You're receiving this email as part of your subscription to Lou Baseneseâs Trend Trader Daily [Unsubscribe](. [Trend Trader Daily] [Charts] Credit, Crappy Bikes, And Supply Gluts? Friday, August 26, 2022 When Fridays roll around in the Trend Trader Daily Nation, we roll out the charts. All it takes is a quick glance â and youâll be up to speed and poised to profit from the marketâs most important trends. This week, Iâm dishing on: - For all the holdouts who refuse to accept weâre in a recession, Iâm sharing one obvious sign that all is not well with consumers.
- The one pandemic stock that should be left for dead. Period.
- And one irrefutable sign that the worst of the pandemic-induced supply crunch is behind us. So without further ado⦠> ADVERTISEMENT < Market Wizard Who Accurately Predicted 2022 Market Collapse Has Shocking New Forecast He predicted the 2020 crash a month before it happened... He predicted this year's collapse back in January... And now, he's issuing a brand-new warning â along with a unique solution. [Details here.]( No Debt Forgiveness Here The President might be all too willing to forgive student loan debt, but no oneâs going to forgive credit card debt. No matter how high it soars. And make no mistake, itâs soaring again!
(click image to enlarge) Blame it on the end of stimulus checks. Blame it on runaway prices. Blame it on whatever you please. But it doesnât change the fact that open credit card balances ballooned at the quickest pace in decades (+13%) in the most recent quarter. While balances remain below pre-pandemic levels, this debt is going to keep getting bigger and more expensive to carry, as the Fed hikes interest rates. It also represents a clear sign that all is not well with our consumption-based economy. Even if unemployment remains at historic lows. Put more simply, keep a close eye on this data to glean the future direction of the economy. Continued surges will contribute to a longer, not shorter recession. Speaking of recovery⦠Wheels Off Investors bid up shares of the (still) overpriced maker of internet-connected stationary bikes, Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON), on news of a partnership with Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN). The 20% surge proved rightfully short-lived, as Peloton reported quarterly results a day later, which definitively showed that the companyâs business is doomed, [as Iâve been telling you]( for a while now.
(click image to enlarge) Sales continued to fall, costs continued to rise, churn doubled, all of which contributed to the sixth consecutive quarter of losses for the company. Even if Amazon decides to acquire the company, like many bagholders are speculating and praying for, itâs going to be at a much lower stock price, or possibly even out of bankruptcy. Bet on it! More Inflation Relief Ahead Forget worrying about toilet paper, hand sanitizer, or whatever other shortages irked you the most during the pandemic. Based on the latest reading of the RSM index, which synthesizes a bevy of supply-chain-related data from various government and private industry economic reports into a single number, they promise to be a thing of the past. Admittedly, the index isnât foolproof. But the trend is reliable and undeniable, as you can see.
(click image to enlarge) The upshot? Iâll let RSM chief economist Joseph Brusuelas share it: "This will cause a further easing in inflation and bolster overall growth in the current quarter.â And thatâs nothing but good news for the economy, and in turn, the stock market, as Iâve explained before [here](. FOR TREND TRADER PRO READERS ONLY
> [LEARN MORE]( < Ahead of the tape, Lou Basenese
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