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[10% A Year In One Decade] And We Still Expect More Upside!

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tradersontrend.com

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editor@tradersontrend.com

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Wed, Jun 14, 2023 01:32 PM

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How this U.S. stock has delivered 10% annual growth for a decade, and possibly even more! Picks from

How this U.S. stock has delivered 10% annual growth for a decade, and possibly even more! Picks from the Editor SPONSORED (Newsletter Continues Below) Sponsored [Protect Your Wealth from Inflation - Your Survival Guide]( Inflation is a silent killer of your wealth. You may be losing more money than you realize, and it could only get worse. Don't wait until it's too late to take action. [Go HERE To Learn How to Protect Yourself from Infl]( By clicking the link you are subscribing to The Investors News Newsletter and may receive up to 2 additional free bonus subscriptions. Unsubscribing is easy [Privacy Policy/Disclosures]( Uncovering the U.S. Stock with a Consistent 10% Annual Increase  Hi Traders,  Did you know there's a tortoise among the hares in the global stock market race? It's not flashy, it doesn't make headlines every day, but it's been quietly and steadily winning the race year after year.  I'm talking about Humana, the U.S. health insurance firm that has been the steady Eddie of the stock world, having chalked up an over 10% gain annually for the last decade.  This marathon performance has set Humana apart from the herd of over 85,000 global equities examined by our team. Quite a feat.  So, where did this star performer get its start?  The roots of Humana can be traced back to 1961 in Kentucky, where it first opened its doors as a nursing home.  Since then, it's been a fascinating journey of evolution for the firm. It dabbled in hospitals for a while before finding its groove in the health insurance sector in the 1980s.  Now, it stands as a behemoth in the health insurance arena, particularly known for its “Medicare Advantage” plans, sponsored by the U.S. government.  There was a hiccup in 2012 when the stock took a nosedive by 20%, following the introduction of Obamacare, which led to regulatory changes and losses for the company.  But it dusted itself off, rose like a phoenix the next year with a 52% gain, and hasn't looked back since.  And let me tell you, Humana doesn't just perform well, it's a veritable yoga master when it comes to market volatility.  In 2022 and 2018, when the S&P 500 was busy throwing a tantrum, Humana shares stayed calm, cool, and collected, outperforming the broader market.  That being said, this year, Humana's shares have hit the pause button and stayed flat, while the S&P 500 sprinted ahead with a 14% gain.  Still, the analysts are keeping their faith in the tortoise. The collective wisdom of 24 experts is projecting a robust 19% upside potential for Humana's shares in the next 12 months.  A lot of heavyweights are vouching for Humana.  Deutsche Bank's George Hill gave a nod to the company’s resilience against consumer and recession-related risks.  Lisa Gill from JP Morgan believes Humana's outlook for the rest of the year is more than adequately conservative.  Kevin Caliendo from UBS is optimistic about Humana's potential for growth in 2024 and beyond.  Ben Hendrix from RBC Capital Markets thinks Humana's investments will ensure a competitive advantage as we approach 2024.  Even Morgan Stanley and Jefferies are on board, maintaining high price targets for the stock.  It's not just about the numbers, folks. It's about consistency, resilience, and an ability to stay the course, traits that Humana has exhibited over the years.  This tortoise may not be the flashiest participant in the stock market race, but it sure knows how to keep up the pace!  Keep on keeping up!  John @ Traders on Trend  (In the next article: There are calls for the Fed to be more active. Are they right? Find out below! 👇) Sponsored [Exclusive Report: Master Uncertain Markets]( In the world of investing, uncertain markets can be downright terrifying. The fear of losing your hard-earned money can keep you up at night, and the anxiety of not knowing what tomorrow holds can be overwhelming. But what if you could take control of this uncertainty and turn it to your advantage? What if you could not only survive but actually profit from market volatility?[Go HERE to see the Potential Investing Opportunity]( By clicking link you are subscribing to The Bullish Traders Newsletter and may receive up to 2 additional free bonus subscriptions. Unsubscribing is easy [Privacy Policy/Disclosures]( Check the Free Presentation Today ☝ SPONSORED Market Sends a Clear Message to the Fed: More Action Needed  Imagine for a moment, you're in a rock band. Your music is pumping, and the crowd is jumping to your beat.  But then, someone decides to turn the volume down.  You protest, saying it's not loud enough. But the person in charge insists that the music is sufficiently loud.  This situation isn't too different from what's happening between the Federal Reserve and the market right now.  The Fed, our metaphorical volume-controller, believes they've tuned the monetary policy just right to curb inflation from its current 4% to 5% to a neat 2%, recession and higher unemployment be darned.  The market, our crowd in the scenario, begs to differ.  Let's look at some signs from the market, or the crowd. The stock market is roaring like a bull at a Spanish carnival. The housing market is showing signs of spring with its upbeat rebound.  And those long-term Treasury yields? Well, they're chilling out, staying way below the inflation rate. If the Fed had been successful in its monetary tuning, these signs wouldn't exist.  It's true that the interest rates have been hiked by a whole 5 percentage points since early 2022. That's like a steep climb up Mount Everest.  But the economy is still strong, and inflation is holding on like that last piece of holiday weight. This suggests that despite the aggressive hikes, the monetary policy might not be as tight as the Fed believes.  This further implies that the Fed's mission isn't quite accomplished yet.  (article continues below) Sponsored [This Has Won 99.1% Of Trades Over 3 Years]( This new video is causing quite a stir. It exposes a unique trade based on the 4 characters “310F”. These 4 characters hold the secret to the most powerful trade you’ve NEVER heard of. It’s released every Tuesday and could DOUBLE your money by Friday. Over the past 3 years, we’ve won 321 out of 324 of these trades (that’s a 99.1% success rate), with the majority of the trades making 100% or more every 3-10 days. Discover how a simple 10-minute trade on Tuesday could double your money by Friday.[Watch The Full Video Here]( [Privacy Policy/Disclosures]( SPONSORED  🔼 Pay attention, this is worth your time! ☝  (article continues)  Now, let's take a quick field trip down under and up north. The Reserve Bank of Australia and the Bank of Canada also played the "rate-hike-and-pause" game, hoping for an economic slowdown and lower inflation.  But when neither came, they had to go back to hiking rates.  On the surface, the monetary policy seems tight with the nominal federal-funds rate rising from near zero to a range between 5% and 5.25%.  However, the real (inflation-adjusted) rate, which is actually the economic driver, hasn't risen as much, given the higher inflation.  So, how high are the real rates?  Based on the 5.3% rise in consumer prices excluding food and energy in the past year, the real rate hovers around zero.  According to Benson Durham from Piper Sandler, if we consider inflation-protected Treasury bond yields, the real rate is about 1.4%.  That's smaller than the hikes in 1994 and 2004, and bigger than in 1999 and 2016.  The Fed views a 0.5% real rate as neutral, i.e., it neither fuels nor puts a brake on economic activity.  Anything above this rate is considered restrictive, potentially increasing unemployment and decreasing inflation. However, a 1.4% real rate isn't exactly a tight leash. The real rate was higher than this before every previous recession since 1960.  Usually, when the Fed turns up the short-term rates, stock prices dip, long-term bond yields and the dollar rise. This broader tightening slows the economy.  And that's exactly what happened during the first half of the Fed's tightening phase.  So, what's the takeaway from our monetary policy concert?  Even though the Fed believes it has turned the volume knob just right, the crowd's reaction suggests the music isn't loud enough. The show is far from over.  The band will have to keep playing, adjusting the volume, until it strikes the perfect chord with the audience.  Disclaimer:  The material in this document is for informational purposes based on our proprietary research. It is not an offering, specific recommendation, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned or discussed herein.  Any performance results discussed herein represent past performance, are not a guarantee of future performance, and are not indicative of any specific investment.  Due to the timing of information presented, any investment performance reflected within this document may be adjusted after the publication and distribution of this material. There can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, or product made reference to directly or indirectly in this communication will be profitable, be equal to any corresponding indicated historical performance levels or be suitable for your portfolio.  Any investment results set forth in this document are not net of expenses and execution costs, nor do they account for other relevant trading or investment fees. Please visit tradersontrend.com/terms for our full Terms and Conditions.   [UNSUBSCRIBEÂ]( TradersOnTrend.com  COE MEDIA.   1126 S Federal Hwy Unit #827   Fort Lauderdale, FL 33316Â

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