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No New Trade Idea Today From Trending Stock Report

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trendingstock@tradewins.com

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Mon, Aug 5, 2024 01:55 PM

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After Friday's drop, Asian markets triggered circuit breakers. S&P 500 futures down 4%, Nasdaq down

After Friday's drop, Asian markets triggered circuit breakers. S&P 500 futures down 4%, Nasdaq down 13%. MSFT, NVDA, and SMCI are plunging. Volatility is skyrocketing—brace for a wild ride!͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ After Friday’s drop in the U.S., heavy selling in Asian markets got the ball rolling this morning. Circuit breakers w After Friday’s drop in the U.S., heavy selling in Asian markets got the ball rolling this morning. Circuit breakers were triggered to stop the collapse. As of this writing the S&P 500 futures are down 4% in pre-open trading. The Nasdaq futures are down 13% and the Russell 2000 futures are down 5%. We nailed the Microsoft (MSFT) credit spread on Friday, but even the mighty MSFT is down 4.5%. Nvidia (NVDA), the darling AI stock, is down 10% in pre-open trading. Super Micro Computers (SMCI), which makes super computers, is down 50% from its peak in March. In Friday’s action there were sectors that moved up. Those were staples and utilities. But even those sectors are moving down in pre-open trading. It’s not just stocks, pretty much every commodity is in a free fall. Implied volatility is rising rapidly (see page 2). This is good for our open straddle positions, but it makes entering a new straddle difficult. The rising options prices are good for option selling strategies, but we need to wait until we see signs that the rise in volatility expectations are fading. With the cascading drop in the market this morning, we are not going to panic. We are very comfortable with the trades that we have open. We’re not going to enter a new trade today. Instead, we are going to be patient and alert while we wait and see how the market digests all the news. We need more clarity before we enter a new trade. Investors will be watching FOMC speakers Mary Daly and Austin Goolsbee closely for hints about when the Fed will lower its key interest rate. If you’re thinking about taking profits from those gigantically profitable straddle trades that are open, be sure to tune in to our coaching session tomorrow where we’ll discuss how to take profits while keeping your position open and letting your profits run. This chart shows the expected volatility for today. Because Cboe doesn’t publish the 1-day VIX until regular trading hours, we’re using straddle prices of SPX options in the pre-market to make that proprietary and unique measurement. And right now, SPX straddles are priced about 1.785% of the forward price, which translates into a volatility of about 40%. That forward price is already down about 217 points. That means options traders are projecting a 2/3 chance that SPX will finish somewhere 5,000 and 5,130. This is the highest volatility and the widest expected range since the bank failures in March 2023. [Get great trades every day--Click here]( To access Odds Online Daily and be able to see any stock you are tracking in this software, click [here](. Thank you, Don Fishback --------------------------------------------------------------- See Related Articles on [TradewinsDaily.com]( [No New Trade Idea Today From Trending Stock Report]( [Chart of the Day: How to Trade Volatility]( [Chart of the Day: Amazon (AMZN)]( [Get Ready For This Move]( [Defensive Opportunity Identified Amid Volatility]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [TradeWins Logo]( © 2024 Tradewins Publishing. All rights reserved. | [Privacy Policy]( | [Terms and Conditions]( | [Contact Us]( Auto-trading, or any broker or advisor-directed type of trading, is not supported or endorsed by TradeWins. For additional information on auto-trading, you may visit the SEC's website: All About Auto-Trading, TradeWins does not recommend or refer subscribers to broker-dealers. You should perform your own due diligence with respect to satisfactory broker-dealers and whether to open a brokerage account. You should always consult with your own professional advisers regarding equities and options on equities trading. 1. The information provided by the newsletters, trading, training and educational products related to various markets (collectively referred to as the "Services") is not customized or personalized to any particular risk profile or tolerance. Nor is the information published by TradeWins Publishing ("TradeWins") a customized or personalized recommendation to buy, sell, hold, or invest in particular financial products. The Services are intended to supplement your own research and analysis. 2. TradeWins' Services are not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any financial products, and the Services are not intended to provide money management advice or services. 3. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve substantial risk. Trading on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Other than the refund policy detailed elsewhere, TradeWins does not make any guarantee or other promise as to any results that may be obtained from using the Services. No person subscribing for the Services ("Subscriber") should make any investment decision without first consulting his or her own personal financial adviser, broker or consultant. TradeWins disclaims any and all liability in the event anything contained in the Services proves to be inaccurate, incomplete or unreliable, or results in any investment or other loss by a Subscriber. 4. You should trade or invest only "risk capital" money you can afford to lose. Trading stocks and stock options involves high risk and you can lose the entire principal amount invested or more. 5. All investments carry risk and all trading decisions made by a person remain the responsibility of that person. There is no guarantee that systems, indicators, or trading signals will result in profits or that they will not produce losses. Subscribers should fully understand all risks associated with any kind of trading or investing before engaging in such activities. 6. Some profit examples are based on hypothetical or simulated trading. This means the trades are not actual trades and instead are hypothetical trades based on real market prices at the time the recommendation is disseminated. No actual money is invested, nor are any trades executed. Hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. Also, the hypothetical results do not include the costs of subscriptions, commissions, or other fees. Because the trades underlying these examples have not actually been executed, the results may understate or overstate the impact of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading services in general are also designed with the benefit of hindsight, which may not be relevant to actual trading. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. TradeWins makes no representations or warranties that any account will or is likely to achieve profits similar to those shown. 7. No representation is being made that you will achieve profits or the same results as any person providing testimonial. No representation is being made that any person providing a testimonial is likely to continue to experience profitable trading after the date on which the testimonial was provided, and in fact the person providing the testimonial may have experienced losses. 8. The author experiences are not typical. The author is an experienced investor and your results will vary depending on risk tolerance, amount of risk capital utilized, size of trading position and other factors. Certain Subscribers may modify the author methods, or modify or ignore the rules or risk parameters, and any such actions are taken entirely at the Subscriber's own election and for the Subscriber's own risk. If you wish to unsubscribe from our newsletter, click [here]( TradeWins Publishing Corp.528 North Country Rd.St. James, NY 11780

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