[TradeSmith Daily]( Watch for Profit Opportunities in Chinaâs Homecoming
In an [article earlier this week]( I pointed out the growing threat that leading Chinese tech stocks could vanish from U.S. exchanges. Companies like Alibaba (BABA), Baidu (BIDU), and Weibo (WB) are in fact getting pressured from all sides. No wonder their shares listed here in the U.S. are all down about 50% from highs earlier this year. And itâs not only regulators in Beijing who have taken issue with the variable interest entity (VIE) structure that many of these stocks use to list on our exchanges. Here at home, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is threatening to delist Chinese stocks from the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and the Nasdaq Stock Market within the next few years if they do not comply with more detailed financial reporting standards. The most glaring casualty from this situation is Didi Global (DIDI), the Uber of China, which just launched a $4.4 billion initial public offering on the NYSE in June. But bowing to pressure from Beijing, Didi said this week that it planned to delist shares in the U.S. in favor of listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange by early 2022. RECOMMENDED LINK [When 3.4 Trillion in Retirement Savings… Just Disappeared](
Remember the 2008 global housing crisis? When the stock market crashed nearly 55%… and $3.4 trillion in retirement savings just disappeared — like so much smoke from a blown-out candle. Then there was the COVID crash of 2020…
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The Beginning of a Bigger Trend
Itâs not the first big Chinese company to do so, and most likely wonât be the last given intense regulatory pressures from both sides of the Pacific. But does this have to be a disaster scenario for these companies, as many seem to believe? Maybe not. In fact, there is a big potential silver lining to the current regulatory storm, which could lead to gains for other Chinese stocks. First, most of the news Iâve seen about this situation is bad. Beijingâs crusade against Chinese companiesâ VIE listings in the U.S. seems to imply that China is willing to destroy its entire internet and tech sectors. That seems very unlikely. After all, these companies are some of the largest, most successful, and most profitable technology companies in the world. They represent great businesses that produce hundreds of billions of dollars in revenue and employ tens of thousands of workers, many of them Chinese citizens. [FEATURED: This Is How He Knew To Sell](
The Real Story on Chinese Stocks
I suspect that what Beijing really wants here is simply a “homecoming” for its blue-chip tech stocks. Beijingâs actions to curtail Chinese VIEs listed in the U.S. are just thinly veiled attempts to compel these companies to list their shares closer to home, in Hong Kong or Shanghai. And Washingtonâs attack on [Chinese ADRs]( via new financial disclosure rules from the SEC is only helping to speed up this homecoming process! Already, 16 of the largest U.S.-listed Chinese tech companies (including Alibaba, Li Auto, and JD.com) have also added Hong Kong listings, or “homecoming listings,” since 2019. Just this week social media giant Weibo, considered the Twitter of China, launched a $385 million stock offering in Hong Kong, despite the fact that Weibo ADRs have been listed on the Nasdaq since 2014. The truth is, Beijing wants to support its mainland China crown-jewel companies. It simply wants them to list shares in Hong Kong or Shanghai instead of New York. In fact, regulators recently approved listings of two high-profile Chinese tech companies, artificial-intelligence company Megvii Technology in Shanghai and streaming music platform Cloud Village in Hong Kong, and both use VIE structures. RECOMMENDED LINK [How To Escape the Coming Stock Market Crash](
The things about market crashes… Is that almost nobody is sure what to do about them. “When will the next one happen?” “Should I sell my stocks?… Or should I hold them?” [This man knows just what to do]( in the face of these fears. He knew the exact day to sell his stocks before the crash of 2020… And heâs confident heâll know precisely when to sell before the next market crash. Fortunes will be made — and lost — when the next crash hits hard…
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A Potential Profit Opportunity in Hong Kong
If this is Chinaâs strategy, Hong Kong will become a hub for mainland Chinese firms looking to list their shares or relist their U.S. ADRs on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. And this is a huge potential profit opportunity. As of 2021, there were 248 Chinese companies listed on U.S. exchanges with a total market value of $2.1 trillion. That means big business for Hong Kong and perhaps Shanghai as well in the years ahead! One way to take advantage of this $2 trillion money flow is with ETFs that focus only on stocks listed in Hong Kong. One that fits the bill is the iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI). This fund holds only stocks that are listed on the Hong Kong stock exchange, including Alibaba, Baidu, JD.com, and Tencent. As I said previously, Iâm personally not ready to take the plunge into Chinese stocks. FXI and many other ETFs that track Chinese stocks are in the Red Zone and still in confirmed downtrends. Until I see a new entry signal from our system, Iâm standing aside. But eventually these beaten-down tech stocks in China could present a compelling profit opportunity. [Keith Kaplan]Keith Kaplan
CEO, TradeSmith P.S. To be a successful investor, you need to do your research. But assessing the health and risk of a stock, deciding the best time to enter the position, and mapping out a suitable exit strategy can be overwhelming. Luckily, our tools can do all that work for you. To see how they can help you become a stronger investor, [click here](. P.P.S. Youâre invited to join our Product Education Specialist, Marina Stroud, for her free Intermediate Bootcamp training session. In todayâs webinar, Marina will discuss the TradeSmith Market Outlook. Based on our indicators, you can determine the health of the major indexes, sectors, and commodities, so that you can find opportunities in any market condition. She will also explore the Bull and Bear Market signals, and the newest TradeSmith market signals, so that you can avoid another catastrophic market downturn like we saw in March 2020. This lesson will be focused on market health features and will be available to those who hold an Ideas by TradeSmith, Trade360, or TradeSmith Platinum account. [Click here to register]( for todayâs webinar. Our webinars begin every Tuesday and Thursday at 1 p.m. Eastern and include time at the end for a question-and-answer session. Best of TradeSmith
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