Good morning. Historically, about 75 percent of the time, whatever the market does in January it...
Itâs the monthly jobs numbers today and theyâre not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May. [Trading Tips] Good morning. Historically, about 75 percent of the time, whatever the market does in January it will do for the rest of the year. Barring a strong rebound in the coming weeks, that could bode for poor performance for stocks in 2022. However, the stock market also tends to rally about 75 percent of the time in a year when the Federal Reserve raises interest rates 4 times, as is expected to happen by the end of this year. Obviously, only one of these scenarios is likely to play out this year. The trick, then, is determining which one will happen. With stocks already looking bearish right now, and with the understanding that nothing moves in a straight line, a number of other factors may tip stocks into moving higher this year. Thatâs provided job growth remains strong (even if below expectations) and if inflation growth starts to slow (even if inflation rates remain higher than average. Either way, traders should expect continued volatility. Now here's the rest of the news: Sponsored Content [The #1 Strategy for Boosting Your Income with Options]( If you are looking for extra income, youâre going to love this [little-known option strategy.]( Itâs easy to use and has produced annual income of $24,432 or higher. And with a 97% win rate over the last 10 years, every investor should know about this. So Iâve laid out the exact steps to generate hundreds to thousands of dollars a week in extra income in this free guide. [Get your copy of the Weekly Paycheck Guide here.]( MARKETS DOW 35,368.47 -1.51% S&P 4,577.13 -1.84% NASDAQ 14,506.90 -2.60% *As of market close ⢠Markets sank on Tuesday, as interest rates crept higher following the three-day weekend. ⢠Oil rose 1.7 percent, hitting $85.20 per barrel. ⢠Gold declined 0.2 percent, last going for $1,813 per ounce. ⢠Cryptocurrencies traded down, with Bitcoin going for $41,765 at the stock market close. Todayâs TOP TIPS [Good News Should Boost a Top Oligopoly Play]( While competition is great for consumers, itâs terrible for businesses. Thatâs why industries with a large number of competitors tend to have lower profit margins, and those with few competitors can perform well, offering shareholders fat profit margins for years. With some market turbulence at the start of the year, any positive news for an oligopoly company may get overlooked, which in turn could mean a bigger rally when stocks move higher again. » [FULL STORY]( [Insider Trading Report: Duolingo (DUOL)]( Durable Capital Partners, a major holder of Duolingo (DUOL), recently added 157,977 shares. The buy increased the fundâs stake by over 8.5 percent, and came to a total price of $15.3 million. Thatâs on top of some more recent buys from the fund since the start of the year, for 112,111 shares, 79,111 shares, and 69,626 shares. Those buys have added another $25 million in buying for the fund so far in 2022. » [FULL STORY]( [Unusual Options Activity: Healthpeak Properties (PEAK)]( Shares of healthcare REIT Healthpeak Properties (PEAK) have been trending in a range for the past few months. One trader sees shares moving to the higher end of their range, and possibly breaking to new highs. Thatâs based on the April $37 calls. With 85 days until expiration, 9,500 contracts traded hands, a 91-fold jump in volume compared to the prior interest of 104. The buyer of the calls paid $1.05 to make the trade. » [FULL STORY]( IN OTHER NEWS ⢠[Four States Fully Recover Lost Jobs from Pandemic]( Texas and Arizona have joined Idaho and Utah as the first four states to now have a higher number of total jobs than before the pandemic broke out in early 2020. The move comes as these states continue to experience population growth and businesses relocating to these friendlier locales. ⢠[Homebuilder Confidence Sees First Drop in Four Months]( Homebuilder confidence dropped 1 point to a reading of 83 in January, according to the latest data. Current sales conditions remain unchanged, although expectations for the next six months dropped 2 points to a reading of 83. Any reading over 50 is a sign of growth, so overall the sector outlook remains bullish even as interest rates have started to creep up. ⢠[Airlines Warn on C-Band 5G]( The airline industry has once again warned that a âcatastrophic eventâ could occur Wednesday as the C-band for the 5G network rolls out on Wednesday. The concern is that interference from 5G cell towers could impact safety equipment on planes, and the industry has asked that cell networks not offer service within 2 miles of the countryâs busiest airports. ⢠[Goldman Warns on $100 Oil]( Goldman Sachs (GS) warns that oil prices will likely hit $100 per barrel this year, and will likely continue rising into 2023. The reasons relate to strong demand in the global oil market, combined with a supply deficit, even as OPEC+ nations have gradually increased production. Inventories are expected to hit a low this summer last seen in 2000. ⢠[Microsoft Makes $68.7 Billion Offer for Activision]( Microsoft (MSFT) has made an all-cash offer for Activision Blizzard (ATVI) with a valuation of $95 per share, or about $68.7 billion. The transaction will be the largest ever for the tech giant, and would compliment the companyâs video game hardware division with manufactures the Xbox. S&P 500 MOVERS TOP ATVI 26.243% CTXS 5.386% CF 2.86% EA 2.63% XOM 1.531% BOTTOM AMAT 8.79% MRNA 8.753% GS 7.101% KLAC 7.065% LRCX 6.95% Quote of the Day The economic backdrop to the fourth quarter was positive, boding well for profit and revenue growth. Guidance from companies also looks set to point to continued demand strength in 2022, even if omicron is disrupting some businesses right now. - Mark Haefele, UBS Global Wealth Management CIO, on why earnings season should give markets a reason to trend higher in the weeks ahead after struggling for a few months. Sponsored Content [The #1 Strategy for Boosting Your Income with Options]( If you are looking for extra income, youâre going to love this [little-known option strategy.]( Itâs easy to use and has produced annual income of $24,432 or higher. And with a 97% win rate over the last 10 years, every investor should know about this. So Iâve laid out the exact steps to generate hundreds to thousands of dollars a week in extra income in this free guide. [Get your copy of the Weekly Paycheck Guide here.](
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