This selling is overdone⦠[TradeSmith Daily]( Itâs Time to Take a Bite of the Apple
By Lucas Downey, Contributing Editor, TradeSmith Daily They say you shouldnât try to catch a falling knife — buying stocks in a sharp downtrend. And itâs hard to disagree with that. But we should also acknowledge that most of the time, traders trying to do this are wearing a blindfold. Imagine seeing an incredible stock go on fire sale. You want to buy it, but donât know when. You know better than to catch a falling knife with a blindfold, so you hold off. But then, a bullish data-driven signal appears… alerting you that NOW is the time to buy the dip. That signal is what takes off the blindfold. And thatâs what weâre going to delve into today. Once called the âmost important stock in the marketâ, Apple Inc. (AAPL) has been beaten to a pulp in 2024… falling 12%. The level of selling is off the charts. But deep inside this meltdown is an extremely bullish omen that rarely comes along. If youâre like many, betting on further downside for the iconic iPhone maker… you may want to rethink your plans. History says a monster lift should be coming soon. But, donât take my word for it. Letâs see the proof. RECOMMENDED LINK [Charlie Shrem: âThe Crypto Melt-Up has begun.â](
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While markets surge week after week, poor old Apple is doing the opposite. Itâs down 15% from recent highs, and 12% in 2024 alone:
I can hear my trend-follower buddies calling this chart a âno touchâ — or a âpassâ until the selling pressure stops. But thatâs a flawed way of looking at stocks. You see, pullbacks on great companies are not only common, they disguise a hidden opportunity. You just need to know what look for. And thatâs where todayâs historical study comes into play. You see, Apple shares did something ultra rare this year. The stock has fallen an eye-popping seven days in a row. That may not seem that crazy. But what if I told you this has only happened 14 times in the last… 40 years? That puts some much-needed perspective on this selloff. Hereâs what it looks like in chart form. Every instance when AAPL shares fell seven days in a row is marked in red:
Using the old eye-ball test, those red markers look like great dips to buy. But we canât rely on eyeballing for a trade setup. Nope… We need to see the evidence. Using one of our latest internal modules at TradeSmith, we can analyze the historical forward performance after these rare selloffs and get a framework for what to expect. In short, history proves that now is NOT the time to keep betting against the worldâs second-largest company. RECOMMENDED LINK [BREAKING: Elon Muskâs Secret A.I. Project Set to Plunge Millions of Americans Into Poverty](
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- 2 weeks later, the stock gains 6%…
- A month later sees a 6.9% juicer…
- Be bold for two months, and the gain rips to 11.3%. Look, fretting about short-term weakness on a fantastic company is missing the bigger picture. Sometimes you gotta take a bite even when the apple looks rotten. These pullbacks are few and far between for Apple…and they tend to be fruitful. This is why having cutting-edge software, like TradeSmith, can only kickstart your portfolio. Let evidence-based research bring hidden opportunities your way in 2024… Regards, Lucas Downey
Contributing Editor, TradeSmith Daily P.S. Volatility is ticking up… And stocks are under pressure. It may be time to start playing defense. But donât rely on your emotions to act. Thatâs almost always a recipe for disaster in the investing world. Instead, I recommend leaning on TradeStops to [take the guesswork — and your emotions — out of the picture](. TradeSmithâs flagship portfolio management software helps you understand [when to cut and run, and when to hold fast]( during times of volatility. Itâs been helping hundreds of thousands of investors through volatile times for nearly two decades. And itâs just getting better each year, as more data informs our algorithms. [Go here to learn how you can get started trading with data today…]( Get Instant Access
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