‘Higher for Longer’ Just Got Louder

[] Today's market commentary from TradingPub is here! To view this email as a web page, go [here.]( To view this email as a web page, go [here.]( [] [] [] ‘Higher for Longer’ Just Got Louder… What an odd reversal, right? The S&P 500 finally got to positive conditions after a deep sell-off, and turned right back around. The news started with a Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation reading north of 3.7% year over year. Everyone except economist Paul Krugman recognized that inflation remains a very ugly story. The Producer Price Index (PPI) increased Wednesday for the third straight month. But the CPI showed sizable gains in energy, food and shelter prices. That was just the start of Thursday... It was the 1 p.m. ET surprise that punished the market. It was a reminder of the real crisis that continues to haunt this market. Bond Blues As I’ve said several times, the United States is facing a refinancing crisis. The Department of the Treasury had an auction Thursday for short-term bills and long-term bonds. The sale was for $20 billion in 29-year plus 10-month bonds. To put that amount of debt into perspective, it’s only about four or five days of government spending right now. Here’s the problem... Demand was weak. Rates surged above 4.8%, and dealers were stuck with 18% of the bonds. In a typical auction, it’s somewhere around 10% to 11%. So what’s going on here? The government is spending too much money. The Fed and Treasury are trying to increase the money supply to keep liquidity ample. And the bond markets are waking up to the threat of real inflation in the long run. The so-called “Bond Vigilantes” are rejecting the auctions… driving down the price of auctions and spiking the yields. And we’re just getting started. For the last decade, the government and the Fed have controlled the U.S. bond market. But now… the bond market is clawing back its control — and seeing a serious problem with future funding of this federal government. Over the next year, the Treasury will require more than $7.5 trillion to refinance short-term debt… while financing a major deficit heading into an election year. We’ve already added massive levels of debt since the debt ceiling deal, and markets are not very optimistic about the long-term stability of U.S. finances. What Comes Next? The bond market is sounding the alarm right now, and the threat of future auctions experiencing weak demand puts the entire equity market at risk. Economist Mohamed El-Erian warned that more volatility could loosen the guardrails that are essential to the financial sector. “There is a lot of question marks about these narratives that have settled into the market; don’t worry, the Fed will have to do less because the markets will have to do more. It doesn’t quite work that easily. It is a very complicated market outlook,” he said. “The major financial stability risk right now is the unusual volatility. It tends to break things. That’s what we have seen in the past. So far, the financial system has been incredibly resilient, and we should all be thankful for this.” If the Fed doesn’t raise interest rates, the bond markets will. That’s what “the markets will have to do more” means. That’s a very subtle warning of the coming weeks and months — as bonds increase and equity risk becomes less attractive. And that’s where we could quickly accelerate into a 2018 year-end scenario. Looking ahead, investors must take the necessary precautions to deal with a dramatic change in the global financial markets. We are experiencing a big shift in the financial system — one that will alter the landscape for the foreseeable future. Higher interest rates and bond volatility lie ahead. We have to be very cautious at this time — and position ourselves when something significant breaks again. [] Chat soon, Garrett {NAME} *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is an inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] [] _________________________________________________ [] Tesla Case Study: 50 Weeks of Tesla-Only Trades It’s not often I see something this good in the world of trading and investing… But, one of the best traders at our company discovered a new opportunity inside shares of Tesla. [Needless to say, it piqued my interest.]( It has to do with a technical pattern specific to Tesla. [] A pattern that has preceded 23 different money-doubling opportunities this year. According to his research… Anyone who traded this pattern over the last 50 weeks could have more than quintupled their account just by making one basic Tesla trade, one time per week… Now as you guys know, I’m not necessarily a “Tesla Bull.” But this is an opportunity worth exploring. If you want more details on this particular Tesla trade. [Check This Out]( [] The profits and performance shown are not typical, we make no future earnings claims, and you may lose money. The trades expressed are from historical data where the average return was 63% with a 6 day hold period and a win rate of 68% [] _______________________________________________ [] Market Momentum is RED Equity Momentum is negative again due to a HORRIBLE 30-year auction on Thursday. The markets continue to respond negatively to the bond market volatility and weak demand for long-duration bonds. Stay tuned. *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] _______________________________________________ [] Want to get a link to my TradingPub articles as soon as they post? I’ve got you covered! Telegram is an entirely free messaging app and getting access is as easy as 1… 2… 3… 1. Download Telegram on your mobile device (Before you can add Telegram to your desktop computer, you must download the application on your phone and create your account: To download to your iPhone, [click here](. To download to your Android device, [click here](. After the download is complete, please create an account. NOTE: You can manage your privacy settings by clicking “Settings,” and then “Privacy & Security.” 2. Download Telegram on your desktop: Once you’ve downloaded Telegram onto your mobile device and created your personal account, you can download it onto your desktop computer. To download onto your PC, [click here](. To download onto your MacOS, [click here](. 3. Then add the TradingPub channel and you’re done: [9_jjnFuAvno0MjNh]( See you there! Garrett [] [] [] ‘Higher for Longer’ Just Got Louder… What an odd reversal, right? The S&P 500 finally got to positive conditions after a deep sell-off, and turned right back around. The news started with a Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation reading north of 3.7% year over year. Everyone except economist Paul Krugman recognized that inflation remains a very ugly story. The Producer Price Index (PPI) increased Wednesday for the third straight month. But the CPI showed sizable gains in energy, food and shelter prices. That was just the start of Thursday... It was the 1 p.m. ET surprise that punished the market. It was a reminder of the real crisis that continues to haunt this market. Bond Blues As I’ve said several times, the United States is facing a refinancing crisis. The Department of the Treasury had an auction Thursday for short-term bills and long-term bonds. The sale was for $20 billion in 29-year plus 10-month bonds. To put that amount of debt into perspective, it’s only about four or five days of government spending right now. Here’s the problem... Demand was weak. Rates surged above 4.8%, and dealers were stuck with 18% of the bonds. In a typical auction, it’s somewhere around 10% to 11%. So what’s going on here? The government is spending too much money. The Fed and Treasury are trying to increase the money supply to keep liquidity ample. And the bond markets are waking up to the threat of real inflation in the long run. The so-called “Bond Vigilantes” are rejecting the auctions… driving down the price of auctions and spiking the yields. And we’re just getting started. For the last decade, the government and the Fed have controlled the U.S. bond market. But now… the bond market is clawing back its control — and seeing a serious problem with future funding of this federal government. Over the next year, the Treasury will require more than $7.5 trillion to refinance short-term debt… while financing a major deficit heading into an election year. We’ve already added massive levels of debt since the debt ceiling deal, and markets are not very optimistic about the long-term stability of U.S. finances. What Comes Next? The bond market is sounding the alarm right now, and the threat of future auctions experiencing weak demand puts the entire equity market at risk. Economist Mohamed El-Erian warned that more volatility could loosen the guardrails that are essential to the financial sector. “There is a lot of question marks about these narratives that have settled into the market; don’t worry, the Fed will have to do less because the markets will have to do more. It doesn’t quite work that easily. It is a very complicated market outlook,” he said. “The major financial stability risk right now is the unusual volatility. It tends to break things. That’s what we have seen in the past. So far, the financial system has been incredibly resilient, and we should all be thankful for this.” If the Fed doesn’t raise interest rates, the bond markets will. That’s what “the markets will have to do more” means. That’s a very subtle warning of the coming weeks and months — as bonds increase and equity risk becomes less attractive. And that’s where we could quickly accelerate into a 2018 year-end scenario. Looking ahead, investors must take the necessary precautions to deal with a dramatic change in the global financial markets. We are experiencing a big shift in the financial system — one that will alter the landscape for the foreseeable future. Higher interest rates and bond volatility lie ahead. We have to be very cautious at this time — and position ourselves when something significant breaks again. [] Chat soon, Garrett {NAME} *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is an inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] [] _________________________________________________ [] Tesla Case Study: 50 Weeks of Tesla-Only Trades It’s not often I see something this good in the world of trading and investing… But, one of the best traders at our company discovered a new opportunity inside shares of Tesla. [Needless to say, it piqued my interest.]( It has to do with a technical pattern specific to Tesla. [] A pattern that has preceded 23 different money-doubling opportunities this year. According to his research… Anyone who traded this pattern over the last 50 weeks could have more than quintupled their account just by making one basic Tesla trade, one time per week… Now as you guys know, I’m not necessarily a “Tesla Bull.” But this is an opportunity worth exploring. If you want more details on this particular Tesla trade. [Check This Out]( [] The profits and performance shown are not typical, we make no future earnings claims, and you may lose money. The trades expressed are from historical data where the average return was 63% with a 6 day hold period and a win rate of 68% [] _______________________________________________ [] Market Momentum is RED Equity Momentum is negative again due to a HORRIBLE 30-year auction on Thursday. The markets continue to respond negatively to the bond market volatility and weak demand for long-duration bonds. Stay tuned. *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] _______________________________________________ [] Want to get a link to my TradingPub articles as soon as they post? I’ve got you covered! Telegram is an entirely free messaging app and getting access is as easy as 1… 2… 3… 1. Download Telegram on your mobile device (Before you can add Telegram to your desktop computer, you must download the application on your phone and create your account: To download to your iPhone, [click here](. To download to your Android device, [click here](. After the download is complete, please create an account. NOTE: You can manage your privacy settings by clicking “Settings,” and then “Privacy & Security.” 2. Download Telegram on your desktop: Once you’ve downloaded Telegram onto your mobile device and created your personal account, you can download it onto your desktop computer. To download onto your PC, [click here](. To download onto your MacOS, [click here](. 3. Then add the TradingPub channel and you’re done: [9_jjnFuAvno0MjNh]( See you there! Garrett [] A TradingPub Publication ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from TradingPub LLC are for your informational purposes only. Neither TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [] A TradingPub Publication ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from TradingPub LLC are for your informational purposes only. Neither TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States