The last time we highlighted stocks like this⦠people made triple-digit profits⦠[TradeSmith Daily]( Identified: Two More Breakout Stocks
Editor's Note: Todayâs issue of TradeSmith Daily features a special guest piece from Andy Swan, the co-founder of Derby City Insights. Tapping into his proprietary data, Andy is going to highlight how his system can identify winners for âMain Streetâ investors well before Wall Street finds out about them. Plus, he will share two new opportunities that could be future triple-digit winners. For years, Crocs Inc. (CROX) has been the “King of Comfortable Shoes,” but it wasnât always a household name. It was largely seen as a clunky “dad shoe.” But virtually overnight, Crocs went from just plain ugly to “ironically” ugly as a new generation of social media-addicted young folks discovered their undeniable comfort and high potential for customization, quickly catapulting the brand to something everyone wanted to own.
Those surges in social media chatter hit our radar… and we turned that into a moneymaking opportunity. Our subscribers who acted on our May 2020 recommendation to buy CROX shares at $30 had a shot at gains of more than 200%, making Crocs a “triple-your-money” winner. We knew that was going to happen. Itâs our specialty: Watching for shifts in brand perception in real-time by tracking consumer demand (Purchase Intent), Consumer Happiness levels, and major consumer macro trends. By understanding these critical metrics, we can see that itâs getting crowded at the top of the footwear market — and best predict which brand is likely to be the “Next Crocs.” Thatâs how we find great stocks before they soar. And weâve got a “secret weapon” that helps make that happen. Let me take you behind LikeFolioâs velvet rope to show you how that secret helps you make money — and introduce you to our top two “Next Crocs” contenders… RECOMMENDED LINK [Computer Genius Takes on Wall Street with New Investing A.I.](
For years, Wall Streetâs been using A.I. to gain an edge. Now, a top tech company is âleveling the playing field.â This company just recently put the finishing touches on an A.I. market forecasting system, designed specifically for the everyday person. And early tests show itâs been astonishingly accurate... In fact, many of its one-month forecasts are predicting stock prices either spot on or to within a tenth of a percent.
[You can get the full details of this breakthrough, here]( Our Secret Weapon for Identifying the “Next Crocs”
When a consumer takes to Twitter to post about a product or a brand, LikeFolioâs data-crunching tech zeroes in on their message in real time… Cross-references the 10,767 brands in our database… And checks for thousands of keywords to tell us whether that person put their money where their post was — and actually spent their hard-earned cash. And thatâs just the beginning of what our proprietary analytics can do. They can also reveal the most bullish and bearish opportunities in any given sector with a powerful analytics “grid.” We call this secret weapon the “LikeFolio Outlier Grid” — and itâs one of our favorite tools for identifying potential opportunities. In one picture-perfect image, the Outlier Grid sorts the winners from the losers in any given industry. Itâs an excellent tool to help visualize how different brands stack up because it displays:
- Which brands are most popular (size of the circle on the graph: larger circle = higher volume)
- Which brands are flying off the shelf (x-axis plots Purchase Intent growth year-over-year: further to the right = demand growth)
- Which brands are most loved (y-axis plots Consumer Happiness level: higher placement = more happy customers)
And that brings us back to our talk about the “Next Crocs.” Take a look at the Outlier Grid below:
This Outlier Grid shows us that Crocs still commands a massive share of the market, as evidenced by the size of its circle (the big purple one). Crocs accounts for the majority of demand mention volume for all the brands listed on that chart. (Also included: Hey Dude Shoes, Skechers, Hoka, and On.) But from a happiness and demand growth perspective, Crocs is starting to fall behind. Consumer mentions of purchasing a pair of Crocs (including its owned-brand Hey Dude Shoes) have slipped by 49% year-over-year (YoY). Enter the two brands in the top right corner, each recording extremely high levels of demand growth. (Weâre talking double digits or higher.) These brands are actively stealing market share from Crocs, making them our top brands to watch — and the most likely contenders to become that “Next CROX” we talked about a moment ago. Hereâs a look at who they are — and which has the best shot at Crocs-level supremacy… Contender No. 1: On Running (ONON)
On Holding (ONON) first caught our eye at the end of 2021, shortly after the companyâs IPO. And if you caught our âthree favorite stocks for 2023â video earlier this year, youâll recognize this as our data guru Megan Brantleyâs personal pick. ([You can watch that video here]( On is best known for its proprietary “cloud” technology that translates to extreme comfort and performance for active consumers, or those embracing the “athleisure” lifestyle. Demand is huge, and Purchase Intent, our way of measuring demand for a companyâs products, is up a remarkable 441% YoY:
With retail prices of $150 and more, On shoes live at the “high end” of what consumers will pay. But On — and this next contender — seem to be, well, holding “on” — and actually holding strong… RECOMMENDED LINK [Could This Tiny, sub-$5 Stock Be the Biggest AI Opportunity of 2023?](
For investors, this may be the biggest tech opportunity youâll see in your lifetime. (HINT: Itâs not who you think.)
[Go HERE for details]( Contender No. 2: Hoka (DECK)
Hoka — owned by Deckers Outdoor Corp. (DECK) — makes shoes that are also beloved by runners. The brand has [an awesome backstory]( that starts with two passionate adventurers and seasoned runners who reimagined what running shoes could be, set amid the stunning vistas of the French Alps. With extra-thick soles that provide shock absorption and encourage natural running motion, Hokas deliver maximum cushioning without sacrificing comfort for less weight. Their design stood in stark contrast to the thin-soled shoes that filled the market when they launched in 2009. Hokas were dubbed “clown” shoes. At first.
But theyâve since experienced a shift in perception — much like Crocs — and became a fashion statement, donned by celebrities like Britney Spears, whoâs been sporting Hokas on social media for years.
And thatâs helping to propel demand well beyond athletes: Purchase Intent mentions were up 34%:
Deckers recently reported its fourth-quarter earnings, where Hoka brought in the highest portion of Deckersâ sales with $397.7 million. It also grew those sales at the fastest clip of any of Deckersâ other brands at 40.3% year-over-year. Deckersâ leadership expects Hoka to be a $2 billion brand “pretty soon.” Sounds aggressive. But according to LikeFolio consumer data, this brand has plenty of room to run. Our social media machine places Hoka in an elite group — right alongside ONON — with an 80%-plus Consumer Happiness score:
And that bodes extremely well for Hokaâs — and DECKâs — long-term growth prospects. Until next time, [Andy Swan]Andy Swan
Co-Founder, Derby City Insights P.S. Andy and his brother Landon are ripping the cover off their proprietary âstock-picking GPSâ that zooms in on secretive online activity that is often a “precursor” to a major stock breakout. They have used these signals to lead their followers to a 560% gain… a 1,102% gain in under 18 months… and a 517% gain in less than a year. Now, in an exclusive presentation, [theyâre giving you their most exciting prediction yet](. [Download now on the Apple Store](
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