stocks]( [Image of the front of a Bristol Myers Squibb building]( [Can Bristol Myers Squibb Keep Its Streak Alive?]( [Image of a newspaper headline that says "stock market crash"]( [Why We Won't See a Stock Market Crash Anytime Soon]( [Facebook]( [Facebook]( [LinkedIn logo]( [LinkedIn]( [Email Share](mailto:?subject=A%20great%20piece%20from%20Wealthy%20Retirement...&body=From%20Wealthy%20Retirement:%0D%0A%0D%0AWho needs a crystal ball when you have this?%0D%0A%0D [Email Share](mailto:?subject=A%20great%20piece%20from%20Wealthy%20Retirement...&body=From%20Wealthy%20Retirement:%0D%0A%0D%0AWho needs a crystal ball when you have this?%0D%0A%0D [Push Alert]( [Push Alert]( SPONSORED [Company Insiders Pouring Money Into One $8 Stock]( [Company Insiders Pouring Money]( [See Why Here!]( [The Oxford Club]( You are receiving this email because you subscribed to Wealthy Retirement. 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