It might be too good to be true... [Wealthy Retirement]( SPONSORED [Former Chicago Board Options Exchange Trader Predicts...]( [Click Play]( Stockflation is coming... Get ready now! [Here's how to protect your cash - click here.]( [SAFETY NET]( Beware a Third Dividend Cut for This 8.9% Yielder Marc Lichtenfeld, Chief Income Strategist, The Oxford Club [Marc Lichtenfeld] I don't envy managers of mortgage real estate investment trusts ([REITs]( like the company I'm analyzing in today's Safety Net. It's tough to generate big profits these days. And that means problems when it comes to mortgage REITs' [dividends](. Mortgage REITs make money by borrowing cash in the short term at lower interest rates and lending it out longer term at higher rates. The difference, minus expenses, is called net interest income and is how we measure a mortgage REIT's financial performance. When the difference (the spread) between short- and long-term rates is large, mortgage REITs make more money. When it tightens, they make less. And over the past decade, the spread has been getting smaller. The chart below shows the difference between the yields of the 10-year Treasury and 2-year Treasury. In 2020 and 2021, the spread started to widen, which is positive for mortgage REITs, though it was still quite low by historical standards. Unfortunately for mortgage REITs and their investors, the spread is declining again. [The Interest Rate Spread Begins to Decline Again]( In this environment, it's not surprising that Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (NYSE: ARI) has cut its dividend twice in the past year and a half. It currently pays a $0.35 per share quarterly dividend, down from $0.40 in March of last year and $0.46 in 2019. The current dividend yield is 8.9%. SPONSORED [SHOCKING: $100 Billion Surging Into the 5G Market]( [Closeup $100 Bills]( What do Verizon, AT&T, T-Mobile, Dish Network, Charter Communications and Comcast have in common? According to Barron's, they're all participating in "secret bidding" to secure as much as $100 billion worth of 5G spectrum. The big winner in all of this frenzied spending? This little-known tech stock, which trades for less than $20 a share. [Get the scoop here...]( Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance invests in commercial real estate mortgages in the U.S. and Europe. In 2020, net interest income was $278.7 million, down considerably from the $334.5 million the previous year. The company paid out $251.3 million in dividends, so the dividend was covered. This year, net interest income is forecast to dip again to $276.5 million. SafetyNet Pro does not like to see that. The model penalizes companies whose cash flow or net interest income are declining. What Is SafetyNet Pro?SafetyNet Pro is a groundbreaking tool that predicts dividend cuts with stunning accuracy. With it, you can determine the dividend safety rating of nearly 1,000 stocks. Access to SafetyNet Pro is reserved exclusively for subscribers of Marc's newsletter, The Oxford Income Letter. To learn more about SafetyNet Pro and The Oxford Income Letter, [click here now](. Combine two years of falling net interest income with two dividend cuts in 18 months, and you get a low dividend safety rating, suggesting another cut is coming in the next year or so. And if the spread continues to decline, the company is even more likely to have to reduce the payout. Dividend Safety Rating: F [Dividend Grade Guide] If you have a stock whose dividend safety you'd like me to analyze, leave the ticker symbol in the [comments](. You can also click on the magnifying glass in the upper right part of the [Wealthy Retirement homepage]( and enter the name of the company to see whether I've written about your favorite dividend stock recently. Good investing, Marc [Leave a Comment]( TYPE A COMPANY'S NAME BELOW MORE FROM WEALTHY RETIREMENT [The Way Forward for a Robbed Generation]( [Investing Doesn't Have to Be Hard]( [How to Play the Market's Shift Into Value]( [Facebook](
[Facebook](
[Twitter](
[Twitter](
[Email Share](mailto:?subject=A%20great%20piece%20from%20Wealthy%20Retirement...&body=From%20Wealthy%20Retirement:%0D%0A%0D%0AIt%20might%20be%20too%20good%20to%20be%20true...%0D%0A%0D
[Email Share](mailto:?subject=A%20great%20piece%20from%20Wealthy%20Retirement...&body=From%20Wealthy%20Retirement:%0D%0A%0D%0AIt%20might%20be%20too%20good%20to%20be%20true...%0D%0A%0D
[Email Share](
[Push Alert]( SPONSORED ["She'll Be in Total and Utter SHOCK!"]( [Older Couple]( Just imagine... you make a simple change to your brokerage account today. Just 45 days later, you show the balance to your spouse. And there it is... a stack of fresh greenbacks just sitting in the bank. "How on earth did that happen?!" she exclaims. [Instead of spilling the beans yourself, we recommend you simply show her THIS video.]( [The Oxford Club]( You are receiving this email because you subscribed to Wealthy Retirement.
Wealthy Retirement is published by The Oxford Club.
Questions? Check out our [FAQs](. Trying to reach us? [Contact us here.]( Please do not reply to this email as it goes to an unmonitored inbox. [Privacy Policy]( | [Whitelist Wealthy Retirement]( | [Unsubscribe]( © 2021 The Oxford Club, LLC All Rights Reserved
The Oxford Club | [105 West Monument Street](#) | [Baltimore, MD 21201](#)
North America: [1.800.589.3430](#) | International: [+1.443.353.4334](#) | Fax: [1.410.329.1923](#)
[Oxfordclub.com]( The Oxford Club is a financial publisher that does not offer any personal financial advice or advocate the purchase or sale of any security or investment for any specific individual. Members should be aware that although our track record is highly rated by an independent analysis and has been legally reviewed, investment markets have inherent risks and there can be no guarantee of future profits. The stated returns may also include option trades. We expressly forbid our writers from having a financial interest in their own securities recommendations to readers. All of our employees and agents must wait 24 hours after online publication or 72 hours after the mailing of printed-only publications prior to following an initial recommendation. Any investments recommended by The Oxford Club should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company. Protected by copyright laws of the United States and international treaties. The information found on this website may only be used pursuant to the membership or subscription agreement and any reproduction, copying, or redistribution (electronic or otherwise, including on the world wide web), in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of The Oxford Club, 105 W. Monument Street, Baltimore MD 21201.