To view this email as a web page, go [here.]( [Power Trends] Iâll Never Look at Investing the Same Way Again
My quantitative analysis system is based on a stunningly simple premise... Own the best. Easy to understand, right? Not as easy to do. Hence all the time and money that went into developing my system â identifying the right data to collect and then designing the algorithms to analyze it the right way. I have used this system with great success every day since I completed it 15 years ago. And I continue using it in my personal investing, my institutional research business, and my research services helping investors like you. I recently wrote here in Power Trends about how finding and investing in these leaders can change your financial life. ([You can read it here]( And I got a great question from one of your fellow readers. I showed how the top three stocks in the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) have dramatically outperformed the ETF itself. If you had bought Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Broadcom (AVGO), and Nvidia (NVDA) in late 2011, you would have averaged returns of 94X â nearly seven times more than the ETF. One of our readers wrote in with a great point: Jason... I'm curious what the top 3 holdings in the SOXX were in late 2011? According to your suggested methodology and performance analysis that would have been the time to select and invest in the best stocks of SOXX. Your 94X performance is remarkable and enticing; however, it does assume you knew in late 2011 what the top 3 stocks would be in Jan 2024. I am curious what the performance calculation would look like if you had invested in the top 3 of late 2011 and held to today. I would love to have you show me those results. I think that's the realistic performance comparison to make. Afterall, we can't invest in the past. We can only invest today with today's information. Youâre absolutely right. So, letâs find out... RECOMMENDED LINK [Elon Muskâs âA.I. 2.0â Could Leave 800 Million Unemployed.](
Maybe youâve seen Goldman Sachsâs forecast that the $15.7 trillion A.I. revolution will impact 300 million jobs. But Elon Muskâs âA.I. 2.0â is already forcing organizations to ramp up those estimates. Now McKinsey analysts say it could leave 800 million unemployed, as Wired.com says 70% of occupations could be replaced. Where could you and your family stand in all this?
[Get details here]( The Results â Including Current Quantum Scores
The first step was to find the ETFâs top holdings from 2011. I dug into this and found form N-CSR that iShares submitted to the SEC in 2011 disclosing the fund's holdings. ([You can see the original document here]( if youâre interested.) The top three holdings by weight at the end of 2011 were Intel (INTC), Broadcom (AVGO), and Applied Materials (AMAT). Hereâs how theyâve done since Dec. 1, 2011...
The average return is 2,549%, which still doubles the ETFâs overall return. If we look at those three stocks today, we find the one with the lowest return, Intel, also has the lowest rating in my system with a Quantum Score of 51.7. The other two are both in my buy zone. Broadcomâs Quantum Score is 81, and Applied Materials tops the trio with a Quantum Score of 84.5. TradeSmith Finance and MAPsignals.com
AMAT was an outlier then, and itâs an outlier today. Itâs well positioned to benefit from increasing demand for newer and better semiconductors, which are driving the next technology revolution that is unfolding right now. Shares just hit a new all-time high yesterday after the company easily beat earnings and sales expectations. The stock is up 50% in our [TradeSmith Investment Report portfolio]( in just five months. And while it may be a little overheated in the short term, it maintains great long-term potential. Leaders Lead
Itâs true that we canât go back in time, superimpose todayâs leaders, and say we would have bought them back then. That wasnât what I was trying to do, and I apologize if that wasnât clear. I was really going for a broader point, which is this: To build wealth, you must own the outliers. Outliers are the stocks with superior fundamentals, strong technicals, and clear indications that they are getting bought by the biggest investors on Earth. Consistently owning these stocks has allowed me to [beat the market by 7-to-1 since 1990]( according to independent testing by TradeSmith. It also allows me to bring that same stellar performance to my readers. Itâs how 16 of the 17 current stocks in [TradeSmith Investment Report]( are making us money â a 94% success rate. Those 16 stocks average 27.6% gains compared to one loser that is down just 2.1%. If you want to not just make money in the market but outperform it and truly grow your wealth, then you must own these kinds of stocks. Once you learn how, youâll never look at investing the same way again. And if you want my help, [just let me know](. Once you see it, you canât unsee it. In this case, thatâs a beautiful thing. Talk soon, [Jason Bodner]Jason Bodner
Editor, Jason Bodner's Power Trends P.S. And just a reminder. Monday is Presidentsâ Day, and the market and TradeSmith offices are closed. Weâll still have Mondayâs Power Trends for you, though, and I hope you enjoy the holiday weekend! Get Instant Access
Click to read these free reports and automatically sign up for research throughout the week. [How A.I. Investing Can Improve Your Portfolio]( [3 Stocks to Build Your Wealth in 2024]( [5 Unapologetically Profitable Stocks for 2024]( [Download now on the Apple Store](
[Get It On Google Play]( [866.385.2076](tel:+866-385-2076) | support@tradesmith.com
©2024 TradeSmith, LLC. All Rights Reserved. Protected by copyright laws of the United States and international treaties. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution (electronic or otherwise, including on the world wide web), in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of TradeSmith, LLC. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases and what we’ve learned as researchers and writers. Our work may contain errors and should not be considered personalized investment advice. TradeSmith, LLC does not issue securities recommendations, and no discussion of a particular stock(s) should be interpreted as such. Past, simulated, and/or hypothetical performance of any strategy published by TradeSmith, LLC should not be interpreted as representational of future returns. You shouldn’t make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It’s your money and your responsibility. TradeSmith P.O. Box 340087 Tampa, FL 33694 [Terms of Use]( [Privacy Policy]( To unsubscribe or change your email preferences, please [click here](. [tradesmith logo] This email was sent to: {EMAIL} This email was sent by: TradeSmith
PO Box 3039, Spring Hill, FL, 34611, US We respect your right to privacy - [view our policy](