👓Why Stocks Will Rally Ahead of the Economy

Good morning. The stock market is forward looking. The economy is not. Right now, investors are... It’s the monthly jobs numbers today and they’re not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May. [Trading Tips] Good morning. The stock market is forward looking. The economy is not. Right now, investors are looking for the Federal Reserve to stop raising interest rates as an all-clear sign to invest once again. Given the lag time between when interest rates stop rising and when that’s reflected throughout the economy, over a year can potentially pass. Case in point? Right now, the data is showing a slowdown in US container freight. While fewer physical goods are being shipped, a change in interest rate policy could lead to stocks taking off anyway. It’s always been the case that stocks and the economy are intertwined… but that they don’t always move exactly the same way at the same time. Traders should still expect some big down days in the market ahead, but should also be prepared to get more bullish overall when the Fed changes course… no matter what the stock market is doing. Now here's the rest of the news: Sponsored Content [Top 3 End of the Year Trading Secrets (Live!)]( Sinking, falling, descending, dropping. When you read these words everywhere like today, it could only mean one thing. The market may be about to full on crash. Turn off Netflix, silence your phone and listen up. Whatever you have going on, you don't want to miss out on this upcoming free [Live Training to learn the Top 3 End of the year Trading Secrets (Live with Artificial Intelligence).]( Our Pro Trader will reveal 4 A.I. scanned stock trends in real-time with this tool. Plus, bring your own ticker symbols for us to forecast too, and we'll get to as many as time allows. No replays. Limited capacity. Less guessing. More Predicting. Let's GO! [SAVE YOUR SEAT HERE >>]( MARKETS DOW 33,546.32 -0.02% S&P 3,946.56 -0.31% NASDAQ 11,144.96 -0.35% *As of market close • Stocks dipped again on Thursday, declining for a second day in a row. • Oil dropped 4.3 percent, closing at $81.90 per barrel. • Gold slid 0.7 percent, last going for about $1,763 per ounce. • Cryptocurrencies traded flat, with Bitcoin at $16,679 at the stock market close. Today’s TOP TIPS [Stick With Great Companies in Struggling Industries for a Rebounding Market]( Investors are forward-looking. So while the market may be performing poorly this year, those who look further ahead can find bargains today that should be more valuable down the line. One area where this is playing out is in the tech space. A number of companies are providing lower guidance going forward. But given the selloff in the sector so far this year, shares may be oversold and could move higher on the first sign of a turnaround next year. » [FULL STORY]( [Insider Trading Report: B&G Foods (BGS)]( David Wenner, a director at B&G Foods (BGS), recently added 20,000 shares. The buy increased his holdings by nearly 2.7 percent, and came to a total cost just over $280,000. Insiders aren’t particularly active at the company. This marks the first insider buy at B&G Foods since March 2020. Otherwise, one company director and one executive were modest sellers of shares in the past two years until this latest buy. The sales were made at a far higher price. » [FULL STORY]( [Unusual Options Activity: Las Vegas Sands (LVS)]( Shares of casino operator Las Vegas Sands (LVS) are up nearly 12 percent over the past year, amid a general market decline. However, one trader sees a drop ahead for shares going into the end of the year. That’s based on the December 16th $44 puts. With 29 days until expiration, 7,035 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 258, for a 27-fold rise in volume on the trade. The buyer of the puts paid $2.48. » [FULL STORY]( IN OTHER NEWS • [Mortgage Rates Drop at Largest Rate in 41 Years]( 30-year fixed-rate mortgages dropped to 6.61 percent this week. That’s the largest drop in over 40 years. The move occurred thanks to declining inflation data, causing a pullback of 0.47 points from around 7 percent last week. While interest rates may rise further in general, a weakening of inflation likely means we’re nearing the end of the rate hike cycle. • [Rent Growth Slows to Lowest Level in 18 Months]( Rents rose 4.7 percent in October compared to a year ago, based on data from Realtor.com. That’s the lowest level of rent increases in the past 18 months. Landlords still expect to raise rents over the next year, but at a smaller margin compared to last year. • [Companies Continue to Boost Capital Spending]( Capital spending by major companies is expected to hit $200 billion for the third quarter. That’s about a 20 percent rise over the past year, and in line with growth rates from the first and second quarters. This rise in spending is a bullish sign for overall prospects, even as many remain concerned about a recession in 2023. • [Enron Liquidator to Oversee FTX Bankruptcy]( John J. Ray III, who oversaw the liquidation of Enron in its bankruptcy proceedings, has been charged with doing the same with cryptocurrency brokerage FTX, by being appointed as the company’s CEO in bankruptcy court. Ray states that he has never seen “such a complete failure of corporate controls.” • [Binance Plays Down Role in FTX Collapse]( Changpeng Zhao, CEO of cryptocurrency brokerage Binance, is playing down the firm’s role in events that led to the collapse of FTX. CZ sees the collapse as a short-term negative for the crypto space, but that weeding out poorly managed companies will make the space stronger in the long term. S&P 500 MOVERS TOP BBWI 24.028% M 13.369% JD 7.702% CSCO 4.731% QRVO 4.643% BOTTOM WST 7.222% NCLH 7.192% PAYC 6.613% POOL 6.49% CTLT 5.899% Quote of the Day Retail sales data suggested consumers are willing to spend, particularly on big topic items while the retail bellwether Target warned of a weaker holiday season. The latter is more in line with our expectations. Tighter monetary policy is designed to make people feel less wealthy. The idea is to slow consumption, allowing inflation to moderate. Ironically that will also set the stage for a recovery. - Brian Levitt, Global Market Strategist at Invesco, on why the mixed signals on consumer spending trends might point towards a drop in spending going into the holiday season as interest rates continue to rise and the economy slows. Sponsored Content [Start Forecasting For Better Outcomes with A.I.]( You trade like you know what you're doing every moment, most of the time. But what if you could reshape your attitude about trading to have maximum confidence all the time? That feeling when things are a lot greener and less red. If you want to be in more winning trades this week, I suggest you carve out an hour for a [Live Free Training with our Pro Trader.]( He’ll be talking about forecasting trends 1 - 3 days in advance with up to 87.4% proven accuracy while demonstrating the artificial intelligence. Remember, it's not about what you see when you trade. It's about how you feel. And timing is everything. 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