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Markets Are The Quietest In Many Months

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tradealliance.io

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freedemo@tradealliance.io

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Tue, May 2, 2023 10:00 AM

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JOIN OUR LIVE SESSIONS! Our LIVE session starts when the big institutions and elite traders do befor

JOIN OUR LIVE SESSIONS! Our LIVE session starts when the big institutions and elite traders do before the opening bell. We'll look at real-time dark pool data as the market movers position themselves for the trading day in secret off-market exchanges. [JOIN OUR LIVE TRADING SESSION @ 6am PT / 9am ET]( [Shadow] Hello investor, We are just one day away from the Fed Reserve’s new rate decision. Sure enough, the markets were virtually flat because traders were likely holding back their bets until new statements from the Fed Reserve came out. JPMorgan Chase’s acquisition of First Republic Bank and Jamie Dimon saying that the deal should end the part of the banking crisis didn’t lead to a rally in stocks. - “Markets just sit around and wait until the Fed meeting begins, and then the positioning starts,” said Jamie Cox, managing partner for Harris Financial Group. “This is sort of the calm before the storm.” Want to know how quiet the markets have been? US ETFs traded $2.1 trillion worth of shares in April – the lowest monthly total since August 2020. And it was nearly half of March’s trading. That was a steep drop in volume. The Treasury market also had its quietest month in two years. Traders are basically unsure of what is going to happen. The sentiment is that the economy will suffer. But that day hasn’t arrived. Companies reported positive earnings, and economic data have been mixed bags. So, it is going to be a stalemate until something changes. - “People are bearish on the economy and stocks for something in the future but that future isn’t arriving fast enough for the market to move. So it’s a stalemate,” said Brent Donnelly, president of Spectra Markets. “No incentive to deploy new cash, but no ammo to put on new shorts.” While it is not major news yet, investors are keeping an eye on the debt ceiling. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warned the U.S. may run out of measures to pay its debts as early as June 1. In other words, we have about 30 days remaining for Congress to reach a deal. - “Because tax receipts through April have been less than the Congressional Budget Office anticipated in February, we now estimate that there is a significantly greater risk that the Treasury will run out of funds in early June,” wrote CBO director Phill Swagel. Notably, there are just eight legislative days this month when both the House and Senate will be in session at the same time. So, it could reduce the number of days that Congress has to negotiate deals in person. The markets have largely dismissed the news. But it is something to keep an eye on since there are little indications that both parties are close to a deal. - “As a market participant, we don’t really need any more ups and downs caused by things outside of the market itself and earnings,” said Kim Forrest, chief investment officer at Bokeh Capital Partners. - “Everyone on both sides of the aisle should listen to her,” the Pennsylvania-based Forrest said, referring to Yellen. Top Dividend Stock To Own Right Now Today’s Stock Pick: FTAI Aviation ([FTAI]( This stock is a wonderful one for a dividend investor to own. First, let’s talk about the company itself. FTAI Aviation is a global aviation and power equipment leasing company. The company would acquire aircraft and lease them to airline companies. And it also develops aircraft engines and aftermarket components primarily for the CFM56-7B/5B commercial aircraft engines. All in all, it owns a portfolio of 93 aircraft and 241 standalone engines as of March 31, 2023. The huge opportunity lies in the aftermarket for CFM56-5B engines. It is the largest engine market ever produced with over 22,000 engines manufactured and 21,000+ still in service today. However, GE Care is exiting this market to focus on new technology engines. This leaves companies like FTAI to fill in the niche. Aftermarket care for CFM56 is expected to grow at a whopping pace of 16% between 2022 and 2030, while GM Care’s market share of 26% is expected to shrink to 10% in the same period. (Source: FTAI Aviation) This is an important segment because the margins are insane. The adjusted EBITDA margin is constantly above 30% for the segment. In the most recent quarter, the company earned an EBITDA of $27.4 million on revenue of $85.1 million. That’s a lot of money going straight to the company’s pocket! (Source: FTAI Aviation) This segment makes up a small percentage of FTAI Aviation’s adjusted EBITDA, but that is going to change soon. FTAI made zero dollar on Aerospace products in 2020. Now, it accounts for 25% of the revenue for Q1’23 run-rate. (Source: FTAI Aviation) As a result, FTAI generated $195 million in positive free cash flow position in the recent quarter. This will lead to more asset acquisitions. For example, it acquired 22 CFM56 Engines & 5 narrowbody Aircraft during Q1 2023 for $127.8 million This can only lead to bigger adjusted EBITDA down the road. You can see its steady quarterly growth in adjusted EBITDA since first quarter of 2022: (Source: FTAI Aviation) Meaning? Lots of dividends for the shareholders! The stock currently yields an attractive 4.27%, and the company has paid out dividends for 47th straight quarters since its inception. With its blueprint of acquiring aircrafts and engines to generate income, an investor can feel assured that the dividend growth will continue for many quarters to come. Bottom line: FTAI Aviation has mastered the nice business model in the airline industry. Its products are essential. People will always need to fly. With its strong free cash flow position, the company has plenty of funds to grow its income through asset acquisition. This is a perfect stock for dividend lovers. FREE LIVE TRADING SESSIONS & TRAINING USING THE MOST COMPREHENSIVE DARK POOL MONITOR AVAILABLE TO THE RETAIL INVESTOR Join our LIVE Trading Sessions throughout the day where we will focus on how you can learn to master the markets through the use of advanced algorithms and AI to trade like the institutions. BEFORE THE BELL Starts 6am PT / 9am ET Our newest LIVE session starts when the big institutions and elite traders do, well before the market opens. We'll look at realtime dark pool data as the market movers position themselves for the tra ding day in the secret off market exchanges. LIVE TRADING SESSION Starts 8am PT / 11am ET Take advantage of Trade Algo's proprietary advanced algorithms for anticipating big market swings in our daily LIVE trading session. Trade Algo's Senior Analyst Luke Russell will walk you through the key tools and strategies that the institutional investors and top traders use to profit from high volatility in the market. THE FINAL HOUR Starts Noon PT / 3pm ET According to Wall Street Journal approximately 20% of the trading volume happens at the last 30 minutes of the day. Institutions make the majority of these trades in private dark pool exchanges -- away from the public’s eyes. The timing happens for two reasons: 1) Index funds make their trades to mimic the closing price of a stock. 2) Billionaires trade near the end of the day because they anticipate major news that will be released during after-hours. Because they trade in dark pools, the public doesn’t know about these trades until one day later. We’ve consistently spotted the correlation between a spike in dark pool volume at the end of the day and the next day’s price movement. In the Golden Hour we will identify and analyze these movements so you can trade with confidence. CATCH THE SPARK Starts 4pm PT / 7pm ET Catch The Spark is led by trading expert Luke Russell, starting at 4pm PT / 7pm ET. Open to all this session is a recap of the day and a prep for the next trading day with an emphasis on identifying and examining "spark" orders, those large institutional trades taking place behind closed doors in off-market exchanges, that drive stock movement. Bring the stock or options trade you've been waiting to make and we'll show you the information the hedge-funds, big institutions and top traders use to evaluate and time the trade. [REGISTER NOW! IT'S FREE]( OR [SCHEDULE A LIVE ONE-ON-ONE DEMO!](       © All Rights Reserved, Trade Alliance [Unsubscribe]( | [Manage Preferences](

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