Thereâs no reason not to buy⦠[TradeSmith Daily]( A Funeral for the Bears
By Lucas Downey, Contributing Editor, TradeSmith Daily When thereâs zero reason for stocks to rise… start buying. Thatâs one of the most valuable mantras I learned working on Wall Street. As soon as everyoneâs thrown in the towel, then and only then can a new uptrend emerge. Thatâs exactly the setup investors face today. Weâve reached extreme oversold conditions. History points to a massive rally around the corner. This isnât a âgut feelâ thing. I have proof. That proof is the Big Money Index (BMI). Itâs a real-time indicator of institutional appetite for stocks. History shows that when institutional money flows into stocks, they rise. When that money exits, stocks collapse. However, there are rare tipping points when selling pressure is so immense, it triggers a violent rally. From what Iâm seeing, weâre on the precipice of one of those rallies. Bears have had a great end to the summer, their jowls bloody with prey… But itâs time for them to crawl into their caves and start a long hibernation. Iâm as bullish as Iâve been all year long. And today, Iâll show why you should be, too. RECOMMENDED LINK [System Issues Red-Hot A.I. Alert...](
A powerful stock-picking system that a Georgetown study found gives its users an âimportant economic advantageâ has just identified a âsecond waveâ of A.I. stocks ready to pop.
[See the time-sensitive details here]( A Big Money Tsunami
Below is a 1-year chart of the BMI. The yellow line is a moving average of individual stocks getting bought and sold. Notice how it oscillates moving higher and lower within upper and lower bands (red and green dashed horizontal lines).
Red circles indicate overbought conditions. We saw the last âred lightâ on August 1, near the peak in the S&P 500. Notice how the yellow line has fallen since then, indicating institutional money was racing out of stocks. As this happened, markets came under pressure. But now the selling has gotten too intense, signaling a climax… and a bottom. You know how just before a massive tsunami hits, the tide goes out further and further? This is just like that. The tide of institutional capital has gone far out to sea… but itâs about to come flooding back in spectacular fashion. Best Time to Buy Since October â22
It may not feel like a great time to buy stocks right now. But the last time we saw conditions like this was mid-October 2022. Just as everyone gave up, the market began its march higher… to the disbelief of the crowd. I believe the same setup is here today. The BMI is constructed on a 25-day moving average of the total number of buy and sell signals for individual stocks. The green zone, where we are today, represents a buy ratio of 25%. That means over the past five weeks, thereâve been four sell signals for every buy signal. To give you perspective on the magnitude of selling weâre witnessing, hereâs a view of buys and sells broken out by market cap since September:
Thatâs a ton of red! Incredibly, companies with market caps below $50B saw 533 buy signals vs. 2,654 sell signals. Thatâs roughly 8 sells for every buy. Like I said earlier, we only see conditions like this during extreme risk-off periods. Iâm talking about events like:
- The high-inflation bear market of 2022
- The COVID-19 crash
- The 2018 Fed rate hikes
If you believe those were not great times to buy stocks on sale, youâd be mistaken. History shows that you want to be scooping up stocks with both hands in times like this. RECOMMENDED LINK [What price will TSLA, NVDA, and APPL be in a month?](
TradeSmith, one of the worldâs most cutting-edge financial tech companies, just launched a breakthrough, new A.I. algorithm called An-E... and showed many of its past predictions and just how accurate they were (often precise to within a tenth of a percent). The company also showed what An-E's predictions were for three of the most widely held stocks on the market one-month into the future.
[You can see what those predictions are by going here](
On average going back to 1990, one month after we get an oversold signal on the BMI, the S&P 500 gains 3.6%. Six months later, markets rip 9.1%. After a year, stocks cruise 15.1% higher:
When you couple this extremely bullish signal with [historically strong Q4 rallies]( bears might need more than a hibernation… They might need a funeral. R.I.P. bears! Look, Iâve been pounding the table for over a month to get ready for a powerful rally. Itâs in these fear-driven moments when explosive up moves begin. Donât buy into the fearful media playbook. Just buy amazing stocks at amazing prices! If youâre wondering which areas of the market are primed to explode higher, [check out Quantum Edge Pro](. Jason Bodner is prepping his buy list now for subscribers. A rally is coming. Donât miss it! Regards, Lucas Downey
Contributing Editor, TradeSmith Daily P.S. You should know todayâs the final day to join [Keith Kaplanâs incredible options income strategy]( and secure his two-pronged, ironclad guarantee. If you sign up before midnight tonight, Keithâs guaranteeing that your first trade will be profitable or youâll get a full cash refund… And that a year from now, the Constant Cash Flow strategy will post a win rate of at least 97% or youâll get a second full year of the strategy 100% free. As Michael Salvatore pointed out Friday, [right now is a great time to be a put seller](. Weâre about to exit a period of extreme oversold conditions. That means put option premiums are ripe for the taking… and a market rebound will increase the odds they pay out. Like I said, Keithâs offer stands until midnight tonight. [Go here before then to get all the details and make your decision.]( Get Instant Access
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