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Stimulus Speculation Takes The S&P 500 Higher

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Tue, Oct 10, 2023 11:03 PM

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[] Today's market commentary from TradingPub is here! To view this email as a web page, go [here.]( To view this email as a web page, go [here.]( [] [] [] LIVE at 8 p.m. ET TONIGHT — Lance Ippolito will share his Perfect Tesla trade, [and give away a free Tesla Outlook Report!]( Stimulus Speculation Takes The S&P 500 Higher Before we get started, I wanted to share something with you. My friends at “Luckbox Magazine” took a recent column that I wrote about Cathie Wood and her ARK Innovation Fund, and turned it into a video. I think you’ll enjoy it as you dig into opportunities. [It’s on YouTube, right here.]( Now for Tuesday’s commentary… War in Israel… 10-year bonds at 4.8%... A refinancing crisis that’s imminent for both real estate giants and central banks… But we’re back in positive territory for the S&P 500 on momentum. Following last week’s bounce of technical oversold levels, the S&P 500 has seen a positive bounce for its Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Money Flow Index (MFI). And the MACD has finally turned the corner after a prolonged drop since mid-September. Even the ADX 14 looks ready to rock. [] So, how exactly can this happen? After all the bad news in the last two weeks? Two reasons. Technical Oversold Pay close attention to two indicators when looking for a short squeeze or short-term rebound. They are the Daily readings of the Relative Strength Index (price momentum) and the Money Flow Index (price and volume momentum). RSI is considered OVERSOLD at 30 or less, while the MFI is considered OVERSOLD at 20 or less. You can see in the chart above that they both hit oversold levels before this recent pop — a similar event also happened in mid-August. In addition, we are seeing a nice breakout on the MACD. I’m not sure how long this could last, but the music is back on and we’re dancing. When both are oversold, the algorithms can and will wake up. A positive news development like fiscal or monetary stimulus can also wake up the algos. Stimulus Time Now, here’s the big one... China may inject another one trillion yuan into its economy. Bloomberg reports that stimulus could come soon, and it would put China on pace for a similar print to its June easing period. It’s infrastructure stimulus — similar to the sort of capital that Washington has injected into the U.S. economy through next year. The last two times we saw China's considerable monetary efforts were in late December 2022 and early June 2023. As you can see, the iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) saw a nice pop the last time China engaged in two rounds of monetary policy expansion. This would be fiscal, but it would likely have a similar sentiment bump. Conclusion The markets aren’t supposed to make sense. They are very irrational to the human eye. However, we’ve had a combination of short covering off oversold levels and rumors of new capital injections from the Chinese government. Remember, there are serious problems in the Chinese economy. Its property giant Country Garden is on the brink of default. But as I’ve explained, the pathway forward is more debt and more spending… until it breaks. I anticipate that China will see a weakening of its currency and more deficit spending to bolster its growth. All we need to do is follow momentum, and trade it until it goes red again. [] Chat soon, Garrett {NAME} *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is an inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] [] _________________________________________________ [] Any Upside Left in TSLA? New Data Says ‘YES’ 2,136%... That’s how much Tesla's stock has returned over the past 10 years. And while most Americans believe all the best Tesla returns have come and gone… I do not... [And neither does Wall Street.]( In fact, a number of institutions expect Tesla to reach nearly $600 a share by 2025… That’s well over a 100% increase from where it’s trading at today. But based on new research, there’s no need to wait until 2025… In fact, it suggests traders like us would’ve had the chance to target that same 100% return from Tesla in as little as six days… Think I’m bluffing? [It's Already Happened 23 Times This Year]( [] _______________________________________________ [] Market Momentum is GREEN Equity Momentum is positive on the Nasdaq and the S&P 500. The Russell 2000 is catching up quickly. We’ll see if it holds. *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] _______________________________________________ [] Want to get a link to my TradingPub articles as soon as they post? I’ve got you covered! Telegram is an entirely free messaging app and getting access is as easy as 1… 2… 3… 1. Download Telegram on your mobile device (Before you can add Telegram to your desktop computer, you must download the application on your phone and create your account: To download to your iPhone, [click here](. To download to your Android device, [click here](. After the download is complete, please create an account. NOTE: You can manage your privacy settings by clicking “Settings,” and then “Privacy & Security.” 2. Download Telegram on your desktop: Once you’ve downloaded Telegram onto your mobile device and created your personal account, you can download it onto your desktop computer. To download onto your PC, [click here](. To download onto your MacOS, [click here](. 3. Then add the TradingPub channel and you’re done: [9_jjnFuAvno0MjNh]( See you there! Garrett [] [] [] LIVE at 8 p.m. ET TONIGHT — Lance Ippolito will share his Perfect Tesla trade, [and give away a free Tesla Outlook Report!]( Stimulus Speculation Takes The S&P 500 Higher Before we get started, I wanted to share something with you. My friends at “Luckbox Magazine” took a recent column that I wrote about Cathie Wood and her ARK Innovation Fund, and turned it into a video. I think you’ll enjoy it as you dig into opportunities. [It’s on YouTube, right here.]( Now for Tuesday’s commentary… War in Israel… 10-year bonds at 4.8%... A refinancing crisis that’s imminent for both real estate giants and central banks… But we’re back in positive territory for the S&P 500 on momentum. Following last week’s bounce of technical oversold levels, the S&P 500 has seen a positive bounce for its Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Money Flow Index (MFI). And the MACD has finally turned the corner after a prolonged drop since mid-September. Even the ADX 14 looks ready to rock. [] So, how exactly can this happen? After all the bad news in the last two weeks? Two reasons. Technical Oversold Pay close attention to two indicators when looking for a short squeeze or short-term rebound. They are the Daily readings of the Relative Strength Index (price momentum) and the Money Flow Index (price and volume momentum). RSI is considered OVERSOLD at 30 or less, while the MFI is considered OVERSOLD at 20 or less. You can see in the chart above that they both hit oversold levels before this recent pop — a similar event also happened in mid-August. In addition, we are seeing a nice breakout on the MACD. I’m not sure how long this could last, but the music is back on and we’re dancing. When both are oversold, the algorithms can and will wake up. A positive news development like fiscal or monetary stimulus can also wake up the algos. Stimulus Time Now, here’s the big one... China may inject another one trillion yuan into its economy. Bloomberg reports that stimulus could come soon, and it would put China on pace for a similar print to its June easing period. It’s infrastructure stimulus — similar to the sort of capital that Washington has injected into the U.S. economy through next year. The last two times we saw China's considerable monetary efforts were in late December 2022 and early June 2023. As you can see, the iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) saw a nice pop the last time China engaged in two rounds of monetary policy expansion. This would be fiscal, but it would likely have a similar sentiment bump. Conclusion The markets aren’t supposed to make sense. They are very irrational to the human eye. However, we’ve had a combination of short covering off oversold levels and rumors of new capital injections from the Chinese government. Remember, there are serious problems in the Chinese economy. Its property giant Country Garden is on the brink of default. But as I’ve explained, the pathway forward is more debt and more spending… until it breaks. I anticipate that China will see a weakening of its currency and more deficit spending to bolster its growth. All we need to do is follow momentum, and trade it until it goes red again. [] Chat soon, Garrett {NAME} *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is an inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] [] _________________________________________________ [] Any Upside Left in TSLA? New Data Says ‘YES’ 2,136%... That’s how much Tesla's stock has returned over the past 10 years. And while most Americans believe all the best Tesla returns have come and gone… I do not... [And neither does Wall Street.]( In fact, a number of institutions expect Tesla to reach nearly $600 a share by 2025… That’s well over a 100% increase from where it’s trading at today. But based on new research, there’s no need to wait until 2025… In fact, it suggests traders like us would’ve had the chance to target that same 100% return from Tesla in as little as six days… Think I’m bluffing? [It's Already Happened 23 Times This Year]( [] _______________________________________________ [] Market Momentum is GREEN Equity Momentum is positive on the Nasdaq and the S&P 500. The Russell 2000 is catching up quickly. We’ll see if it holds. *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] _______________________________________________ [] Want to get a link to my TradingPub articles as soon as they post? I’ve got you covered! Telegram is an entirely free messaging app and getting access is as easy as 1… 2… 3… 1. Download Telegram on your mobile device (Before you can add Telegram to your desktop computer, you must download the application on your phone and create your account: To download to your iPhone, [click here](. To download to your Android device, [click here](. After the download is complete, please create an account. NOTE: You can manage your privacy settings by clicking “Settings,” and then “Privacy & Security.” 2. Download Telegram on your desktop: Once you’ve downloaded Telegram onto your mobile device and created your personal account, you can download it onto your desktop computer. To download onto your PC, [click here](. To download onto your MacOS, [click here](. 3. Then add the TradingPub channel and you’re done: [9_jjnFuAvno0MjNh]( See you there! Garrett [] A TradingPub Publication ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from TradingPub LLC are for your informational purposes only. Neither TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [] A TradingPub Publication ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from TradingPub LLC are for your informational purposes only. Neither TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States

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