How to Trade the Collapse of Solar Stocks

[] Today's market commentary from TradingPub is here! To view this email as a web page, go [here.]( To view this email as a web page, go [here.]( [] [] [] Join Roger Scott at noon ET on Monday for the BIG reveal of his ProTrader Dashboard! [Save your seat here!]( How to Trade the Collapse of Solar Stocks Dear Fellow Trader: The United States government is spending trillions of dollars to push alternative energy programs and boost non-carbon-based fuels. Yet for all the hype and efforts to try to change Americans’ behavior when it comes to energy sources… The alternative energy sector is taking a few HUGE punches at the moment. Take a look at the Invesco Solar ETF (NYSEArca: TAN), a fund that owns all the big players in the sector. That includes big solar producers like First Solar Inc. (Nasdaq: FSLR), Enphase Energy Inc. (Nasdaq: ENPH), and Solar Edge Technologies Inc. (Nasdaq: SEDG). Have a look at the chart. So far this year, TAN is down a staggering 42.5%, and it doesn’t look like it’s ready to find a bottom just yet. [] Enphase is down 67% this year, while SolarEdge has cratered by 72%. So what gives in the solar sector? And how should you trade it? A Shot Across the Solar World This morning, shares of Enphase cratered by more than 15% after the company reported dismal third-quarter sales. U.S. revenue collapsed by 16% from the previous quarter. Ongoing jumps in U.S. interest rates and changes in electricity incentives in solar-friendly California weighed on revenue here in the U.S. Meanwhile, demand has collapsed in Europe, with sales dropping by 34% in a quarter. The company also slashed its forward guidance by a massive amount. This earnings report is a HUGE blow to the ongoing government push for more clean energy. The narrative of recent years called for a greater transition to green technologies — with solar leading the way. Governments around the globe have not only pushed more public dollars into projects, but they’ve also placed big regulatory curbs and aggressive targets to reduce emissions with this technology. But Ukraine and global inflation happened, and the ongoing transition continues to stall. Nations across Europe aren’t just turning away from their aggressive carbon-reducing targets, but they’re turning back to coal and other dirty fuels. It turns out that citizens don’t like the idea of freezing to death in the winter, and the political winds are shifting. Simply put: Politicians got ahead of themselves… and so, too, did investors who bidded up a large number of companies on the expectation of robust growth. Now it’s back to the drawing board. The sector isn’t expected to stabilize until at least the second quarter of 2024 — and even that might be too optimistic for Europe, where inflation remains sticky and interest rates remain high (impacting the cost of capital for new projects) How to Play This Solar Collapse Sometimes, the most obvious strategy is the right one when it comes to the Energy sector... Despite all of the lofty predictions among politicians and regulators, we only need to look at one research report to understand the expected success of the great transition in the future. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) is the research arm of the Department of Energy, the regulatory body that is trying to steer Americans toward solar panels and electric vehicles. This research arm released its annual Long-Term Energy Outlook in March 2023. As expected, the forecast projects robust demand for oil in the future (its high price for oil in 2050 is $190 per barrel). It projects robust demand for solar power in the future, but also a stable amount of demand for natural gas for electricity generation. And — here’s the big one — the forecast only suggests that just 20% of vehicles operated by consumers (light duty) in 2050… will be EVs. So, despite all the commitment to solar and EVs, 80% of the cars on the road over 25 years from now will still operate on gasoline. Boy… that goes against the narrative, doesn’t it? The obvious story here is that this commitment to solar and EV is going to create a lot of problems in the future. In fact, it’s already fueling big moves in oil and natural gas prices, while we confront geopolitical tensions across the Middle East. Bad policies will only aid [the current Energy Supercycle](. If you want to learn more about how you can trade this… check out my recent presentation. Enjoy your weekend, [] Garrett {NAME} *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is an inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] [] _________________________________________________ [] Are You Ready for the ProTrader Dashboard Reveal? It’s part indicator… part scanner… [It’s the all-new ProTrader Dashboard!]( [Clicking this link will automatically register you for ProTrader Dashboard and periodic updates from The TradingPub ([privacy policy]( Roger Scott’s ProTrader Dashboard shows you — in an instant — the stocks that Wall Street traders are likely buying or selling… Not months or weeks after the fact… but literally, as it’s happening! That way, you’re not left in the dark when all the big moves are made. And over the past three months, the top picks we’ve seen in Roger’s VIP Trade Room using this new trading tool have been downright incredible! • 69% on NEE in 1 day. • 75% on PENN in 2 days. • 80% on TSLA in 1 day. • 105% on SQ in 2 days. • 114% on SO in 1 day. • 220% on ORCL in 2 days. • 426% on RTX in 2 days. • 584% on DELL in 2 days. Granted, some trades were bigger, some were smaller and some resulted in a loss. But overall, Roger and his followers nailed some pretty sweet winners using the all-new ProTrader Dashboard. And for the first time ever, he’s releasing it to the masses so YOU can use it, too! Roger’s hosting a LIVE ProTrader Dashboard session at noon ET on Monday, Oct. 30, so you can look over his shoulder and take any trades as they come — for FREE. [Click Here to Reserve Your Seat!]( [] _______________________________________________ [] Want to get a link to my TradingPub articles as soon as they post? I’ve got you covered! Telegram is an entirely free messaging app and getting access is as easy as 1… 2… 3… 1. Download Telegram on your mobile device (Before you can add Telegram to your desktop computer, you must download the application on your phone and create your account: To download to your iPhone, [click here](. To download to your Android device, [click here](. After the download is complete, please create an account. NOTE: You can manage your privacy settings by clicking “Settings,” and then “Privacy & Security.” 2. Download Telegram on your desktop: Once you’ve downloaded Telegram onto your mobile device and created your personal account, you can download it onto your desktop computer. To download onto your PC, [click here](. To download onto your MacOS, [click here](. 3. Then add the TradingPub channel and you’re done: [9_jjnFuAvno0MjNh]( See you there! Garrett [] [] [] Join Roger Scott at noon ET on Monday for the BIG reveal of his ProTrader Dashboard! [Save your seat here!]( How to Trade the Collapse of Solar Stocks Dear Fellow Trader: The United States government is spending trillions of dollars to push alternative energy programs and boost non-carbon-based fuels. Yet for all the hype and efforts to try to change Americans’ behavior when it comes to energy sources… The alternative energy sector is taking a few HUGE punches at the moment. Take a look at the Invesco Solar ETF (NYSEArca: TAN), a fund that owns all the big players in the sector. That includes big solar producers like First Solar Inc. (Nasdaq: FSLR), Enphase Energy Inc. (Nasdaq: ENPH), and Solar Edge Technologies Inc. (Nasdaq: SEDG). Have a look at the chart. So far this year, TAN is down a staggering 42.5%, and it doesn’t look like it’s ready to find a bottom just yet. [] Enphase is down 67% this year, while SolarEdge has cratered by 72%. So what gives in the solar sector? And how should you trade it? A Shot Across the Solar World This morning, shares of Enphase cratered by more than 15% after the company reported dismal third-quarter sales. U.S. revenue collapsed by 16% from the previous quarter. Ongoing jumps in U.S. interest rates and changes in electricity incentives in solar-friendly California weighed on revenue here in the U.S. Meanwhile, demand has collapsed in Europe, with sales dropping by 34% in a quarter. The company also slashed its forward guidance by a massive amount. This earnings report is a HUGE blow to the ongoing government push for more clean energy. The narrative of recent years called for a greater transition to green technologies — with solar leading the way. Governments around the globe have not only pushed more public dollars into projects, but they’ve also placed big regulatory curbs and aggressive targets to reduce emissions with this technology. But Ukraine and global inflation happened, and the ongoing transition continues to stall. Nations across Europe aren’t just turning away from their aggressive carbon-reducing targets, but they’re turning back to coal and other dirty fuels. It turns out that citizens don’t like the idea of freezing to death in the winter, and the political winds are shifting. Simply put: Politicians got ahead of themselves… and so, too, did investors who bidded up a large number of companies on the expectation of robust growth. Now it’s back to the drawing board. The sector isn’t expected to stabilize until at least the second quarter of 2024 — and even that might be too optimistic for Europe, where inflation remains sticky and interest rates remain high (impacting the cost of capital for new projects) How to Play This Solar Collapse Sometimes, the most obvious strategy is the right one when it comes to the Energy sector... Despite all of the lofty predictions among politicians and regulators, we only need to look at one research report to understand the expected success of the great transition in the future. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) is the research arm of the Department of Energy, the regulatory body that is trying to steer Americans toward solar panels and electric vehicles. This research arm released its annual Long-Term Energy Outlook in March 2023. As expected, the forecast projects robust demand for oil in the future (its high price for oil in 2050 is $190 per barrel). It projects robust demand for solar power in the future, but also a stable amount of demand for natural gas for electricity generation. And — here’s the big one — the forecast only suggests that just 20% of vehicles operated by consumers (light duty) in 2050… will be EVs. So, despite all the commitment to solar and EVs, 80% of the cars on the road over 25 years from now will still operate on gasoline. Boy… that goes against the narrative, doesn’t it? The obvious story here is that this commitment to solar and EV is going to create a lot of problems in the future. In fact, it’s already fueling big moves in oil and natural gas prices, while we confront geopolitical tensions across the Middle East. Bad policies will only aid [the current Energy Supercycle](. If you want to learn more about how you can trade this… check out my recent presentation. Enjoy your weekend, [] Garrett {NAME} *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is an inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] [] _________________________________________________ [] Are You Ready for the ProTrader Dashboard Reveal? It’s part indicator… part scanner… [It’s the all-new ProTrader Dashboard!]( [Clicking this link will automatically register you for ProTrader Dashboard and periodic updates from The TradingPub ([privacy policy]( Roger Scott’s ProTrader Dashboard shows you — in an instant — the stocks that Wall Street traders are likely buying or selling… Not months or weeks after the fact… but literally, as it’s happening! That way, you’re not left in the dark when all the big moves are made. And over the past three months, the top picks we’ve seen in Roger’s VIP Trade Room using this new trading tool have been downright incredible! - 69% on NEE in 1 day. - 75% on PENN in 2 days. - 80% on TSLA in 1 day. - 105% on SQ in 2 days. - 114% on SO in 1 day. - 220% on ORCL in 2 days. - 426% on RTX in 2 days. - 584% on DELL in 2 days. Granted, some trades were bigger, some were smaller and some resulted in a loss. But overall, Roger and his followers nailed some pretty sweet winners using the all-new ProTrader Dashboard. And for the first time ever, he’s releasing it to the masses so YOU can use it, too! Roger’s hosting a LIVE ProTrader Dashboard session at noon ET on Monday, Oct. 30, so you can look over his shoulder and take any trades as they come — for FREE. [Click Here to Reserve Your Seat!]( [] _______________________________________________ [] Want to get a link to my TradingPub articles as soon as they post? I’ve got you covered! Telegram is an entirely free messaging app and getting access is as easy as 1… 2… 3… 1. Download Telegram on your mobile device (Before you can add Telegram to your desktop computer, you must download the application on your phone and create your account: To download to your iPhone, [click here](. To download to your Android device, [click here](. After the download is complete, please create an account. NOTE: You can manage your privacy settings by clicking “Settings,” and then “Privacy & Security.” 2. Download Telegram on your desktop: Once you’ve downloaded Telegram onto your mobile device and created your personal account, you can download it onto your desktop computer. To download onto your PC, [click here](. To download onto your MacOS, [click here](. 3. Then add the TradingPub channel and you’re done: [9_jjnFuAvno0MjNh]( See you there! Garrett [] A TradingPub Publication ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from TradingPub LLC are for your informational purposes only. Neither TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [] A TradingPub Publication ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from TradingPub LLC are for your informational purposes only. Neither TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States