The second-best time to buy is now⦠[TradeSmith Daily]( 2 Growth Stocks to Buy for a New Bull Market
By Lucas Downey, Contributing Editor, TradeSmith Daily Welcome to the new bull market. Stocks surged across the board in November — just as we [said they would](. The S&P 500 put in a face-melting performance by gaining 8.9%. Thatâs one of the best November returns in the past 100 years. While thatâs a stunner, whatâs going on in the shunned small-cap land is even more impressive. After underperforming for many months, smaller companies are finally having their renaissance. And we believe thereâs a lot more room to go… well into 2024. Today, weâre going to size up the latest rebirth in small caps, helping you understand why theyâre set to keep climbing. But most importantly, weâll cover the market sectors you should absolutely have exposure to for this new bull market. Hang around until the end, and youâll learn two of my favorite all-star stocks surging right now… RECOMMENDED LINK [For the first time in history... cash is about to pop](
For the first time that Iâve ever heard of... a bubble is about to burst on a schedule. Yes, we know the exact date when everything is going to change in the financial markets. The world will be divided. There will be the people who got out ahead of time and make massive gains. And the people who got out afterward, losing years of savings in the process. As usual, the rich and elite are already way ahead of this trend. When the $6 trillion bubble pops, you want to be with them. The good news is, thereâs [a simple 3-step process to insulating yourself from this bubble](.
[Watch This Video]( Why Small-Cap Stocks Are Surging
Sometimes you have to look backward to see the future. Back on Oct. 19, here at TradeSmith Daily, I made the [data-driven case to buy the ultra-unloved small-cap space](. It was a bold call then, as interest rates were surging… and higher interest rates mean painful loan costs for small-cap companies. When it comes to investing, timing is everything. And while we didnât know it then, that day would mark the top in interest rates. As you can see below, the 10-Year yield peaked at 4.99% and fell to 4.22% last Friday:
FactSet
Thatâs a monster-sized macro move of 77 basis points in roughly six weeks. Any time rates move that fast in a straight line, itâs going to have an impact on other asset classes… namely equities. When rates surge, it chokes off growth, harming smaller undercapitalized firms more than [cash-rich large caps](. When rates plunge, like lately, it has the opposite effect…smaller firms see added leverage and margin expansion as the cost of capital drops. The chart below shows this beautifully. The S&P Small Cap 600 has ramped 10.5% since Oct. 19, outperforming even the S&P 500âs 9% gain. And lately the outperformance has been more dramatic. Small caps are up 2.8% in the last week, more than triple the move of large caps at 0.8%:
Remember to â[save a bear, ride a small-cap]( under these conditions! But when you dive below the surface of the market, youâll find new leaders. The Sector Leaders of the New Bull Market
I calculated the sectorsâ performance since the Oct. 19 rate peak, and the top groups are all set to continue benefiting from this collapse in interest rates:
- Discretionary stocks have rallied 14.7%
- Financial companies have jumped 11.7%
- And Real Estate, possibly the group most levered to lower rates, have catapulted 11.4% Folks, these three areas of the market are benefiting mightily from lower rates. And it makes sense.
- Discretionary stocks should advance given lower capital strain on consumers and businesses alike.
- Financial firms benefit as deal flow picks up, the yield curve steepens, and mortgage underwriting ramps… not to mention [Financials historically pop the most after the final Fed hike is in.](
- And then thereâs Real Estate, which has been frozen due to rising yields. That noose loosens as capital costs drop.
I like all three of these sectors over the medium term in this lower-rate backdrop. Letâs now drive it all home with two of my favorite stocks benefiting heavily right now. RECOMMENDED LINK [Best way to buy gold today (not what youâd think)](
With so many strange events happening across the economy (longest bear market for bonds since Civil War... unprecedented bank closures... and soaring prices) â itâs no wonder the richest investors are loading up on gold. But what you might not realize is thereâs a much better way to profit from rising gold prices â without ever touching an ETF, mining stock, or even bullion.
[Full details here]( 2 Superstar Stocks to Keep on Your Radar
Itâs one thing to understand market drivers and how to position broadly… itâs another to focus on all-star stocks. The latter is the goal of all serious investors, myself included! Back on Oct. 31, I [gave you the three easy steps to find superstar stocks](. The drivers are simple:
- Focus on positive revenue growth
- Chase positive earnings growth
- And respect institutional support
One company that exudes all of these traits, which I showcased back then, is popular shoemaker Deckers Outdoor Corp. (DECK). You can see a detailed analysis of that company [here](. The No. 2 all-star name is financial powerhouse S&P Global (SPGI). Again, in late September I profiled the earnings and sales figures of why this name is [perfectly suited for lower interest rates](. Look how both of these outliers have towered above major index returns since the rate peak on Oct. 19. Deckers ripped nearly 35%… And S&P Global ramped 18%:
This, folks, is why itâs paramount to focus on the best stocks out there. Bet on small to win big! Zero in on top-notch Discretionary, Financials, and Real Estate companies benefiting from falling interest rates. Each of these areas are climbing higher and have a healthy runway into next year. Finally, if youâre like me and are looking for data-driven stock selection, TradeSmith is your answer. My colleague and business partner Jason Bodner just started publishing [TradeSmith Investment Report]( a regular research advisory thatâs tuned in to big institutional buying in the highest-quality stocks in the market. And it couldnât have come at a better time. Jason believes Americans are dangerously underinvested in stocks right now. Whatâs worse, he says [$6 trillion of their hard-earned cash is in a dangerous bubble]( ready to burst as soon as Dec. 13. By the time most realize the cash bubble is collapsing, itâll be far too late. Anyone whoâs not invested could be quickly left behind. Jason just released [5 tickers that he believes everyone should plug their excess cash into ASAP](. Learn how he found them, and how to get them for yourself, [right here](. Regards, Lucas Downey,
Contributing Editor, TradeSmith Daily P.S. If you havenât already, make sure you [go here and participate in the TradeSmith Research Lab survey]( before 12 p.m. Eastern tomorrow, December 6. We want to know which areas of the market you want us to cover and develop strategies for. Thus far, the hundreds whoâve responded have given us a great picture, and editor Michael Salvatore will share the results this coming Sunday. If you want your voice to be heard, [take less than a minute to tell us what you want to see](. Get Instant Access
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