[Power Trends] Feeling Snake-Bit After the August Rout? Donât Miss the Coming Rally in Stocks
Bill Haast was a renowned scientist and snake handler. He led an extraordinary life â one dedicated to studying and working with poisonous snakes. And he was famous for being fearless.
billhaast.com Bill handled the worldâs deadliest snakes... and was bitten 172 times. He not only survived all those bites (which was recognized by the âGuinness Book of World Recordsâ)... he lived to the age of 100. This was no accident. Haast inoculated himself with small amounts of venom over prolonged periods of time. And he built up a resistance to the toxins. If he had followed the old adage âonce bitten, twice shyâ â which applied, quite literally, in his case â Bill would have quit after the first bite, never pursued his passion, and never helped science make great strides in developing antivenom. Handling snakes is definitely not a passion of mine. But making money in stocks sure is. We all know that stocks can inflict painful âbitesâ from time to time. Like most of last year. And earlier this year. And definitely in the just-completed (and painful) month of August. But, like Haast, investors like you and I can choose how we react to those bites. Like Haast, we can keep taking âcalculated risksâ â meaning weâll get bit and lose a bit of money here and there. But weâll also benefit, creating enough wealth to inoculate ourselves against the threats to come). Or we can play it safe, and avoid those occasional moments of pain â knowing that we wonât really get anywhere and wonât achieve future security. Iâm sharing this story at this particular moment for an important reason. As investors, the biggest risk we face right now isnât inflation. Or the Federal Reserve. Or even the recession everyone fear that never came. The biggest risk is missing out on a potentially explosive fourth quarter. Of being so afraid of âbitesâ that we bail out of stocks and get left behind. Itâs why we donât want to succumb to the âonce bitten, twice shyâ mindset. You know what I mean: If something doesnât work out the first time, donât do it again. Or be hyper-cautious if you do. But walking away from stocks â or freezing in place, waiting for the right moment to get back in â isnât the answer. The Bull Is Already Snorting
Most investors got hammered in 2022. Many sold their stocks, which intuitively makes sense. Protect whatâs left and live to fight another day. Itâs that âfighting another dayâ part that trips up so many investors â since they never fully get back into the ring. We see that right now with a lot of investors continuing to sit on cash. Record amounts, in fact. To the tune of $5.7 trillion.
But regret seeps in when folks realize how much stocks have rallied, and how much theyâve missed out on. Then indecision sets in â as they get caught wondering if they should wait for another pullback, or if they are going to miss out on even more gains. After all, the broad S&P 500 Index has racked up more than two yearsâ worth of gains just since the bottom last October... meaning itâs an âofficialâ bull market. Even with the August swoon.
Dig down into specific sectors and the numbers are downright stunning...
- PHLX Semiconductor Sector: 67.9%
- S&P 500 Information Technology Sector: 43.4%
- S&P 500 Telecommunication Services Sector: 36.8%
Those are some serious gains, even if it felt like a slog to get there. You can see why regret afflicts those who have stayed on the sidelines. And âregretâ brings with it a negative form of âcompoundingâ â as in the âcompounding of errors.â This regret invariably turns to FOMO, or âfear of missing out,â meaning those folks chase stocks by âbuying highâ and overpaying. And FOMO then supercharges the entire market, making it really hot for stocks. Which is great for those who invested before the regret-motivated FOMO crowd jumped on the stock-market bandwagon. RECOMMENDED LINK [Harnessing the Power of A.I. to Make Huge Gains](
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The messiness we saw in August didnât surprise me at all. In fact, I said to expect a volatile month on typically low trading volume as we continued to work through inflation, the uncertainty about central bank interest-rate increases, and lingering fears of a recession â which my data continues to show is highly unlikely at this point. And we got it But the 4.5% pullback pales in comparison to the gains over the last 10 months. And investors who continue to be âtwice shyâ risk missing more gains and prolonging their financial recovery. If youâre nervous about buying or holding stocks right now, focus on the absolute best in the market â the ones with less risk and a bigger shot at profits. I built my whole [Quantum Edge system]( to find those exact stocks with the characteristics that indicate higher prices ahead. Our data shows that we succeed about 70% of the time. On any given day, fewer than 1% of stocks make it through my system to even be considered a possible recommendation for my [Quantum Edge]( readers. These are shares of companies that have superior fundamentals... the best in the business. You canât make money consistently in weak companies. They also have strong technicals. They are stocks that are already on the move, which is better than trying to predict a bottom or a turnaround. And hereâs the kicker: Big Money is buying these stocks. Iâm talking the really big money â like millions of shares worth many millions of dollars. I cut my teeth in this business facilitating these Big Money trades. I was the middleman that matched up the buyers and sellers, and I learned firsthand how to detect unusually large institutional buying, down to the specific stock. Thatâs the trifecta of [high-probability investing]( right there: super strong fundamentals and technicals combined with Big Money inflows. Find stocks with those factors, and you have a good chance of making good money. These are the kinds of stocks weâre going after right now. Many have gotten cheaper in the summer slowdown, and buying at lower prices lowers our risk and raises our profit potential. I expect multiple opportunities in the coming weeks as volume picks back up and stocks strengthen for their typical fourth-quarter rally. [You can click here if you would like to join us and receive my stock recommendations as soon as I release them](. Putting the odds squarely in your favor should help overcome the fears of getting bitten again. That way, you can get back to making money in stocks that are already on the move. Talk soon, [Jason Bodner]Jason Bodner
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