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😖Markets May Slump If This Big Assumption Fails to Stay True

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tradingtips.com

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editor@tradingtips.com

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Mon, Jan 23, 2023 12:33 PM

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Good morning. Following the one-day, 23 percent crash in stocks in October 1987, traders have... It?

Good morning. Following the one-day, 23 percent crash in stocks in October 1987, traders have... It’s the monthly jobs numbers today and they’re not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May. [Trading Tips] Good morning. Following the one-day, 23 percent crash in stocks in October 1987, traders have followed the idea of the “Fed put.” Essentially, the central bank stands ready to protect financial markets on a steep enough meltdown. The Fed’s actions following the 2000 crash, 2008 crash, and 2020 Covid crisis have borne that out. It’s a big assumption protecting investors from significant downside. But with the big jump in interest rates last year, it’s an assumption worth questioning. If the Fed is trying to get markets to act as though there isn’t big downside protection ahead, they may continue to keep interest rates higher for longer this year. That’s another possibility for traders to consider, and why trades betting against the market and overpriced stocks may continue to be profitable this year. Now here's the rest of the news: Sponsored Content [IRA/401(k) ALERT: Secret IRS Loophole May Change Your Life]( The savings of regular working class Americans could be in serious trouble. But there IS something you could do… If you’re concerned (and you should be) don’t wait around for something to happen — you can do something NOW. Request a copy of this [FREE GUIDE]( that explains exactly why THOUSANDS have used this IRS Loophole to possibly save their IRA/401(k). Act now! It only takes seconds. The next step is yours, and it could mean a future of wealth… or poverty. It's up to you. All you have to do is [request the free guide now.]( MARKETS DOW 33,375.49 +1.00% S&P 3,972.61 +1.89% NASDAQ 11,140.43 +2.66% *As of market close • Markets jumped higher on Friday, with tech leading the way. • Oil rose 1.3 percent, closing at $81.40 per barrel. • Gold traded flat, going for $1,930 per ounce. • Cryptocurrencies trended higher, with Bitcoin at $22,215 at the market close. Today’s TOP TIPS [Use Market Downturns to Buy Quality Consumer Goods Companies]( Some stocks tend to hold up well in any market. One area is consumer goods companies. These firms may make humdrum products like prepackaged food, soap, shampoo or toilet paper, but those products never fall out of demand. When markets turn lower, these companies may sag as well. And that can provide patient, long-term investors with a decent entry point that they otherwise might not have made. Such opportunities are appearing today… » [FULL STORY]( [Insider Trading Report: Zymeworks (ZYME)]( Ecor1 Capital, a major holder at Zymeworks (ZYME), recently bought 985,100 shares. The buy increased the fund’s holdings by 11 percent, and came to a total cost just under $9.7 million. The buy comes a few days after the company bought 1,026,300 shares, paying about $7.8 million for that stake. Another major holder at the company bought shares back in October. Otherwise, company insiders have largely been sellers of modest amounts of shares. » [FULL STORY]( [Unusual Options Activity: Intel (INTC)]( Shares of chipmaker Intel (INTC) are down 44 percent over the past year, about three times worse than the slide in the S&P 500. One trader sees the stock continuing lower over the next two years. That’s based on the January 2025 $13.00 put. With 725 days until expiration, 10,004 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 312, for a 32-fold jump in volume on the trade. The buyer of the puts paid $0.60 to make the bearish bet. » [FULL STORY]( IN OTHER NEWS • [Fed Vice Chair Sees Inflation Easing]( Lael Brainard, Vice Chair at the Federal Reserve, sees inflation easing. She also sees restrictive monetary policy continuing for some time, as the central bank remains committed to a target of 2 percent annual inflation. Brainard noted such data points as a declining producer price index and the recent decline in retail sales. • [Existing Home Sales Dropped In 2022]( Home sales dropped 17.8 percent in 2022, reversing years of rising sales. Total home sales dropped to their lowest level since 2014, with 5.03 million homes sold. The decline occurred thanks to a doubling of mortgage rates off of historic lows, which made borrowing costs too expensive for buyers. • [Summers Warns on Finishing the Job to Beat Inflation]( Former US Treasury Secretary Larry Summers is warning central banks to stay the course on tightening monetary policy. Easing too soon could cause another surge of inflation, rather than keep it down for good. The warning comes as year-over-year inflation numbers have come down and investors have turned more optimistic about the economy. • [Alphabet Announces 12,000 Layoffs]( Alphabet (GOOG), the parent company of search engine company Google, is laying off about 6 percent of its workforce. That will impact roughly 12,000 workers. That follows a downsizing pattern many other big tech companies have engaged in recent months, even as job data indicates a tight market for workers overall. • [Genesis Files for Bankruptcy]( Cryptocurrency brokerage Genesis has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, joining other such firms over the past few months. The firm owes its top 50 creditors about $3.4 billion. That includes a $53 million commitment to VanEck for a crypto fund for accredited investors. S&P 500 MOVERS TOP SIVB 15.426% NFLX 7.797% SYF 7.7% SBNY 7.266% COF 6.115% BOTTOM RE 2.363% GS 2.118% ACGL 1.814% WMB 1.629% LLY 1.571% Quote of the Day Despite all the big-tech post-pandemic layoffs, the jobs market remains hot. The labor market needs to break to allow the Fed to comfortably keep rates on hold. - Ed Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda, on why interest rates will likely continue to rise as the job market remains strong, even with some big-name companies announcing layoffs in recent months. Sponsored Content [IRA/401(k) ALERT: Secret IRS Loophole May Change Your Life]( The savings of regular working class Americans could be in serious trouble. But there IS something you could do… If you’re concerned (and you should be) don’t wait around for something to happen — you can do something NOW. Request a copy of this [FREE GUIDE]( that explains exactly why THOUSANDS have used this IRS Loophole to possibly save their IRA/401(k). Act now! It only takes seconds. The next step is yours, and it could mean a future of wealth… or poverty. It's up to you. All you have to do is [request the free guide now.]( Not sure the best way to get started? Follow these simple steps to hit the ground running. › Step #1 - Get These FREE Reports: [Warren Buffett's Top 5 Stocks]( | [10 Great Stocks Under $10]( | [7 High Yield Dividend Stocks]( › Step #2 - Join Our Premium Advisory: [The Next Superstock]( › Step #3 - Claim Your Free Copy Of: [Big Book Of Chart Patterns]( | [How to Trade Weekly Options For Weekly Income]( We just wanted to take a moment and say thank you so much for being part of our family! We are dedicated to teaching people how to make the world a better place so we can all thrive, together. We love sharing stories and featuring past learners who have applied our teachings and changed their situations. It’s our passion to build a strong community centered around fun and mindset! We love to discover extraordinary and useful tools and share them with the world! We create a space where people can discover how to enjoy their lives by simply choosing to learn. Every day we are building and strengthening partnerships with our customers and clients and we do so in the most ethical way possible. We particularly love working with artisans, makers, and small businesses because through their passion and their craft they help make the world a better place.. Without all of you we wouldn't be able to do what we do on a daily basis and for that we say thank you. We've been living our dream for many years now and that wouldn't be possible without every single one of you. The idea of going from a typical nine to five life to a life of freedom doesn’t seem real to most people, but we want you to know it is definitely possible. We’ve done it. You have the power to control your life, your actions, and what you choose to focus on. 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Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell securities. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.  This email was sent to {EMAIL} by editor@tradingtips.com TradingTips.com | 3435 Ocean Park Blvd. Suite 107-334 Santa Monica, CA 90405 [Manage Subscriptions]( | [report SPAM]( Â

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