You're receiving this email as part of your subscription to Trend Trader Daily. [Unsubscribe here](. A Tidal Wave of Takeovers is Coming in 2021
By Lou Basenese
Thursday, April 29, 2021 Like most things in 2020, the onset of the pandemic slammed the breaks on mergers and acquisitions (M&A) activity. In fact, the second quarter of 2020 was one of the slowest in six years. Case in point: The average number of takeovers announced globally each month plummeted 30% to 236, according to Refinitiv data. But as youâll see in a moment, the slowdown didnât last long and Iâm predicting 2021 will be a record year for M&A activity. If youâve ever owned shares of a company on the receiving end of a takeover offer, you understand what that means for us as investors. When a deal is announced (or even rumored) prices skyrocket by double- or even triple-digits in a single day. Newsflash: Thatâs a trend we donât want to miss out on. So let me explain whatâs going on and more importantly, how weâre going to take advantage of it. Call It a Comeback! After a slow second quarter, global M&A activity came back with a vengeance. So much so, the annual deal volume checked-in above $3 trillion for the seventh consecutive year. click image to enlarge)
As we exited 2020, the pace of takeover deals accelerated even more with a record 1,250 deals announced in the fourth quarter alone. And everyone was shocked⦠As Brian Healy and Tom Miles, Co-Heads of Americas M&A, said: âNo one expected the pandemic, of course, but I donât think we expected that the M&A market wouldnât just recover, but actually go into overdrive with activity by the end of the year, far beyond the historical norm.â Well, guess what, Brian? We havenât seen anything yet! Iâm convinced the current boom in takeovers is about to catapult to new heights. How can I be so sure? Easy. Numbers Donât Lie Consider: - 53% of U.S. executives said their companies plan to increase M&A investment in 2021 in a recent PwC survey. - They have the ammo to do it, too, as there is a record amount of cash sitting on the balance sheets of publicly traded companies. A staggering $2.5 trillion to be exact. - Not only is there record levels of cash sitting on corporate balance sheets begging to be deployed, but private equity shops are flush with dry powder, too. A staggering $1.9 trillion, based on the latest tally S&P Global Market Intelligence. - Tack on historically low interest rates and all that cash can be levered to buy even more.
Hereâs the key â while companies can theoretically sit on their cash indefinitely, private equity funds canât. Investors pay them to deploy it. Stat! So itâs only a matter of time before at least a $2.5 trillion tidal wave of cash gets put to work to scoop up shares of publicly traded companies. Putting Theory into Practice The evidence speaks for itself. Weâre in the midst of one of the most robust merger and acquisition cycles ever. All we have to do is make sure we own shares of a handful of these target companies, and weâre destined to enjoy lightning-fast, triple-digit profits. Iâm sure youâre wondering â how do we even begin sifting through literally thousands of publicly traded companies to uncover the one or two with the best chances of being bought out? Understandably, itâs a daunting task. But itâs not impossible. The simplest solution is to focus on sectors that are already consolidating, where deals are already being announced. With that in mind, Iâm going to share the three most active sectors for M&A activity tomorrow. For now, itâs important to understand that consolidation trends in a sector tend to persist. By that I mean, a âdomino effectâ often kicks in after a few mergers are announced in the same sector. You see, each deal changes the competitive landscape and forces other industry players to pursue a takeover of their own just to stay competitive. The more deals that get done, the greater the pressure gets for other competitors to find a target. And the cycle continues. Of course, each deal that gets done reduces the number of available targets and therefore makes the process of identifying the remaining targets in a sector much easier for us. At that point, all we have to do is screen for the companies in the sector with the strongest fundamentals (like high growth, high profits), and weâll be well on our way to identifying the marketâs next takeover targets. Of course, if you really want to increase your probabilities of holding the marketâs next hot takeover stock, thereâs more analysis involved. The good news? Iâm willing to do it for you. In fact, I just launched a brand-new research project designed to find the marketâs next takeover targets. You can find out all the details [here](. Ahead of the tape,
[Lou Basenese]
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