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The Intel Problem

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Wed, Mar 24, 2021 07:27 PM

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Wealth Daily editor Briton Ryle hasn’t spoken at a conference, taken questions, or even just ru

Wealth Daily editor Briton Ryle hasn’t spoken at a conference, taken questions, or even just rubbed shoulders with investors in over a year, so he’s lost track of why investors seem to think Intel is a good investment. But since nobody’s gonna yell "sell" in a crowded trade, consider this your heads up on Intel. Wealth Daily editor Briton Ryle hasn’t spoken at a conference, taken questions, or even just rubbed shoulders with investors in over a year, so he’s lost track of why investors seem to think Intel is a good investment. But since nobody’s gonna yell "sell" in a crowded trade, consider this your heads up on Intel. [Wealth Daily logo] The Intel Problem [Briton Ryle Photo] By [Briton Ryle]( Written Mar 24, 2021 I feel a little out of touch. I guess that’s not totally surprising here in the COVID age. Speaking of COVID, my son just got his first dose of vaccine apparently because he has a retail job that he works for six hours on Saturdays. My daughter got her first last week. She’s at school in New Orleans, where smoking cigarettes puts you in the “at-risk” group. She doesn’t smoke either, except for when the clinic nurses are looking... Me? I’m 55, and my group doesn’t become eligible here in Maryland until April 27. Another month. I understand vaccine programs in some states are now completely open to anyone that wants a jab. I know our Governor Larry Hogan has aspirations for higher office, largely due to his handling of the pandemic. But I gotta say, my confidence is waning pretty fast. Anyway, COVID isn’t really why I’m feeling out of touch today. It’s actually Intel’s (NASDAQ: INTC) fault. I haven’t spoken at a conference, taken questions, or even just rubbed shoulders with investors in over a year, so I’ve lost track of why investors seem to think that Intel is a good investment these days. Green Energy Is a Pipe Dream Without This Substance See this unmarked tank? [mi green lift tank] It contains a revolutionary substance. Experts call it the "ultimate energy storage." Thanks to Biden’s $1.7 trillion clean energy program, the demand for this substance is expected to skyrocket by 3,779%. His 100% renewable energy plan won’t be possible without this kind of energy storage. [One tiny company]( owns the patented technology to make this substance at an ultra-low cost. Its stock could see extraordinary gains soon. Shares trades for less than $1... But with a huge announcement likely around the corner, this could change very soon. [Click here to find out what this is all about.]( We Got Rules See If we ignore the internet bubble highs, Intel’s highs are a bit over $68 a share. Actually, it’s four bits over — $68.47. And those highs came after the company gave up on mobile and 5G chips and completely screwed up its attempts to shrink its chips down to 7 nanometers. Chips getting smaller, that’s the very essence of Moore’s Law. Now, ole Gordo was one of Intel’s founders, so you might consider Moore’s Law to be something of a founding principle at Intel. And you might also consider Intel’s inability to follow the rules a good example of irony. However, the big irony, at least to me, is that Intel still seems to be considered a good, long-term investment. Some stocks just seem to get labeled “safe” or “reliable,” and investors just stop doing the research that established the safety and reliability of a company in the first place. It’s like what happened with GE, which was a mainstay for two generations. It was an original Dow Industrials stock and a huge innovator — MRIs, jet engines, the X-ray, television; GE even had an electric car in 1968. Nobody wants to admit it, but Jack Welch ruined GE when he moved it into financial services. It was great while those GE-backed credit cards drove profit growth for the Welch years... not so great when the GFC gutted that business and sent GE into a death spiral. But GE's reputation held on pretty well. I can’t tell you the number of people who've asked me if it's time to buy GE. My answer is always the same: Nope, GE is a broken company. I put Intel in the same category: broken company. The Financial Reality of Intel From 2009 to 2017, Intel traded at reasonable levels between $15 and $35. It took off in 2017 and has since traded between $45 and $65. Why the ramp job? I’d say it was the cloud and data centers. Investors really “got” the cloud story around 2017, and Intel’s +95% market share of data center chips was part and parcel of the cloud story. Did You See Jeff Bezos’ 60 Minutes BOMBSHELL? Jeff Bezos casually let slip that he’s going in on a groundbreaking new technology set to alter the lives of 324 million Americans... It will impact $7 out of every $10 we spend... And could hand fast-moving investors a titanic four-figure windfall in the coming years. [Click here immediately to discover the new sector Jeff is betting big on.]( But just like Welch did at GE, Intel was selling out its history of innovation to rely on one go-go aspect of its business. I sometimes marvel that AMD eating into Intel’s market share, and Amazon’s move to use its data center chips at AWS, hasn’t really dented the Intel rep. I marvel, but I also know why. Vanguard owns $16.8 billion worth of Intel shares. They are sitting in your index funds. BlackRock owns $15 billion worth. In all, 3,500 institutions own 66% of Intel. How do you get out of that position without causing the stock to crash? The answer is: slowly and carefully. Nobody’s gonna yell "sell" in a crowded trade, so consider this a heads up on Intel. I don’t know what the final straw will be for Intel and its investors, but it’s coming. And to quote one of GE's first big television hits, "One of these days, Alice... bang... zoom," but it won't be the moon the share price heads to... kinda the opposite. Until next time, [brit''s sig] Briton Ryle [[follow basic]@BritonRyle on Twitter]( A 21-year veteran of the newsletter business, Briton Ryle is the editor of [The Wealth Advisory]( income stock newsletter, with a focus on top-quality dividend growth stocks and REITs. Briton also manages the [Real Income Trader]( advisory service, where his readers take regular cash payouts using a low-risk covered call option strategy. He is also the managing editor of the [Wealth Daily]( e-letter. To learn more about Briton, [click here.]( Browse Our Archives [Coinbase Delays Public Debut to April]( [Tesla to $3,000?]( [Where to Invest $1,400 Today]( [Tesla's “Technoking” Makes His Grand Entrance]( [My Top 3 Stimulus Check Investments]( --------------------------------------------------------------- This email was sent to {EMAIL}. It is not our intention to send email to anyone who doesn't want it. If you're not sure why you've received this e-letter, or no longer wish to receive it, you may [unsubscribe here](, and view our privacy policy and information on how to manage your subscription. To ensure that you receive future issues of Wealth Daily, please add newsletter@wealthdaily.com to your address book or whitelist within your spam settings. For customer service questions or issues, please contact us for assistance. [Wealth Daily](, Copyright © 2021, [Angel Publishing LLC](. All rights reserved. 3 E Read Street Baltimore, MD 21202. The content of this site may not be redistributed without the express written consent of Angel Publishing. Individual editorials, articles and essays appearing on this site may be republished, but only with full attribution of both the author and Wealth Daily as well as a link to www.wealthdaily.com. Your privacy is important to us -- we will never rent or sell your e-mail or personal information. [View our privacy policy here.]( No statement or expression of opinion, or any other matter herein, directly or indirectly, is an offer or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell the securities or financial instruments mentioned. While we believe the sources of information to be reliable, we in no way represent or guarantee the accuracy of the statements made herein. [Wealth Daily]( does not provide individual investment counseling, act as an investment advisor, or individually advocate the purchase or sale of any security or investment. Neither the publisher nor the editors are registered investment advisors. Subscribers should not view this publication as offering personalized legal or investment counseling. Investments recommended in this publication should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company in question. ---------------------------------------------------------------

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