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A Golden Year for Shipping Stocks

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thetradingpub.com

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TradingPub@j.TheTradingPub.com

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Fri, Jan 12, 2024 10:02 PM

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To view this email as a web page, go A Golden Year for Shipping Stocks Dear Fellow Trader, On Friday

[] Today's market commentary from TradingPub is here! To view this email as a web page, go [here.]( To view this email as a web page, go [here.]( [] [] [] Join Roger LIVE at 1 p.m. ET on Tuesday for the world premier of his new strategy — and learn how to [trade the biggest stocks in the world after they tank!]( A Golden Year for Shipping Stocks Dear Fellow Trader, On Friday, U.S. oil prices popped above $75 per barrel, while Brent crude tipped above $78.50. Brent is the global benchmark for oil prices and is priced out of the North Sea. The pop comes after a surprise reversal in the sector fueled by ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. This morning, U.S. and British forces engaged in a series of missile strikes on the Iranian-backed Houthis in Yemen. The escalation heightens tensions around the ongoing sagas in the Middle East. In the last few weeks, the Houthis have attacked U.S. ships with drones, while Iran seized a large oil tanker off the coast of Oman. The ongoing geopolitical tensions extend threats to the Suez Canal, a massive shipping lane connecting the Indian Ocean to the Mediterranean Sea. Concerns about additional attacks have spurred some shipping companies to alter their routes at a time when global shipping rates sit at all-time highs. Let’s discuss why shipping stocks look like smart speculations in this environment — and how you can take advantage. Understanding Geopolitical Premium The "geopolitical premium" in crude oil prices refers to the additional cost factoring into the oil price based on geopolitical risks. These risks can include political instability, regional conflicts, terrorism or decisions made by oil-producing nations that may impact supply. For example, if political unrest exists in an oil-producing country like Libya or Iran, fears that oil supply might be disrupted can drive up prices, even if the supply remains unchanged. This premium is not a fixed amount. It fluctuates based on current events and perceived risks. It's a form of risk pricing where the market assesses the likelihood of an event that could disrupt supply and adjusts prices accordingly. The geopolitical premium is a crucial component in the oil market because it reflects the physical supply and demand, and the market's expectations and fears about future supply disruptions. This makes oil prices highly sensitive to international news and events, which can have ripple effects on the global economy. Geopolitical Costs and the Suez Canal As of 2020, approximately 1.75 million barrels of oil per day pass through the Suez Canal at the mouth of the Red Sea. While that’s a large sum, there’s an even greater impact on global trade. Roughly 15% of all seaborne trade moves through the Red Sea passage. Over the last few months, the Houthis — an Iran-backed rebel growth that controls the western side of Yemen on the Red Sea — have attacked container ships and other vessels passing through the shipping channels. Those attacks began in the wake of the Israeli-Hamas war, with the Houthis declaring their support for Hamas. The group has attacked various commercial ships with drones and surface missiles, with these incidents increasing by 500% between November and December, according to the BBC. The result has been a massive change in the global shipping industry. Shipping and insurance costs have increased by roughly 1,000%, and various companies have diverted ships from the Red Sea. Instead, they are transported from the Atlantic Ocean down around the Cape of Good Hope in South Africa. Reuters reports that four oil tankers turned around Friday to avoid the Red Sea and any retaliation after the U.S. airstrikes. The result has been longer shipping times but higher daily rates. A Perfect Storm for Shipping Liquidity remains robust with support from the Federal Reserve and the People’s Bank of China. As the economy passes through the coming months, it’s expected that global trade will pick up in the second half of the year. This includes rising demand for oil in China. That’s extremely good news for container ships. At the moment, markets are drastically underpricing oil and cargo ships, many of which trade at very high F scores and very low price-to-Graham figures. Over at Tactical Wealth Investor, we’re adding a shipping container stock to the portfolio, And shares have popped 3.5% on the ongoing geopolitical saga. But we anticipate much more in the coming months — as this deeply undervalued stock sets itself up for a possible reversion with steep upside. [To learn more, go here now.]( [] Chat soon, Garrett {NAME} *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is an inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] _______________________________________________ [] After 8 Long Years, It Looks Like We Finally Reached the Second Optimum Point See those two green arrows on this chart? What you’re seeing is a rare Bitcoin phenomenon that was last seen eight years ago… To put things into perspective for you… The last time a cross pattern like this showed up on its chart… [Bitcoin shot up 8,000%.]( Now, for the first time in about eight years, we’re about to see this phenomenon repeat itself. Now I’m not sure whether or not Bitcoin will hit another all-time high like the last time or right 8,000%. But from where we stand right now… [Graham is Very Bullish]( [] *The profits and performance shown are not typical, we make no future earnings claims and you may lose money. Since the ProTrader Dashboard is a tool for traders and not a trading service, profits and performance will vary among users.Trade at your own risk. [] _______________________________________________ [] Want to get a link to my TradingPub articles as soon as they post? I’ve got you covered! Telegram is an entirely free messaging app and getting access is as easy as 1… 2… 3… 1. Download Telegram on your mobile device (Before you can add Telegram to your desktop computer, you must download the application on your phone and create your account: To download to your iPhone, [click here](. To download to your Android device, [click here](. After the download is complete, please create an account. NOTE: You can manage your privacy settings by clicking “Settings,” and then “Privacy & Security.” 2. Download Telegram on your desktop: Once you’ve downloaded Telegram onto your mobile device and created your personal account, you can download it onto your desktop computer. To download onto your PC, [click here](. To download onto your MacOS, [click here](. 3. Then add the Garrett {NAME} channel and you’re set: [9_jjnFuAvno0MjNh]( See you there! Garrett [] _______________________________________________ [] [] [] Join Roger LIVE at 1 p.m. ET on Tuesday for the world premier of his new strategy — and learn how to [trade the biggest stocks in the world after they tank!]( A Golden Year for Shipping Stocks Dear Fellow Trader, On Friday, U.S. oil prices popped above $75 per barrel, while Brent crude tipped above $78.50. Brent is the global benchmark for oil prices and is priced out of the North Sea. The pop comes after a surprise reversal in the sector fueled by ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. This morning, U.S. and British forces engaged in a series of missile strikes on the Iranian-backed Houthis in Yemen. The escalation heightens tensions around the ongoing sagas in the Middle East. In the last few weeks, the Houthis have attacked U.S. ships with drones, while Iran seized a large oil tanker off the coast of Oman. The ongoing geopolitical tensions extend threats to the Suez Canal, a massive shipping lane connecting the Indian Ocean to the Mediterranean Sea. Concerns about additional attacks have spurred some shipping companies to alter their routes at a time when global shipping rates sit at all-time highs. Let’s discuss why shipping stocks look like smart speculations in this environment — and how you can take advantage. Understanding Geopolitical Premium The "geopolitical premium" in crude oil prices refers to the additional cost factoring into the oil price based on geopolitical risks. These risks can include political instability, regional conflicts, terrorism or decisions made by oil-producing nations that may impact supply. For example, if political unrest exists in an oil-producing country like Libya or Iran, fears that oil supply might be disrupted can drive up prices, even if the supply remains unchanged. This premium is not a fixed amount. It fluctuates based on current events and perceived risks. It's a form of risk pricing where the market assesses the likelihood of an event that could disrupt supply and adjusts prices accordingly. The geopolitical premium is a crucial component in the oil market because it reflects the physical supply and demand, and the market's expectations and fears about future supply disruptions. This makes oil prices highly sensitive to international news and events, which can have ripple effects on the global economy. Geopolitical Costs and the Suez Canal As of 2020, approximately 1.75 million barrels of oil per day pass through the Suez Canal at the mouth of the Red Sea. While that’s a large sum, there’s an even greater impact on global trade. Roughly 15% of all seaborne trade moves through the Red Sea passage. Over the last few months, the Houthis — an Iran-backed rebel growth that controls the western side of Yemen on the Red Sea — have attacked container ships and other vessels passing through the shipping channels. Those attacks began in the wake of the Israeli-Hamas war, with the Houthis declaring their support for Hamas. The group has attacked various commercial ships with drones and surface missiles, with these incidents increasing by 500% between November and December, according to the BBC. The result has been a massive change in the global shipping industry. Shipping and insurance costs have increased by roughly 1,000%, and various companies have diverted ships from the Red Sea. Instead, they are transported from the Atlantic Ocean down around the Cape of Good Hope in South Africa. Reuters reports that four oil tankers turned around Friday to avoid the Red Sea and any retaliation after the U.S. airstrikes. The result has been longer shipping times but higher daily rates. A Perfect Storm for Shipping Liquidity remains robust with support from the Federal Reserve and the People’s Bank of China. As the economy passes through the coming months, it’s expected that global trade will pick up in the second half of the year. This includes rising demand for oil in China. That’s extremely good news for container ships. At the moment, markets are drastically underpricing oil and cargo ships, many of which trade at very high F scores and very low price-to-Graham figures. Over at Tactical Wealth Investor, we’re adding a shipping container stock to the portfolio, And shares have popped 3.5% on the ongoing geopolitical saga. But we anticipate much more in the coming months — as this deeply undervalued stock sets itself up for a possible reversion with steep upside. [To learn more, go here now.]( [] Chat soon, Garrett {NAME} *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is an inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] _______________________________________________ [] After 8 Long Years, It Looks Like We Finally Reached the Second Optimum Point See those two green arrows on this chart? What you’re seeing is a rare Bitcoin phenomenon that was last seen eight years ago… To put things into perspective for you… The last time a cross pattern like this showed up on its chart… [Bitcoin shot up 8,000%.]( Now, for the first time in about eight years, we’re about to see this phenomenon repeat itself. Now I’m not sure whether or not Bitcoin will hit another all-time high like the last time or right 8,000%. But from where we stand right now… [Graham is Very Bullish]( [] *The profits and performance shown are not typical, we make no future earnings claims and you may lose money. Since the ProTrader Dashboard is a tool for traders and not a trading service, profits and performance will vary among users.Trade at your own risk. [] _______________________________________________ [] Want to get a link to my TradingPub articles as soon as they post? I’ve got you covered! Telegram is an entirely free messaging app and getting access is as easy as 1… 2… 3… 1. Download Telegram on your mobile device (Before you can add Telegram to your desktop computer, you must download the application on your phone and create your account: To download to your iPhone, [click here](. To download to your Android device, [click here](. After the download is complete, please create an account. NOTE: You can manage your privacy settings by clicking “Settings,” and then “Privacy & Security.” 2. Download Telegram on your desktop: Once you’ve downloaded Telegram onto your mobile device and created your personal account, you can download it onto your desktop computer. To download onto your PC, [click here](. To download onto your MacOS, [click here](. 3. Then add the Garrett {NAME} channel and you’re set: [9_jjnFuAvno0MjNh]( See you there! Garrett [] _______________________________________________ [] Disclaimer: The material in this document is for informational purposes based on our proprietary research. It is not an offering, specific recommendation, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned or discussed herein. Any performance results discussed herein represent past performance, are not a guarantee of future performance, and are not indicative of any specific investment. Due to the timing of information presented, any investment performance reflected within this document may be adjusted after the publication and distribution of this material. There can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, or product made reference to directly or indirectly in this communication will be profitable, be equal to any corresponding indicated historical performance levels or be suitable for your portfolio. Any investment results set forth in this document are not net of expenses and execution costs, nor do they account for other relevant trading or investment fees. Please visit thetradingpub.com/terms-of-service/ for our full Terms and Conditions. A TradingPub Publication ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from TradingPub LLC are for your informational purposes only. Neither TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [] Disclaimer: The material in this document is for informational purposes based on our proprietary research. It is not an offering, specific recommendation, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned or discussed herein. Any performance results discussed herein represent past performance, are not a guarantee of future performance, and are not indicative of any specific investment. Due to the timing of information presented, any investment performance reflected within this document may be adjusted after the publication and distribution of this material. There can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, or product made reference to directly or indirectly in this communication will be profitable, be equal to any corresponding indicated historical performance levels or be suitable for your portfolio. Any investment results set forth in this document are not net of expenses and execution costs, nor do they account for other relevant trading or investment fees. Please visit thetradingpub.com/terms-of-service/ for our full Terms and Conditions. A TradingPub Publication ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from TradingPub LLC are for your informational purposes only. Neither TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States

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