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[Privacy Policy/Disclosures]( Mega Forces at Play for the 2nd Half of 2023  Hi Traders,  Here we are, caught in a good old clash of opinions between OPEC and the International Energy Agency (IEA) about the future of oil. OPEC predicts a bright future with soaring demands, but IEA... not so much.  Now, considering that OPEC has a vested interest in oil, their optimism isnât all that surprising â akin to a thermal underwear manufacturer forecasting a bone-chilling winter! But their variance makes you do a double-take.  According to OPEC's sunny outlook, we're looking at a global oil demand of a whopping 110 million barrels a day in about 20 years. IEA, the party pooper, however, talks about a major slowdown in demand, peaking this decade.  They say it's all thanks to the rise of electric vehicles, energy efficiency, and the boom in clean energy.  Admittedly, the notion that oil demand growth will soon become a mere trickle seems farfetched. Especially when you consider that IEA itself predicts a 42% growth in oil demand in India, which may have just dethroned China as the worldâs most populous nation, between 2021 and 2030.  What's the deal, right?  Despite this conundrum, I'm not going to attempt to settle this debate. As OPECâs own Secretary General, Haitham Al Ghais, aptly summarized, oil will likely remain a crucial part of the energy mix, alongside the expansion of other forms like gas, hydro, nuclear hydrogen, and biomass.  Instead, let's focus on an intriguing question: "How can we reap juicy investment returns regardless of whether oil continues to be the energy king or renewables claim the throne?" The answer, my friends, might lie in a "best of both worlds" approach.  And that's where lithium comes in.  Now, before you raise an eyebrow, let me clarify. Lithium is not just for rechargeable batteries in your phones, hybrid cars, and large grid-scale storage batteries.  As per Energy.gov, it's a 'critical mineral' identified as essential for the economic or national security of the United States. And as we transition to a clean energy economy,  The White House predicts a skyrocketing global demand for lithium, graphite, and other electric vehicle (EV) battery components - up to a staggering 4000 percent increase!  But the plot thickens. Oil and gas majors like ExxonMobil, Schlumberger, Occidental Petroleum, and Equinor are making calculated moves to tap into the lithium market to diversify beyond fossil fuels.  They're leveraging their core expertise in pumping, processing, and reinjecting underground fluids to process lithium from unconventional brine resources. This could help mitigate the anticipated lithium shortage vital for the energy transition.  This unconventional bridge between fossil fuels and green energy is built on lithium. Traditional oil/gas companies diversifying into lithium could provide investors with a two-pronged approach to energy investments.  But where do we put our money?  Oil companies venturing into lithium like ExxonMobil, Schlumberger, Occidental Petroleum, and Equinor could be good contenders. Our macro expert and editor of Investment Report, Eric Fry, suggests TotalEnergies SE (TTE) as a potential fifth option.  The companyâs management is capitalizing on both their legacy oil and gas operations and renewable energy projects and technologies.  But why stop at oil companies when we can invest directly in lithium producers? Many oil and gas majors might decide to partner directly with a top-tier lithium producer, or just buy a significant stake in one.  Equinor, for instance, owns a part of Lithium de France, and Occidental has a stake in TerraLithium.  An option to consider is Albemarle. This world-class lithium company experienced a short-lived slump after Chileâs President Gabriel Boric announced plans to nationalize the countryâs lithium industry.  However, it bounced back swiftly, bolstered by its positioning as one of the few U.S.-based lithium companies. And it's already up by 30% since we recommended it.  So, who knows where the global oil demand will be in two decades? Not me. But I'm sure we can find savvy investments that will yield healthy returns irrespective of whether fossil fuels or renewables dominate the energy landscape.  It's about focusing on energy companies that can generate steady cash flows or on leading lithium producers that will aid energy companies in balancing their portfolios.  Keep on keeping up!  John @ Traders on Trend  (In the next article: Trends are shifting for the second half of 2023, don't want to get out of the loop? Find out below! ð) Sponsored
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SPONSORED The Wall Street See-saw: Upcoming Stock Shifts and Global Economy  It's been a hoot watching U.S. stocks go on a tear this year, spearheaded by mega-cap growth stocks.  But our friend Jonathan Krinsky, BTIG's chief market technician and managing director, believes things might take a turn come the third quarter. Now, before you go all Chicken Little, let's parse this out.  The superheroes of Wall Street this year, the large-cap S&P 500 SPX and tech-driven Nasdaq Composite COMP, have boasted gains of 14% and 30% respectively.  But, the Russell 2000 RUT, our underdog small-cap, has modestly climbed about 7%. Now, if these numbers make you yawn, stick around for the twist.  Krinsky, gazing into his financial crystal ball, sees a mean reversion on the horizon as we usher in a new quarter.  What's that, you ask?  It's the finance equivalent of a dog returning to its vomit. In this case, asset prices tend to move back towards their long-term averages over time. With the 2-year Treasury yield recently reaching its highest level since early March, the stars are aligning for this shift.  Krinsky predicts that the divergence between growth and value stocks will likely result in value inching up and growth taking a nose-dive.  Consequently, our little friend, the small-cap, may experience a welcome bump against mega-cap growth. A David vs Goliath moment? Possibly!  However, our seer also foresees the potential for a "more significant broad-based selloff" in U.S. stocks later this year.  As we're at the lowest level of expected correlation between the top 50 stocks in the S&P 500 index since 2006, Krinsky advises keeping an eye out for a potential rise in correlations. What's that mean? When correlations go up, stocks generally go down. Fun times!  (article continues below) Sponsored
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(article continues)  Now, let's consider the global economic outlook. There are four possibilities, and not all of them are "unicorns and rainbows." The first, the "soft landing," is the golden scenario where central banks manage to lower inflation back to 2% targets without triggering a recession.  Then there's the "softish landing," where the same outcome is achieved, but with a mild recession. A bit like eating a salad instead of a burger - not the end of the world, but still unpleasant.  Then we have the "hard landing," where a prolonged recession and potential financial instability are needed to reach that coveted 2% inflation.  Lastly, there's the nightmare scenario, where central banks chicken out and allow for above-target inflation, risking a wage-price spiral.  Unfortunately, the Eurozone already seems to be in the midst of a technical recession, with GDP falling and inflation stubbornly high. The UK is also in the doldrums, with growth at a snail's pace and inflation still above the OECD average.  The U.S., while not yet in a recession, has seen a slowdown, and Chinaâs post-COVID recovery is looking iffy. Meanwhile, emerging-market and frontier economies show sluggish growth, with many still reeling from high inflation.  To wrap up, let's remember the wise words of one Gordon Gekko - "the most valuable commodity I know of is information."  So, whether it's a wild stock rally, a mean reversion, or economic recessions, stay informed, my fellow financiers!  Disclaimer:  The material in this document is for informational purposes based on our proprietary research. It is not an offering, specific recommendation, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned or discussed herein.  Any performance results discussed herein represent past performance, are not a guarantee of future performance, and are not indicative of any specific investment.  Due to the timing of information presented, any investment performance reflected within this document may be adjusted after the publication and distribution of this material. There can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, or product made reference to directly or indirectly in this communication will be profitable, be equal to any corresponding indicated historical performance levels or be suitable for your portfolio.  Any investment results set forth in this document are not net of expenses and execution costs, nor do they account for other relevant trading or investment fees. Please visit tradersontrend.com/terms for our full Terms and Conditions.   [UNSUBSCRIBEÂ]( TradersOnTrend.com  COE MEDIA.   1126 S Federal Hwy
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