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Has the Market Bottomed? Find Out Here...

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Thu, Apr 23, 2020 03:27 PM

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  You are receiving this email because you signed up to receive True Market Insider. [Unsubscribe]( Keep the emails you value from falling into your spam folder. [Whitelist True Market Insider](. Forgot your login information? Click [here](.     Has the Market Bottomed? Find Out Here...   Everyone wants to know if the stock market has bottomed. On March 23rd, the S&P 500, the primary US stock market benchmark, fell to a recent low of 2,237 (2,191 intraday). From the February record highs, that’s a decline of -35% from peak to trough. On that very same day, the two other major stock market averages (The Dow Jones Industrials Average and the NASDAQ Composite) also hit their respective lows. And since, the indices have rebounded, gaining back a good portion of the losses. But they all trade well below the February record highs and still considered in correction territory (a decline of 10% or more from the peak). Some technical strategists believe that the bear market has only begun. --------------------------------------------------------------- [TRADE WITHOUT STRESS](   Learn this revolutionary trading method that produces 1,000% gains and removes risk from trades. [You've gotta see this]( --------------------------------------------------------------- RECENT STORIES [Want to Make Consistent Money in the Market?]( [The Most Accurate Indicator You've Never Heard Of]( [The Best Traders All Have This "Superpower"]( [Before You “Double Down” on a Losing Stock, Do This Instead…](   --------------------------------------------------------------- Others are less bearish, but are still skeptical of the bounce. They believe that the next bull market phase cannot begin until we see a retest of the March lows. Often, it’s that second wave of selling that truly washes out the last of the weak hands and gives birth to a new bull market. In fact, this is what occurred in early 2016. While a retest of a major low is a typical bottoming pattern, it doesn’t always happen. There is the V-shaped bottoming pattern too, like what had occurred in late 2018. The stock market hit a major low on December 24th (the Christmas Eve massacre), then rallied and never looked back. So far, this selloff is tracing the V-shape pattern. But that doesn’t necessarily mean another selling tsunami is about to hit, or that we’re headed for a retest of the recent lows (or worse). So which is it? Obviously no one can say for sure. But there is one technical pattern hidden in the charts that points to the March lows as being THE "low” in the cycle. I’m referring to a chart pattern known as an Outside Reversal. What Is An Outside Reversal? An outside reversal is a price pattern that indicates a potential change in trend on a price chart. On a daily chart, the two-day pattern is observed when a security’s high and low prices for the day exceed the high and low of the previous day’s trading session. Since the stock market has been declining and in a bearish trend, we’ll be looking to spot a bullish engulfing pattern. This is pattern you'll find on candlestick charts. Generally, this is what a bullish engulfing candlestick chart pattern looks like. When the bullish engulfing candle pattern occurs at an extreme low it’s considered to be an “outside day” reversal – a bearish-to-bullish change in trend. Let’s look again at the six month daily chart in the S&P 500… Do you see the candlestick in the black oval circle? That is Monday, March 23rd, when the S&P 500 made the low. Does this ugly red candlestick look like a bullish engulfing candlestick? Not at all… The S&P 500 managed to finish well off the lows, but still closed down more than -3% on the day. Now let’s make one simple adjustment to the price chart. Instead of the viewing a daily chart, let’s look at the weekly chart in the S&P 500. Whoa!!! Look at the price action during the week-ending March 27th (the green arrow). We see the S&P 500 finishing the week higher than the previous week while making a lower low and a higher high. That’s a bullish engulfing candle. And when it occurs after a major selloff (the S&P 500 declined -35% from the February record high), it’s considered an outside reversal. And in this instance, we’re looking at an “outside week” reversal. And let me tell you, “outside week” bullish reversals have been rare of late. In fact, over the past four years, there have only been two other instances of this pattern formation. And in both cases, the “outside week” reversal turned out to be THE LOW and a signal that the stock market was a screaming BUY! The previous outside week reversal was in June 2019. From there, the S&P 500 gained an additional +18% and topped out at the February 2020 all-time record high. And the one before that was in June 2016. This one happened to occur after the retest and double bottom low we mentioned earlier. After that outside week reversal, the S&P 500 went on an 18-month rally, gaining an additional +37%. This brings us to the recent outside week reversal in March 2020 For the week ending March 27th. So far, the S&P 500 has gained an additional +13%. Time will tell if this outside week reversal marked THE LOW… …and whether this corrective phase turns out to be V-shaped recovery, a double-bottom retest, or perhaps simply one pattern in a deeper bear market correction. That history has yet to be written. But what I will tell you is that global central banks and the government have taken extraordinary measures to pump massive amounts of liquidity into the financial system. Should stocks again pull back, it will likely be a tremendous buying opportunity, and excellent news for those that have missed the rally off of the mid-March lows. Before I go... Have you saved your seat in [Chris Rowe's upcoming free investor event](? This coming Wednesday Chris is going to reveal a strategy you can use to pull cash out of a position while staying in the position. Until now this strategy has been the exclusive property of professional market makers (I saw it used during my seven years as a trader on the Philly exchange.) On Wednesday [Chris is making it available to individual investors like you](. I'll be "tuning in" and I hope you join me. In next week’s column, we’ll take a look at three strong sectors and three strong stocks that are beating back the coronavirus pandemic. Until then, be well and stay safe! [CostasBocelliSig] Costas Bocelli True Market Insiders ---------------------------------------------------------------   [The Secret to Stress Free Trading]( [This revolutionary method lets you rack up HUGE gains while taking your risk all the way to ZERO]( [Details Here](   Copyright © 2020 True Market Insiders, All rights reserved. Our mailing address is: 33 SE 8th St, Boca Raton, FL 33432 Want to change how you receive these emails? You can [update your preferences]( or [unsubscribe from this list](   DISCLAIMER The information contained herein has been prepared without regard to any particular investor’s investment objectives, financial situation, and needs. Accordingly, investors should not act on any recommendation (express or implied) or information in this material without obtaining specific advice from their financial advisors and should not rely on information herein as the primary basis for their investment decisions. True Market Insiders LLC is not an investment advisor and is not licensed to give specific financial advice. The chairman of True Market Insiders, Chris Rowe, is also the CEO, CIO and owner of Rowe Wealth Management LLC, which is not owned by and is not the owner of True Market Insiders. Information contained herein is based on data obtained from recognized statistical services, issuer reports or communications, or other sources believed to be reliable (“information providers”). However, such information has not been verified by True Market Insiders or the information provider and TMM and the information providers make no representations or warranties or take any responsibility as to the accuracy or completeness of any recommendation or information contained herein. TMM and the information provider accept no liability to the recipient whatsoever whether in contract, in tort, for negligence, or otherwise for any direct, indirect, consequential, or special loss of any kind arising out of the use of this document or its contents or of the recipient relying on any such recommendation or information (except insofar as any statutory liability cannot be excluded). Any statements nonfactual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change without notice. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed shall constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation or an offer to buy any securities, commodities or exchange traded products. This document does not purport to be complete description of the securities or commodities, markets or developments to which reference is made. Unless otherwise stated, performance numbers are based on pure price returns, not inclusive of dividends, fees, or other expenses. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Potential for profits is accompanied by possibility of loss. You should consider this strategy’s investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses before investing. The examples and information presented do not take into consideration commissions, tax implications, or other transaction costs. The material has been prepared or is distributed solely for information purposes and is not a solicitation or an offer to buy any security or instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. Some performance information presented is the result of back-tested performance. Back-tested performance is hypothetical (it does not reflect trading in actual accounts) and is provided for informational purposes to illustrate the effects of the True Market Insiders LLC strategy during a specific period. The relative strength strategy is NOT a guarantee. There may be times where all investments and strategies are unfavorable and depreciate in value. Relative Strength is a measure of price momentum based on historical price activity. Relative Strength is not predictive and there is no assurance that forecasts based on relative strength can be relied upon. Back-tested performance results have certain limitations. Such results do not represent the impact of material economic and market factors might have on an investor’s decision making process if the investors were actually managing money. Back-testing performance also differs from actual performance because it is achieved through retroactive application of a model investment methodology designed with the benefit of hindsight. True Market Insiders believes the data used in the testing to be from credible, reliable sources, however; True Market Insiders makes no representation or warranties of any kind as to the accuracy of such data. All available data representing the full platform of investment options is used for testing purposes.

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