WHO PCR Test False Positive Fiasco

The latest from William Briggs... [Gilder's Daily Prophecy] January 28, 2021 [UNSUBSCRIBE]( | [ARCHIVES]( External Advertisement 50% of all American IPOs have this backdoor built into them [Bearded man]( technology guru, Jeff Brown, has made a startling discovery. American IPOs are now accessible to everyday investors BEFORE they actually go public. [Click here for his shocking demo.]( [Warning] Do you enjoy receiving Gilder's Daily Prophecy? Please [Click Here Now]( so we know to continue sending you Gilder's Daily Prophecy for free! WHO PCR Test False Positive Fiasco [George Gilder]Dear Daily Prophecy Reader, Below you will find an excerpt from the latest coronavirus update from WIlliam Briggs. Keep scrolling to read his thoughts… [The only industry that will survive?]( The WHO last week admonished the world to watch the Ct level of PCR tests. Too high gives too many false positives. False positives artificially boost “case” numbers, and high “case” numbers prolong the panic. Reminder: What the media calls “cases” are largely asymptomatic to low grade infections, with some number of false positives. We have [an article on the WHO fiasco that just came out]( PCR stands for “polymerase chain reaction.” PCR amplifies (“cycles”) sequences of nucleic acid (DNA and RNA). The test takes a tiny sample from a swab of mucus and creates a much larger sample. This amplification makes it much easier for instruments to detect the virus. But that means that if a sample is over-cycled, it might produce a positive result for the coronavirus, even though no active virus is present. A patient might only have little fragments of nucleic acid floating around in his system, but he’s neither sick nor contagious… In PCR tests, running more cycles, raising the “cycle threshold” or Ct, is like cranking up the knob on [an amp subject to feedback]. A PCR test keeps doubling whatever is in the original sample until it detects the virus. The earlier it finds something, the more likely it’s dealing with an active infection. As Science magazine explained back in September, “A test that registers a positive result after 12 rounds, for a Ct value of 12, starts out with more than 10 million times as much viral genetic material as a sample with a CT value of 35.” If it only detects viral material after, say, 37 to 40 cycles, then the test should be counted as negative…[but often isn’t]… Until a few weeks ago, the Kansas Department of Health and Environment’s Health and Environmental Laboratories was running the test up to 42 cycles. Then, without fanfare, they quietly reduced that to 35. [Go here to read the rest](. Let’s see how this looks in the numbers. Here is the daily positivity rate of tests: [Chart]( Click the image to enlarge. Have you heard George Gilder’s latest extraordinary prediction yet? [Money ball]( was dubbed the “Tech Prophet” by Forbes… once won the White House Award for Entrepreneurial Excellence… and his work is respected by tech insiders like Bill Gates and former Google CEO Eric Schmidt… And recently, Gilder went on camera to explain how a new tech revolution is about to hit America… one that could unleash up to $15.1 trillion in new wealth. According to Gilder, if you don’t understand this new tech you could miss out on one of the greatest moneymaking opportunities for thirty five years. [Get more details here.]( Ignore the wild swings at the beginning, which are caused by small numbers. The peak at April 1 coincides with the peak at the number of attributed deaths. As does the smaller mid-July peak, which matches when the coronadoom first expanded to the South and West. Look close at around Thanksgiving and Christmas. Flat-ish. This is because of the large number of increased tests for people traveling, most of which were negative. There is then an expected sharp drop in tests (not positivity) around Christmas, and later again at New Years. This can boost positivity as it’s more likely people who suspect they'll show up to be tested, while everybody else stays home to celebrate. Normally I put the daily number of tests in the NUMBERS section, but we need it here. Note that, like below, these numbers aren’t beset by late counts like CDC death numbers (or are by very little). So this graph’s history won’t change. [Chart]( Click the image to enlarge. Tests re-peaked after the holiday, and have dropped slightly since the 15th. Positivity (the graph above) is dropping rapidly. That implies at least two things are happening: 1) Lower Cts, fewer false positives. The WHO’s admonition, and the politics of the coronadoom, necessitate a lowering of “cases” — and with lower “cases” comes lower attributed deaths. We’ll see that below. We already saw some localities lowered their Ct; it’s likely others have and will continue to do so. 2) Coming of spring. Below, and for many, many, many weeks I have been shouting that deaths would peak around the first week or two of January — as they always do — and then begin to subside as it gets warmer. Not so warm in the Northeast now, but it is warmer in the south. Authorities will take credit for this drop (weather and finally sensible Ct levels). It will be nauseating to endure their boasts, but at this point, we will all be glad for this nonsense to end as soon as possible. More on the Vaccine Hank Aaron died last week, after his vaccine. No cause of death was given for him anywhere that I could discover. I’m also hearing — as predicted! — rumors from unnamed professionals that the efficacy of the vaccine in the wild is much lower than the experimentally observed 90+%. I warned everybody it would decrease, likely to around 50%, a “regression to the mean” that happens to all drugs once they’re released. Drug companies can tightly control experimental data, and experiments, but they’re subject to the winds after the drug is in the hands of real people. Read the full update [here](. -Wiliam Briggs [#1 Futurist Has Gripping Forecast For Tech Investors...]( Regards, [George Gilder] George Gilder Editor, Gilder's Daily Prophecy Are You Ready for the Great Depression of 2021? [Depression era photo]( According to some economists we’re already in a recession… But now a former CIA and Pentagon advisor is saying this is just the beginning of something much, much worse. And he’s urging Americans to take these FIVE STEPS to protect their wealth and their loved one. 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