[TradeSmith Daily]( This Beats the S&P 500 and Gives You an Automatic Exit Strategy for Bear Markets
After making new all-time highs on the second trading day of January, the stock market has gone mostly downhill since. Inflation has been spiking higher for months now, and the Federal Reserve is talking tough about raising interest rates to help put a lid on rising prices. Along with high valuations for many stocks, the Fed and inflation have conspired to create this downtrend. And itâs difficult to know for sure if we are near the end of the downtrend or if itâs just getting started. As individual investors, we may not know where the market is headed next, but we should all have an investment game plan in place no matter which way the market moves. On that note, plenty of investors lately have been asking us: “Should I get out now, or buy the dip?” And TradeSmith has an answer. Itâs a simple, all-weather investment strategy capable of outperforming the market when stocks are heading higher, and more importantly, giving you an easy exit strategy when stocks move lower. RECOMMENDED LINK [Today he earns up to $20,000 a week*](
We checked in with Rob after he sent this mind-melting review. Hereâs a snippet from the email he sent: “Keith Kaplan… I send my accolades out to you. I've been trading for 8 weeks. I'm up $20,000 per week — that's $160,000 total. I think this service is phenomenal.” While results like Robâs arenât “normal” by any stretch… after reading that email, I HAD to follow up with him. So he agreed to hop on a phone call… It was an eye-opening 45-minute conversation where Rob told me: “As of Friday last week, I am up $284,000.” I knew my readers had to hear about this… [So I included more of Robâs story — including a VIDEO “demo” of the same type of trade on this website (click here)](. * The investment results described in this testimonial are not typical. Investing in securities carries a high degree of risk; you may lose some or all of the investment. The TradeSmith Sector SPDR ETF Strategy
This simple strategy (which we introduced in [August 2016]( beats the S&P at its own game. It has outperformed the S&P 500 Index since 2000, producing a total return of 332.1% compared to the S&P 500 gain of 223.4%. It is based on the 11 individual exchange traded funds (ETFs) that track each sector of the S&P 500. Below is the full list from our Market Outlook page, which gives you an unbiased, comprehensive look at the health distribution of each sector.
As you can see, despite the downtrend so far this year, the majority of S&P sectors remain in the Green Zone and in a healthy state. Only the Communication Services (XLC) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY) sectors are in the Red Zone. That signals an unhealthy state and that these sectors have stopped out according to our trusty TradeStops system. This means that if you own any stocks in these two sectors, you should consider cashing out. Or at the very least, pay close attention to the individual stops on your stocks. One sector, Real Estate (XLRE), is in the Yellow Zone, which is not unhealthy, but a neutral reading. The Yellow Zone, like a flashing yellow traffic light, tells you to proceed with caution. The real estate sector has pulled back more than halfway to its Health Indicator Trailing Stop level. Our Sector SPDR ETF strategy uses these valuable TradeSmith tools to invest in all 11 of the S&P 500 sector ETFs as long as they are in a healthy state. Plus, it gives you a valuable, easy-to-follow exit strategy to get out of harmâs way if any of the 11 sector ETFs fall into the Red Zone. Hereâs how this simple, seven-step strategy works:
- Anytime eight or more ETFs are in a healthy state (in the Green or Yellow zones) you invest in each of the 11 sector ETFs using our Risk Rebalancer for your allocation.
- If any of the ETFs stop out (fall into the Red Zone), sell them immediately and keep that money in cash.
- At the start of each month, determine if there are still eight or more ETFs in a healthy state.
- If thatâs true, then check for any new buy signals in ETFs that may have been stopped out previously.
- If there are fresh buy signals, purchase those ETFs, and rebalance your portfolio.
- If fewer than eight ETFs are healthy, continue to hold your healthy ETFs and keep the rest of your money in cash.
- Always rebalance at the end of the year if there are no monthly changes to your portfolio. RECOMMENDED LINK [Was this week the beginning of the end?](
If you have ANY exposure to stocks right now… Itâs time to prepare for a market moment that could define your wealth for the next decade. A small group of U.S. investors are in line to receive advance notice of the [day of the next market crash](. For a limited time, you can see it for yourself, 100% free.
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Below you can see the powerful results of the TradeSmith Sector SPDR ETF strategy for yourself.
As you can see, this strategy easily beat the S&P 500 Index with a 332.1% total return since 2000. Thatâs 1.5 times the index return of just 223.4% over the same period. Even better, our strategy had less risk and smaller average drawdowns, even in volatile markets like the one weâre experiencing right now. The beauty of this system is that itâs easy to follow. It takes only a few minutes of your time each week to monitor. And usually there are very few trades you need to make to aim for these market-beating results. You simply keep your money working in the healthiest sector ETFs. And if one or more falls into the Red Zone, you sell it and raise cash. That way, if the market falls into a steeper downtrend, you have an automatic exit strategy. Also, the Sector SPDR ETF strategy tells us a lot about the health of the stock market overall. Is the market healthy, with most sectors in the Green Zone? Or is the marketâs health deteriorating, with more Yellow- and Red-Zone sectors? This information alone gives you a valuable edge in the stock market. Despite the recent market volatility, eight out of 11 ETFs are still healthy. Because only two of the sector ETFs now have a sell signal, our system still sees the possibility for more upside ahead. This reflects the best way to think about stocks right now. The volatility is a caution sign, telling us to be extra attentive. But it isnât time to run for the exits just yet. Enjoy your Thursday, [Keith Kaplan]Keith Kaplan
CEO, TradeSmith P.S. Would you like to see me demonstrate on camera how to trade three stocks that could put thousands in your bank account up front, every time you play? Itâs like winning a race before itâs even run. Youâre placing a bet, but you donât have to wait to collect. Youâre paid in advance. I call it an “instant cash bet.” [Click here to watch my free, live demonstration](. P.P.S. Youâre invited to join our Product Education Lead, Marina Stroud, for her free Intermediate Bootcamp training session. In todayâs webinar, weâll review CoPilot by TradeSmith Opportunities. CoPilot is a breakthrough trading solution for anyone who wants to generate income with limited downside risk or hedge with risk-reduction strategies. We will dive into the specific criteria behind the CoPilot Sell Puts, CoPilot Sell Calls, and CoPilot Buy Calls strategies. This lesson will focus on the CoPilot program and is best suited for those who hold a CoPilot by TradeSmith and/or Platinum subscription. However, anyone interested in CoPilot is welcome to attend. [Click here to register]( for todayâs webinar. Our webinars begin every Tuesday and Thursday at 1 p.m. Eastern and include time at the end for a question-and-answer session. Best of TradeSmith
The chart below represents the best-performing open positions over the last two years, as recommended by our software.
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