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The Thing About Delta Air Lines

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thetradingpub.com

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Mon, Dec 18, 2023 11:02 PM

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To view this email as a web page, go The Thing About Delta Air Lines? Dear Fellow Trader: I love D

[] Today's market commentary from TradingPub is here! To view this email as a web page, go [here.]( To view this email as a web page, go [here.]( [] [] [] One ticker harnesses the power of some of the best stocks in the world… [find out how to trade it with Tom Busby at 8 p.m. TONIGHT!]( The Thing About Delta Air Lines… Dear Fellow Trader: I love Delta Air Lines. I’m a Gold member. When I fly to Baltimore, I stop in Atlanta to get the points rather than take a direct flight out of Fort Myers. Yes… I’m that loyal. I also love to trade Delta stock… Today, I want to show you how our successful Delta Air Lines Inc. (NYSE: DAL) trade has worked. You can do it at home if you have a deeper understanding of events in the financial markets that create unparalleled opportunities. On Nov. 19, 2023, I recommended that my fellow traders sell a put spread on Delta, specifically targeting two puts to build the trade. But a lot of work went into this analysis. And today, I’m going to walk you through it. This is the insider story of how I’m 11-2 this year with an 85% win rate on closed trades (and several winners like Delta Air Lines right now). How Do We Do It? Step 1: Follow the Insiders The strongest anomaly in the financial markets is the insider buying efforts of executives at their own companies. I’m not talking about illegal insider trading. I’m talking about the targeted purchases of executives like CEOs and CFOs, who buy at specific times in certain conditions. When executives buy their stock, they file a Form 4 document with the SEC, which is typically released to the public within 48 to 72 hours. A study at the University of Michigan showed that insiders exploit opportunities in the market — and there is typically a significant pop between the time that the insiders buy and when the announcement comes. They know the true value of the company. They have insight into the future. And they are disclosing their purchases. I track the executive insider buying of thousands of companies, but we like to focus on the ones with very liquid options chains with lots of volume. One Oct. 31, the SEC reported that Delta director David Taylor purchased $307,500 in company stock four days prior. The average share price was $30.75. Here’s the SEC document from the website SECForm4.com. [] That purchase came a week after he bought another $330,900 at an average price of $33.09 per share. We now had a target, and we recognized a very liquid options chain on Delta. The stock typically has a daily trading volume north of 9 million shares. And we can see on the options chain that there’s ample open interest and activity. Here’s the Jan. 19, 2024, put option chain. There’s a relatively nice spread here on this stock, which allows us to start to pick positions. [] Step 2: Check on the State of Momentum and Sector Strength The next thing we did was check on the state of our indices, which turned positive at the beginning of November. Each morning, we assess the full flows of the market by measuring statistical metrics on a very specific number of stocks to determine broader sentiment and the momentum trend. When these readings turn red, we focus on cash, build trades around positive sectors, or take inverse positions against indices. When it is positive, we focus on short-squeeze stocks, companies with improving fundamentals, and trading/investing around the actions of corporate insiders. In the latter case, we focus on insider buying with spread selling. The last thing we needed to do was check on the state of the sectors linked to Delta. We looked to see that our readings on both Industrials and Consumer Discretionary were positive. Step 3: Find the Put Spread Selling put spreads is easy. And they’re great in positive conditions on very liquid stocks. When we talk about trading options, we want to sell them — not buy them. That’s because we can see ahead of time the odds of success when we sell options, and Out-of-the-money (OTM) options typically favor the seller by a wide margin. 1. If the stock goes up, the value of the spread goes down. As a result, we make money. 2. If the stock just trades sideways, the value of the spread will decay. As a result, we’d make money. 3. If momentum is positive and the stock pulls back, we’d be happy to own it at a lower level. But if momentum goes negative, we can just cut our losses and look for an opportunity to reenter this position.Now, here’s the way that I like to make these trades. I’m looking for a trade with a probability of profit at 80% or higher. And I want to target returns typically above 15%. So, we found one on Nov. 16. We targeted the Dec. 29, 2023, Delta $31-$33 put spread. Step 4: Execute the Trade We did so because the value of the spread — and the breakeven price would be less than the cost of the stock that the director purchased in October at $33.09. We sold this spread for $0.31 (or $31 for 100 shares). And it required $169 in margin. At the time, the stock was trading at $35.51. Our breakeven on the trade was $33.00 minus $0.31… Or $32.69. What happened next? Insider buying plus momentum drove this stock to $42 last week. Step 5: Take the Win The spread is currently trading… for $0.01. We could buy it back for $0.01… (plus an additional $1.30 in contract costs). This would give us a net win of $28.7 per contract (a 17% gain) Or we can just let it expire in two weeks, given our significant cushion. If we close it next Friday because of expiration, we pay no fees and a net of 18.3%. That’s a great win either way. This is what we do at [Executive Payouts Unlimited](. This is designed to focus on insider buying and momentum to create great double-digit winners with high probabilities of success. It requires patience and diligence. You can do all the work… or we can do it together. [] Chat soon, Garrett {NAME} *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is an inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] _______________________________________________ [] Market Shift Created Massive Flipping Opportunities There was a [monumental shift in the markets]( early last year... One that made it difficult for the average trader to have an edge. But this shift opened up a new door for folks to grab their slice of the millions, sometimes even billions of dollars going into specific stocks each day. Targeting extra cash not in a month, not in a week, but in as little as just one day. They’re called “Quick Flips” because they FLIP some of Wall Street’s biggest transactions. Turning them into trades that target an extra $500 in cash or more (based on a $2,500 starting investment on each trade) And these “Quick Flips” couldn’t be easier to spot, [once you know what to look for.]( Naturally, not everytrade works out, we’ve had some losers too. That’s to be expected, no one wins all of the time. Click here to learn how you can “flip” some Wall Street’s biggest transactions [Learn How to ‘Flip’ Wall Street on Its Ear]( [] From 5/19/22 through 12/6/23 on closed trade signals, the average win rate is 70%. The average return per position (winners and losers) is 5.4% and over a 30.65%.average winner with a 6 day average hold time. Past results are no guarantee of future results and you can lose money [] _______________________________________________ [] Want to get a link to my TradingPub articles as soon as they post? I’ve got you covered! Telegram is an entirely free messaging app and getting access is as easy as 1… 2… 3… 1. Download Telegram on your mobile device (Before you can add Telegram to your desktop computer, you must download the application on your phone and create your account: To download to your iPhone, [click here](. To download to your Android device, [click here](. After the download is complete, please create an account. NOTE: You can manage your privacy settings by clicking “Settings,” and then “Privacy & Security.” 2. Download Telegram on your desktop: Once you’ve downloaded Telegram onto your mobile device and created your personal account, you can download it onto your desktop computer. To download onto your PC, [click here](. To download onto your MacOS, [click here](. 3. Then add the Garrett {NAME} channel and you’re set: [9_jjnFuAvno0MjNh]( See you there! Garrett [] _______________________________________________ [] [] [] One ticker harnesses the power of some of the best stocks in the world… [find out how to trade it with Tom Busby at 8 p.m. TONIGHT!]( The Thing About Delta Air Lines… Dear Fellow Trader: I love Delta Air Lines. I’m a Gold member. When I fly to Baltimore, I stop in Atlanta to get the points rather than take a direct flight out of Fort Myers. Yes… I’m that loyal. I also love to trade Delta stock… Today, I want to show you how our successful Delta Air Lines Inc. (NYSE: DAL) trade has worked. You can do it at home if you have a deeper understanding of events in the financial markets that create unparalleled opportunities. On Nov. 19, 2023, I recommended that my fellow traders sell a put spread on Delta, specifically targeting two puts to build the trade. But a lot of work went into this analysis. And today, I’m going to walk you through it. This is the insider story of how I’m 11-2 this year with an 85% win rate on closed trades (and several winners like Delta Air Lines right now). How Do We Do It? Step 1: Follow the Insiders The strongest anomaly in the financial markets is the insider buying efforts of executives at their own companies. I’m not talking about illegal insider trading. I’m talking about the targeted purchases of executives like CEOs and CFOs, who buy at specific times in certain conditions. When executives buy their stock, they file a Form 4 document with the SEC, which is typically released to the public within 48 to 72 hours. A study at the University of Michigan showed that insiders exploit opportunities in the market — and there is typically a significant pop between the time that the insiders buy and when the announcement comes. They know the true value of the company. They have insight into the future. And they are disclosing their purchases. I track the executive insider buying of thousands of companies, but we like to focus on the ones with very liquid options chains with lots of volume. One Oct. 31, the SEC reported that Delta director David Taylor purchased $307,500 in company stock four days prior. The average share price was $30.75. Here’s the SEC document from the website SECForm4.com. [] That purchase came a week after he bought another $330,900 at an average price of $33.09 per share. We now had a target, and we recognized a very liquid options chain on Delta. The stock typically has a daily trading volume north of 9 million shares. And we can see on the options chain that there’s ample open interest and activity. Here’s the Jan. 19, 2024, put option chain. There’s a relatively nice spread here on this stock, which allows us to start to pick positions. [] Step 2: Check on the State of Momentum and Sector Strength The next thing we did was check on the state of our indices, which turned positive at the beginning of November. Each morning, we assess the full flows of the market by measuring statistical metrics on a very specific number of stocks to determine broader sentiment and the momentum trend. When these readings turn red, we focus on cash, build trades around positive sectors, or take inverse positions against indices. When it is positive, we focus on short-squeeze stocks, companies with improving fundamentals, and trading/investing around the actions of corporate insiders. In the latter case, we focus on insider buying with spread selling. The last thing we needed to do was check on the state of the sectors linked to Delta. We looked to see that our readings on both Industrials and Consumer Discretionary were positive. Step 3: Find the Put Spread Selling put spreads is easy. And they’re great in positive conditions on very liquid stocks. When we talk about trading options, we want to sell them — not buy them. That’s because we can see ahead of time the odds of success when we sell options, and Out-of-the-money (OTM) options typically favor the seller by a wide margin. 1. If the stock goes up, the value of the spread goes down. As a result, we make money. 2. If the stock just trades sideways, the value of the spread will decay. As a result, we’d make money. 3. If momentum is positive and the stock pulls back, we’d be happy to own it at a lower level. But if momentum goes negative, we can just cut our losses and look for an opportunity to reenter this position.Now, here’s the way that I like to make these trades. I’m looking for a trade with a probability of profit at 80% or higher. And I want to target returns typically above 15%. So, we found one on Nov. 16. We targeted the Dec. 29, 2023, Delta $31-$33 put spread. Step 4: Execute the Trade We did so because the value of the spread — and the breakeven price would be less than the cost of the stock that the director purchased in October at $33.09. We sold this spread for $0.31 (or $31 for 100 shares). And it required $169 in margin. At the time, the stock was trading at $35.51. Our breakeven on the trade was $33.00 minus $0.31… Or $32.69. What happened next? Insider buying plus momentum drove this stock to $42 last week. Step 5: Take the Win The spread is currently trading… for $0.01. We could buy it back for $0.01… (plus an additional $1.30 in contract costs). This would give us a net win of $28.7 per contract (a 17% gain) Or we can just let it expire in two weeks, given our significant cushion. If we close it next Friday because of expiration, we pay no fees and a net of 18.3%. That’s a great win either way. This is what we do at [Executive Payouts Unlimited](. This is designed to focus on insider buying and momentum to create great double-digit winners with high probabilities of success. It requires patience and diligence. You can do all the work… or we can do it together. [] Chat soon, Garrett {NAME} *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is an inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] _______________________________________________ [] Market Shift Created Massive Flipping Opportunities There was a [monumental shift in the markets]( early last year... One that made it difficult for the average trader to have an edge. But this shift opened up a new door for folks to grab their slice of the millions, sometimes even billions of dollars going into specific stocks each day. Targeting extra cash not in a month, not in a week, but in as little as just one day. They’re called “Quick Flips” because they FLIP some of Wall Street’s biggest transactions. Turning them into trades that target an extra $500 in cash or more (based on a $2,500 starting investment on each trade) And these “Quick Flips” couldn’t be easier to spot, [once you know what to look for.]( Naturally, not everytrade works out, we’ve had some losers too. That’s to be expected, no one wins all of the time. Click here to learn how you can “flip” some Wall Street’s biggest transactions [Learn How to ‘Flip’ Wall Street on Its Ear]( [] From 5/19/22 through 12/6/23 on closed trade signals, the average win rate is 70%. The average return per position (winners and losers) is 5.4% and over a 30.65%.average winner with a 6 day average hold time. Past results are no guarantee of future results and you can lose money [] _______________________________________________ [] Want to get a link to my TradingPub articles as soon as they post? I’ve got you covered! Telegram is an entirely free messaging app and getting access is as easy as 1… 2… 3… 1. Download Telegram on your mobile device (Before you can add Telegram to your desktop computer, you must download the application on your phone and create your account: To download to your iPhone, [click here](. To download to your Android device, [click here](. After the download is complete, please create an account. NOTE: You can manage your privacy settings by clicking “Settings,” and then “Privacy & Security.” 2. Download Telegram on your desktop: Once you’ve downloaded Telegram onto your mobile device and created your personal account, you can download it onto your desktop computer. To download onto your PC, [click here](. To download onto your MacOS, [click here](. 3. Then add the Garrett {NAME} channel and you’re set: [9_jjnFuAvno0MjNh]( See you there! Garrett [] _______________________________________________ [] Disclaimer: The material in this document is for informational purposes based on our proprietary research. It is not an offering, specific recommendation, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned or discussed herein. Any performance results discussed herein represent past performance, are not a guarantee of future performance, and are not indicative of any specific investment. Due to the timing of information presented, any investment performance reflected within this document may be adjusted after the publication and distribution of this material. There can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, or product made reference to directly or indirectly in this communication will be profitable, be equal to any corresponding indicated historical performance levels or be suitable for your portfolio. Any investment results set forth in this document are not net of expenses and execution costs, nor do they account for other relevant trading or investment fees. Please visit thetradingpub.com/terms-of-service/ for our full Terms and Conditions. A TradingPub Publication ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from TradingPub LLC are for your informational purposes only. Neither TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [] Disclaimer: The material in this document is for informational purposes based on our proprietary research. It is not an offering, specific recommendation, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned or discussed herein. Any performance results discussed herein represent past performance, are not a guarantee of future performance, and are not indicative of any specific investment. Due to the timing of information presented, any investment performance reflected within this document may be adjusted after the publication and distribution of this material. There can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, or product made reference to directly or indirectly in this communication will be profitable, be equal to any corresponding indicated historical performance levels or be suitable for your portfolio. Any investment results set forth in this document are not net of expenses and execution costs, nor do they account for other relevant trading or investment fees. Please visit thetradingpub.com/terms-of-service/ for our full Terms and Conditions. A TradingPub Publication ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from TradingPub LLC are for your informational purposes only. Neither TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States

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