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wealthyretirement.com

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Tue, Dec 21, 2021 09:40 PM

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If Charlie Munger is nervous, then you should be too... SPONSORED He bought Amazon when it was tradi

If Charlie Munger is nervous, then you should be too... [Shield] AN OXFORD CLUB PUBLICATION [Wealthy Retirement]( [View in browser]( SPONSORED [Market Millionaire Discovers "Perfect Stock"]( [AG on Stage]( He bought Amazon when it was trading around $30... Netflix when it was around $2... And Apple when it was less than $1 a share... And now... Market millionaire Alexander Green says he's discovered the "Perfect Stock" that could be the key to your retirement. [Find out about this $3 stock before share prices go up.]( Editor's Note: If you're like Contributing Analyst Jody Chudley and investing legend Charlie Munger, you're wondering when this market's hyperinflated bubble will pop. But you can sleep soundly knowing you prepared yourself by viewing [The 2022 Stock Market Fast Track]( event, which airs on Wednesday, December 29, at 8 p.m. ET. In it, TradeSmith CEO Keith Kaplan reveals the trick that helped him sidestep the damages of the COVID-19 crash in the spring of 2020 and buy up stocks during the recovery. [Find more information and register here.]( - Kyle Wehrle, Assistant Managing Editor [MARKET TRENDS]( [Today's Market Is Dangerously Overvalued]( [Jody Chudley, Contributing Analyst, The Oxford Club]( [Jody Chudley]( For 50-plus years, Charlie Munger has been the vice chairman to Warren Buffett at the publicly traded conglomerate Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK-B). Munger is brilliant and every bit the intellectual equal to the Oracle of Omaha. From 1962 through 1975, Munger ran an investment partnership (the firm known as Wheeler, Munger & Co.). His performance was incredible. Over that time period, the S&P 500 rose by an average annualized rate of 5.2%. Meanwhile, the Munger partnership increased by an average annualized rate of 19.8%. While a $10,000 investment made in the S&P 500 at the beginning of 1962 would have turned into $20,333 by the end of 1975... A simultaneous $10,000 investment made in the Munger partnership would have been worth $125,428 over the same time period. Listen to What Charlie Munger Is Saying Today Munger has seen it all... Even with his decades and decades of experience, he thinks the market today sticks out like a bad omen. At a recent investment conference, Munger told the crowd that the current market is dangerously overvalued. His said, "Some of the valuations we saw in the dot-com boom were higher, but overall, I consider this as being even crazier than the dot-com boom, which blew up in 2000." The parallels to the dot-com bubble are easy to spot. Perhaps the single clearest data point is in the chart below, which shows the recent spike in the number of stocks trading at absurd multiples of revenue. [Total Market Cap of Stocks With a Price-to-Sales Ratio of More Than 20X]( As you can see, there are now more than $4.5 trillion worth of stocks trading at more than 20 times sales today. For some perspective, in the spring of 2000 - at the peak of the tech bubble - there were just $3.6 trillion worth of stocks trading at more than 20 times sales. At these multiples, these companies are priced beyond perfection. The long-term upside for stocks priced like these is minimal, but the downside is severe. Shareholders of pioneering e-signature company DocuSign (Nasdaq: DOCU) just learned that lesson the hard way. SPONSORED [Larry Kudlow Drops Inflation Crisis Bombshell]( [Larry Kudlow Drops Bombshell]( Prices on gas, groceries, cars and homes have exploded. [But Larry Kudlow explores a solution that could offer "financial independence for life."]( Going into DocuSign's third quarter earnings announcement, the company was trading at the steep valuation of more than 30 times sales. When DocuSign's third quarter earnings were released and included a disappointing fourth quarter revenue forecast, the market took the stock out to the woodshed, as you can see below. [What Happens When Stocks Are Priced Beyond Perfection]( DocuSign's shares dropped more than 40% within the day. Interestingly, DocuSign is still expecting to grow its revenue from $545 million to $560 million in its fourth quarter. The "issue" is that DocuSign isn't forecast to grow as fast as expected. At the more than 30 times sales that DocuSign was trading at, the market was pricing the company for astoundingly high, indefinite growth. When incredibly overvalued companies disappoint, this kind of stock market reaction is what happens. This isn't to say you can't find good opportunities in the market today. Personally, I don't think that at all. What I'm saying, alongside Charlie Munger, is that the parts of the market that are expensive today have become ABSURDLY expensive. These are the areas of the market to avoid. DocuSign is only one example. Other companies to avoid include Tesla (Nasdaq: TSLA), which has an astounding $1 trillion market valuation and hardly any income being generated from its core automobile business. These are the kind of stocks you need to avoid... Stocks that Charlie Munger thinks are making today's market crazier than the dot-com bubble - which ended miserably for so many investors. Good investing, Jody [Leave a Comment]( MORE FROM WEALTHY RETIREMENT [Watering Tree]( [Don't Let Your 2021 Gains Become 2022 Losers]( [Best of 2021]( [The Best of 2021]( [Tiny Businessman Looking Up at a Big Businessman]( [The Little Guys' Big Break]( [Wooden Framing of a House]( [A Decade of Underbuilding Has Created a Homebuilding Boom]( [Facebook]( [Facebook]( [Twitter]( [Twitter]( [Email Share](mailto:?subject=A%20great%20piece%20from%20Wealthy%20Retirement...&body=From%20Wealthy%20Retirement:%0D%0A%0D%0AIf%20Charlie%20Munger%20is%20nervous,%20then%20you%20should%20be%20too...%0D%0A%0D [Email Share](mailto:?subject=A%20great%20piece%20from%20Wealthy%20Retirement...&body=From%20Wealthy%20Retirement:%0D%0A%0D%0AIf%20Charlie%20Munger%20is%20nervous,%20then%20you%20should%20be%20too...%0D%0A%0D [Email Share]( [Push Alert]( SPONSORED [1 Trade Idea Delivered Every Week]( [Watch This]( [83% win rate]( and a guarantee he beats that! Has this former CBOE trader lost his mind?? [Watch this immediately.]( [The Oxford Club]( You are receiving this email because you subscribed to Wealthy Retirement. Wealthy Retirement is published by The Oxford Club. Questions? Check out our [FAQs](. Trying to reach us? [Contact us here.]( Please do not reply to this email as it goes to an unmonitored inbox. [Privacy Policy]( | [Whitelist Wealthy Retirement]( | [Unsubscribe]( © 2021 The Oxford Club, LLC All Rights Reserved The Oxford Club | [105 West Monument Street](#) | [Baltimore, MD 21201](#) North America: [1.800.589.3430](#) | International: [+1.443.353.4334](#) | Fax: [1.410.329.1923](#) [Oxfordclub.com]( The Oxford Club is a financial publisher that does not offer any personal financial advice or advocate the purchase or sale of any security or investment for any specific individual. Members should be aware that although our track record is highly rated by an independent analysis and has been legally reviewed, investment markets have inherent risks and there can be no guarantee of future profits. The stated returns may also include option trades. We expressly forbid our writers from having a financial interest in their own securities recommendations to readers. All of our employees and agents must wait 24 hours after online publication or 72 hours after the mailing of printed-only publications prior to following an initial recommendation. Any investments recommended by The Oxford Club should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company. Protected by copyright laws of the United States and international treaties. The information found on this website may only be used pursuant to the membership or subscription agreement and any reproduction, copying, or redistribution (electronic or otherwise, including on the world wide web), in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of The Oxford Club, 105 W. Monument Street, Baltimore MD 21201.

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