The cheapest sector has the highest yield⦠[TradeSmith Daily]( Rockefellerâs Favorite Business Is a Screaming Buy
By Lucas Downey, Contributing Editor, TradeSmith Daily After the meltdown in September and October, stocks have staged a crowd-stunning rally. In fact, the S&P 500 now sits at the highest closing level since March 2022. Thatâs how it tends to go. Extreme pullbacks regularly preface extreme recoveries. But given the massive runup, some investors may be reluctant to buy new positions… I donât blame them. After all, rarely are you going to get the [deck stacked as favorably as it was back in October](. However, when you dive below the surface of the market, one sector is actually more oversold today than during Octoberâs swoon. And if youâre hunting for value in a red-hot market, this is where you want to focus. Today, weâll dive into the data looking at two valuation metrics that make names from this deeply oversold sector a top choice in the weeks and months ahead. Then Iâll single out one stock you should consider for 2024. RECOMMENDED LINK [Americaâs Cash Bubble Set to Burst on December 13, 2023](
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[Watch His Free Video Here]( Not All Stocks Are Expensive
They say value is in the eye of the beholder. Itâs also uncovered by those who do their research. While itâs true that the S&P 500 is not cheap by a price-to-earnings (P/E) measure, when you look below the surface you see how certain unloved areas meet the âcheapâ criteria. When it comes to the P/E ratio, readings of 20 or higher are generally expensive, while valuations approaching 10 are considered inexpensive. Here Iâve broken down all S&P sectors by their next-12-months forward P/E (NTM). The S&P 500 sports an elevated 18.9 reading. But take note of the sector in the bargain basement, at a lowly 10.35 NTM P/E:
The NTM P/E can also be thought of as a sentiment barometer. A 10 reading suggests little excitement from the trader community on Energy stocks. Contrast that to the 26.2 valuation of the Info Tech space. Folks are placing their bets on growth. Itâs easy to see why — thereâs lots of celebration over the A.I. revolution. However, you canât dismiss the oversold energy stocks. Because what youâre getting paid to own the unloved energy space — especially Oil & Gas stocks — is off the charts. If youâve been following along in TradeSmith Daily, you know I love stocks that pay dividends, which are a share of profits that companies pay back to shareholders. The S&P 500 has a meager dividend yield of 1.47%… not too sexy. But after the latest Energy stock dump, payouts offered by the Energy sector are uber attractive, with a 3.85% average yield. For those keeping score, that yield is 162% higher than the marketâs!
Sooner or later, the public will wise up to this hidden-in-plain-sight value. My view is that [next yearâs money shift]( will be the trigger that sends cash flowing out of less-attractive money market funds and into dividend-rich stocks. And one elite dividend grower is worthy of consideration today. RECOMMENDED LINK [TOMORROW: Dark Pools Inform Bold, New Prediction for 2024](
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[Click here]( clicking youâll be automatically registered for The Dark Pool Summit. One All-star Dividend Aristocrat: Chevron
When it comes to dividend stocks, you should focus on continuous dividend growth. That means isolate businesses that constantly produce bigger and bigger profits… then return a larger share of those profits to shareholders. One surefire place to get dependable cash-flowing dividend payouts is in the Oil & Gas space. But you must be choosy. Only top-shelf companies are worth a long-term investment. Take Chevron Corp. (CVX). CVX has the resume that dividend investors dream about. With 36 years of continuous dividend hikes, consider the following facts about CVX:
- 5-year free cash flow compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 40.4%. This amounts to nearly $21.6 billion in free cash flow expected for 2023.
- 5-year net income CAGR is 31%. This translates to $25.8 billion in expected income for 2023.
- 5-year dividend growth is 34.8%. At the current dividend of $1.51, Chevronâs dividend yield is a juicy 4.2%.
- CVX sports a super cheap forward P/E of 10… even cheaper than the 10.35 forward P/E of the sector.
If these points donât get your bullish juices flowing, maybe the following chart will. Chevron has been punished so much lately that the shares are trading at an 8.5% discount to its 200-day moving average. At $145 a share, todayâs levels match September 2022âs prices:
YahooFinance
Itâs simple. Valuations are at rock-bottom for Energy stocks. Not only that, Energy stocks overall are paying shareholders nearly 4% on average. Given Chevronâs decades of paying and raising dividends, and its higher-than-average yield, this appears to be a smart bet. And with the stock price nearly 9% below its 200-day moving average, this is a bargain-basement deal, folks. John D. Rockefeller said it best, âThe best business in the world is a well-run oil company. The second best business in the world is a badly run oil company.â What Iâm suggesting with CVX today is a well-run oil company. If youâre looking for strong yields in a cheaply valued sector, you canât do better than energy stocks right now. And it may well be a favorite target of dividend-seekers as risk-free yields retract in 2024. Weâll keep searching for great dividend plays for you right here in TradeSmith Daily, so make sure you donât miss a single issue. Regards,
Lucas Downey,
Contributing Editor, TradeSmith Daily P.S. Weâre a day and change away from the debut of Jason Bodnerâs Dark Pools webinar. And that means your limited-time access to use Jasonâs Quantum Edge rating system for free — which you can [secure right here with just one click]( — is almost gone. Jasonâs sharing his proprietary rating on 20 tickers he selected — some of which Iâm confident you own in your brokerage account. This will show you which stocks are duds that could vastly underperform the market in 2024… and which could put the Magnificent 7 to shame. Beyond this system, signing up for the Dark Pools event gets you access to exclusive videos and essays that demonstrate the power of Jasonâs technique, which beat the S&P 500 by 7-to-1 in a backtest using data all the way back to 1990. [Just click right here to automatically sign up for the Dark Pools Summit, TradeSmithâs premier event to close out 2023.]( Get Instant Access
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