War in the Western Hemisphere?

[] Today's market commentary from TradingPub is here! To view this email as a web page, go [here.]( To view this email as a web page, go [here.]( [] [] [] Join Roger Scott’s Weekly Cash Flow Challenge at 1 p.m. ET on Wednesday, and his quest to make 100 people [his next five-figure success story!]( War in the Western Hemisphere? For the first time since 2016, we could witness a war in the Western Hemisphere. Venezuela is reportedly beating the war drums over a possible invasion of Guyana, a small colonial nation that most people couldn't pick out on a map. The reasons? Oil and incompetence. Today, I want to discuss why this event matters and the company that the decisions of Venezuela’s government could most impact. Venezuela to Invade Guyana? President Nicolas Maduro will win reelection in Venezuela in 2024. That’s because he’s a dictator who has suppressed votes and arrested political rivals. He remains deeply unpopular across the country and is looking for a way to rally citizens. The easiest way to do so? Create a distraction. In this case, Maduro is tapping into a long-standing fight with its neighbor over a disputed border region called Essequibo. The debate is over 100 years old, and most Venezuelans were taught that their map should include this region that has more than 200,000 Guyana citizens living in it. Tensions boiled again in 2015 after Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM) discovered the Stabroek block, a massive oil reserve that contains more than 11 billion barrels of recoverable crude. Immediately, this made Guyana one of the top potential oil producers in the world, outpacing Kuwait and even Venezuela on a per-capita level. Maduro wants the oil. He’s beating the drums, saying that recent offshore licensing by the neighboring government is little more than “colonialism.” Last weekend, 95% of voters approved a resolution that would authorize Venezuela to explore annexation of this oil-rich nation. Even though Venezuela can barely produce its oil due to incompetence and socialism, they want their neighbor’s crude oil. This creates a lot of uncertainty for one major oil producer with a lot to lose. Chevron Under Pressure For the last few years, Chevron Corp. (NYSE: CVX) has spent a lot of money lobbying the United States government over Venezuela. The multinational oil giant has a lot of exposure in socialist nations and wants to return to boost regional output. In 2022, the U.S. government eased sanctions against the Maduro government in exchange for more accessible elections and more transparency in their government — don’t make me laugh. It's been seven years since Colombia’s government reached an agreement to end its war with FARC nationalists. If Venezuela goes into Guyana, it would immediately create problems for Chevron as it attempts to boost its production. But it’s not just Chevron’s exposure to Venezuela... The company has a lot of exposure in Guyana as well. In October, Chevron announced it would purchase Hess Corp. (NYSE: HES) for $53 billion. The company shunned opportunities to boost its production in Texas. Instead, it chose a company in Hess with significant interest in the offshore Stabroek block. Any effort by Venezuela to stop that production would naturally impact Hess' production's future cash flow expectations. Is War Likely? Most analysts state that the likelihood of armed conflict is relatively low. However, reports from the Wall Street Journal suggest that the U.S. military is already consulting with the Guyana government. In addition, Brazil’s military is on alert, as is Guyana’s forces. In a war-weary world, however, there aren’t many countries that stand to hold Venezuela accountable. China remains an investor in Guyana, and Cuba’s strategic interests in the Caribbean require it to align with Guyana at the United Nations. That said, it’s hard to generate much interest in the region while bigger hotspots exist in Gaza, Ukraine and Taiwan. This is a very important event in the West, and investors should closely monitor these developments. Venezuela’s economic instability is making Maduro desperate, and the annexation of energy-rich regions from its neighbor could impact major energy players like Exxon Mobil and Chevron when the Energy sector is under severe pressure. Looking ahead, investors are better off keeping their focus on the Permian Basin and other U.S.-based energy regions. That emphasizes names like Occidental Petroleum Corp. (NYSE: OXY), Diamondback Energy Inc. (Nasdaq: FANG) and Permian Resources Corp. (NYSE: PR), among others. We’ll revisit the energy patch this week. [Over at Tactical Wealth Investor]( I’m also digging into a midstream energy play that will provide investors with a significant upside in the space. [] Chat soon, Garrett {NAME} *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is an inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] _______________________________________________ [] Will You Be Roger’s Next 5-Figure Success Story? Roger Scott is aiming to bring on at least 100 people to join him on a mission to [accelerate his Weekly Cash Flow Challenge!]( The mission is to make YOU his next in a long line of five-figure success stories. And you’ll do it by targeting extra cash flow from the market, each and every week. [Get the Plan Details Here!]( [] _______________________________________________ [] Want to get a link to my TradingPub articles as soon as they post? I’ve got you covered! Telegram is an entirely free messaging app and getting access is as easy as 1… 2… 3… 1. Download Telegram on your mobile device (Before you can add Telegram to your desktop computer, you must download the application on your phone and create your account: To download to your iPhone, [click here](. To download to your Android device, [click here](. After the download is complete, please create an account. NOTE: You can manage your privacy settings by clicking “Settings,” and then “Privacy & Security.” 2. Download Telegram on your desktop: Once you’ve downloaded Telegram onto your mobile device and created your personal account, you can download it onto your desktop computer. To download onto your PC, [click here](. To download onto your MacOS, [click here](. 3. Then add the Garrett {NAME} channel and you’re set: [9_jjnFuAvno0MjNh]( See you there! Garrett [] _______________________________________________ [] [] [] Join Roger Scott’s Weekly Cash Flow Challenge at 1 p.m. ET on Wednesday, and his quest to make 100 people [his next five-figure success story!]( War in the Western Hemisphere? For the first time since 2016, we could witness a war in the Western Hemisphere. Venezuela is reportedly beating the war drums over a possible invasion of Guyana, a small colonial nation that most people couldn't pick out on a map. The reasons? Oil and incompetence. Today, I want to discuss why this event matters and the company that the decisions of Venezuela’s government could most impact. Venezuela to Invade Guyana? President Nicolas Maduro will win reelection in Venezuela in 2024. That’s because he’s a dictator who has suppressed votes and arrested political rivals. He remains deeply unpopular across the country and is looking for a way to rally citizens. The easiest way to do so? Create a distraction. In this case, Maduro is tapping into a long-standing fight with its neighbor over a disputed border region called Essequibo. The debate is over 100 years old, and most Venezuelans were taught that their map should include this region that has more than 200,000 Guyana citizens living in it. Tensions boiled again in 2015 after Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM) discovered the Stabroek block, a massive oil reserve that contains more than 11 billion barrels of recoverable crude. Immediately, this made Guyana one of the top potential oil producers in the world, outpacing Kuwait and even Venezuela on a per-capita level. Maduro wants the oil. He’s beating the drums, saying that recent offshore licensing by the neighboring government is little more than “colonialism.” Last weekend, 95% of voters approved a resolution that would authorize Venezuela to explore annexation of this oil-rich nation. Even though Venezuela can barely produce its oil due to incompetence and socialism, they want their neighbor’s crude oil. This creates a lot of uncertainty for one major oil producer with a lot to lose. Chevron Under Pressure For the last few years, Chevron Corp. (NYSE: CVX) has spent a lot of money lobbying the United States government over Venezuela. The multinational oil giant has a lot of exposure in socialist nations and wants to return to boost regional output. In 2022, the U.S. government eased sanctions against the Maduro government in exchange for more accessible elections and more transparency in their government — don’t make me laugh. It's been seven years since Colombia’s government reached an agreement to end its war with FARC nationalists. If Venezuela goes into Guyana, it would immediately create problems for Chevron as it attempts to boost its production. But it’s not just Chevron’s exposure to Venezuela... The company has a lot of exposure in Guyana as well. In October, Chevron announced it would purchase Hess Corp. (NYSE: HES) for $53 billion. The company shunned opportunities to boost its production in Texas. Instead, it chose a company in Hess with significant interest in the offshore Stabroek block. Any effort by Venezuela to stop that production would naturally impact Hess' production's future cash flow expectations. Is War Likely? Most analysts state that the likelihood of armed conflict is relatively low. However, reports from the Wall Street Journal suggest that the U.S. military is already consulting with the Guyana government. In addition, Brazil’s military is on alert, as is Guyana’s forces. In a war-weary world, however, there aren’t many countries that stand to hold Venezuela accountable. China remains an investor in Guyana, and Cuba’s strategic interests in the Caribbean require it to align with Guyana at the United Nations. That said, it’s hard to generate much interest in the region while bigger hotspots exist in Gaza, Ukraine and Taiwan. This is a very important event in the West, and investors should closely monitor these developments. Venezuela’s economic instability is making Maduro desperate, and the annexation of energy-rich regions from its neighbor could impact major energy players like Exxon Mobil and Chevron when the Energy sector is under severe pressure. Looking ahead, investors are better off keeping their focus on the Permian Basin and other U.S.-based energy regions. That emphasizes names like Occidental Petroleum Corp. (NYSE: OXY), Diamondback Energy Inc. (Nasdaq: FANG) and Permian Resources Corp. (NYSE: PR), among others. We’ll revisit the energy patch this week. [Over at Tactical Wealth Investor]( I’m also digging into a midstream energy play that will provide investors with a significant upside in the space. [] Chat soon, Garrett {NAME} *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is an inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] _______________________________________________ [] Will You Be Roger’s Next 5-Figure Success Story? Roger Scott is aiming to bring on at least 100 people to join him on a mission to [accelerate his Weekly Cash Flow Challenge!]( The mission is to make YOU his next in a long line of five-figure success stories. And you’ll do it by targeting extra cash flow from the market, each and every week. [Get the Plan Details Here!]( [] _______________________________________________ [] Want to get a link to my TradingPub articles as soon as they post? I’ve got you covered! Telegram is an entirely free messaging app and getting access is as easy as 1… 2… 3… 1. Download Telegram on your mobile device (Before you can add Telegram to your desktop computer, you must download the application on your phone and create your account: To download to your iPhone, [click here](. To download to your Android device, [click here](. After the download is complete, please create an account. NOTE: You can manage your privacy settings by clicking “Settings,” and then “Privacy & Security.” 2. Download Telegram on your desktop: Once you’ve downloaded Telegram onto your mobile device and created your personal account, you can download it onto your desktop computer. To download onto your PC, [click here](. To download onto your MacOS, [click here](. 3. Then add the Garrett {NAME} channel and you’re set: [9_jjnFuAvno0MjNh]( See you there! Garrett [] _______________________________________________ [] Disclaimer: The material in this document is for informational purposes based on our proprietary research. It is not an offering, specific recommendation, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned or discussed herein. Any performance results discussed herein represent past performance, are not a guarantee of future performance, and are not indicative of any specific investment. Due to the timing of information presented, any investment performance reflected within this document may be adjusted after the publication and distribution of this material. There can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, or product made reference to directly or indirectly in this communication will be profitable, be equal to any corresponding indicated historical performance levels or be suitable for your portfolio. Any investment results set forth in this document are not net of expenses and execution costs, nor do they account for other relevant trading or investment fees. Please visit thetradingpub.com/terms-of-service/ for our full Terms and Conditions. A TradingPub Publication ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from TradingPub LLC are for your informational purposes only. Neither TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [] Disclaimer: The material in this document is for informational purposes based on our proprietary research. It is not an offering, specific recommendation, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned or discussed herein. Any performance results discussed herein represent past performance, are not a guarantee of future performance, and are not indicative of any specific investment. Due to the timing of information presented, any investment performance reflected within this document may be adjusted after the publication and distribution of this material. There can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, or product made reference to directly or indirectly in this communication will be profitable, be equal to any corresponding indicated historical performance levels or be suitable for your portfolio. Any investment results set forth in this document are not net of expenses and execution costs, nor do they account for other relevant trading or investment fees. Please visit thetradingpub.com/terms-of-service/ for our full Terms and Conditions. A TradingPub Publication ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from TradingPub LLC are for your informational purposes only. Neither TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States