Higher for Longer... Here’s What I Would Do

[] Today's market commentary from TradingPub is here! To view this email as a web page, go [here.]( To view this email as a web page, go [here.]( [] [] [] Join me LIVE at 2 p.m. ET on Thursday to learn about the energy supercycle of the decade — [and how to trade it!]( Higher For Longer… Here’s What I Would Do Dear Fellow Trader: The Federal Reserve didn’t surprise investors Wednesday by pausing interest rate hikes. The central bank opted to keep rates at the 5.25% range, while Powell stressed that the U.S. economy remains strong. But the market acted with disgust. No one liked Powell’s message. The Fed could continue raising interest rates. Meanwhile, the Dot Plot shows just two rate cuts in the next year. That’s a staggering decline… meaning that we’ll have rates higher for longer. Attention now turns to the November meeting, where the odds of another hike remain somewhat muted. Today, I want to highlight two important things about the central bank’s decision. Both will impact your money, your investments and your prosperity in the future. Higher for Longer The Fed’s rate hikes typically have a lagging impact on the economy. It can take nine to 12 months for the impact of a rate hike to affect businesses, lending and the general economy. So, the rate hikes from this summer will certainly impact sentiment into the first half of next year. But it goes beyond this element: Mortgage, auto loan and credit card rates will also remain elevated for longer. A lot of people are buying homes right now at rates north of 7% on the speculation that rates will fall in the future… and they’ll be able to refinance their loans to cut their payments. That’s a really bad idea. First, we may see rates remain elevated for the foreseeable future — into 2025. If the economy weakens and joblessness increases, that could put them in an affordability crisis and eat into their cash flow. These sorts of ideas when they become mass-scale among the consumer class can lead to real crises. Back in 2006, the idea was that you could buy a home and flip it at a later time. Today, it’s similar — buy a home and you can refinance it for cheaper in the future. These ideas don’t work when people lack any idea about what could happen in the economy in the next two to three years. If we see another wave of inflation, for example, rates are likely to climb again… not fall. The Narrative Shifts The next three months will be critical for the Fed and the U.S. economy’s outlook through 2026. The central bank has not come close to reaching its 2% inflation target. And with oil prices rising — and real estate refinancing at higher rates coming — a resurgence is possible for 4% or higher on the Consumer Price Index. The Fed hasn’t succeeded enough to call its fight against inflation over. We’ve witnessed a dramatic fiscal policy expansion over the last two years that has made Powell’s job impossible, and our government’s commitment to overregulating housing, energy and more creates supply-demand imbalances and higher costs. It’s basic economics that is typically dismissed for political convenience. The upcoming CPI numbers for September, October and November are critical to understanding the next phase of the Fed’s actions. We move from speculation around more rate hikes to one that now centers around when the Fed will start to cut rates. That is a very dramatic and different environment — as rate cuts are typically done to ease conditions for the economy. So, we’d be looking for uglier economic data to justify those practices. And if no one wants to buy U.S. debt — especially the 10-year bond — then who will be the buyer of last resort? The Fed. We are facing higher rates on the 10-year in the future, which will weigh on the equity markets and the Fed’s efforts to contain inflation. We will see more fiscal challenges ahead for the Treasury. And we’ll see greater uncertainty to boot. Keep your eye on our momentum readings, and be cautious in these environments. Stick to what is working… like energy, for now. [] Chat soon, Garrett {NAME} *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is an inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] [] _________________________________________________ [] The Energy Supercycle Is Already Upon Us Want to front-run what billionaires are calling the “supercycle of the decade”? Legendary investors like… • Warren Buffett. • Bill Gross. • Steven Cohen. • Carl Icahn. • Ray Dalio. • Larry Fink. They’re all [betting BIG on this emerging financial trend.]( In fact, Buffett is making one of the biggest investments of his entire career on the back of this trend! A trend he calls… “The greatest generational opportunity of a lifetime.” And you can get in on his $11 billion dollar bet, too! So heads up because this winter is going to be one like no other. [Check This Out!]( [] _______________________________________________ [] Market Momentum is RED Market momentum remains squarely in the red. *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] ___________________________________________ [] Want to get a link to my TradingPub articles as soon as they post? I’ve got you covered! Telegram is an entirely free messaging app and getting access is as easy as 1… 2… 3… 1. Download Telegram on your mobile device (Before you can add Telegram to your desktop computer, you must download the application on your phone and create your account: To download to your iPhone, [click here](. To download to your Android device, [click here](. After the download is complete, please create an account. NOTE: You can manage your privacy settings by clicking “Settings,” and then “Privacy & Security.” 2. Download Telegram on your desktop: Once you’ve downloaded Telegram onto your mobile device and created your personal account, you can download it onto your desktop computer. To download onto your PC, [click here](. To download onto your MacOS, [click here](. 3. Then add the TradingPub channel and you’re done: [9_jjnFuAvno0MjNh]( See you there! Garrett [] [] [] Join me LIVE at 2 p.m. ET on Thursday to learn about the energy supercycle of the decade — [and how to trade it!]( Higher For Longer… Here’s What I Would Do Dear Fellow Trader: The Federal Reserve didn’t surprise investors Wednesday by pausing interest rate hikes. The central bank opted to keep rates at the 5.25% range, while Powell stressed that the U.S. economy remains strong. But the market acted with disgust. No one liked Powell’s message. The Fed could continue raising interest rates. Meanwhile, the Dot Plot shows just two rate cuts in the next year. That’s a staggering decline… meaning that we’ll have rates higher for longer. Attention now turns to the November meeting, where the odds of another hike remain somewhat muted. Today, I want to highlight two important things about the central bank’s decision. Both will impact your money, your investments and your prosperity in the future. Higher for Longer The Fed’s rate hikes typically have a lagging impact on the economy. It can take nine to 12 months for the impact of a rate hike to affect businesses, lending and the general economy. So, the rate hikes from this summer will certainly impact sentiment into the first half of next year. But it goes beyond this element: Mortgage, auto loan and credit card rates will also remain elevated for longer. A lot of people are buying homes right now at rates north of 7% on the speculation that rates will fall in the future… and they’ll be able to refinance their loans to cut their payments. That’s a really bad idea. First, we may see rates remain elevated for the foreseeable future — into 2025. If the economy weakens and joblessness increases, that could put them in an affordability crisis and eat into their cash flow. These sorts of ideas when they become mass-scale among the consumer class can lead to real crises. Back in 2006, the idea was that you could buy a home and flip it at a later time. Today, it’s similar — buy a home and you can refinance it for cheaper in the future. These ideas don’t work when people lack any idea about what could happen in the economy in the next two to three years. If we see another wave of inflation, for example, rates are likely to climb again… not fall. The Narrative Shifts The next three months will be critical for the Fed and the U.S. economy’s outlook through 2026. The central bank has not come close to reaching its 2% inflation target. And with oil prices rising — and real estate refinancing at higher rates coming — a resurgence is possible for 4% or higher on the Consumer Price Index. The Fed hasn’t succeeded enough to call its fight against inflation over. We’ve witnessed a dramatic fiscal policy expansion over the last two years that has made Powell’s job impossible, and our government’s commitment to overregulating housing, energy and more creates supply-demand imbalances and higher costs. It’s basic economics that is typically dismissed for political convenience. The upcoming CPI numbers for September, October and November are critical to understanding the next phase of the Fed’s actions. We move from speculation around more rate hikes to one that now centers around when the Fed will start to cut rates. That is a very dramatic and different environment — as rate cuts are typically done to ease conditions for the economy. So, we’d be looking for uglier economic data to justify those practices. And if no one wants to buy U.S. debt — especially the 10-year bond — then who will be the buyer of last resort? The Fed. We are facing higher rates on the 10-year in the future, which will weigh on the equity markets and the Fed’s efforts to contain inflation. We will see more fiscal challenges ahead for the Treasury. And we’ll see greater uncertainty to boot. Keep your eye on our momentum readings, and be cautious in these environments. Stick to what is working… like energy, for now. [] Chat soon, Garrett {NAME} *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is an inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] [] _________________________________________________ [] The Energy Supercycle Is Already Upon Us Want to front-run what billionaires are calling the “supercycle of the decade”? Legendary investors like… - Warren Buffett. - Bill Gross. - Steven Cohen. - Carl Icahn. - Ray Dalio. - Larry Fink. They’re all [betting BIG on this emerging financial trend.]( In fact, Buffett is making one of the biggest investments of his entire career on the back of this trend! A trend he calls… “The greatest generational opportunity of a lifetime.” And you can get in on his $11 billion dollar bet, too! So heads up because this winter is going to be one like no other. [Check This Out!]( [] _______________________________________________ [] Market Momentum is RED Market momentum remains squarely in the red. *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] ___________________________________________ [] Want to get a link to my TradingPub articles as soon as they post? I’ve got you covered! Telegram is an entirely free messaging app and getting access is as easy as 1… 2… 3… 1. Download Telegram on your mobile device (Before you can add Telegram to your desktop computer, you must download the application on your phone and create your account: To download to your iPhone, [click here](. To download to your Android device, [click here](. After the download is complete, please create an account. NOTE: You can manage your privacy settings by clicking “Settings,” and then “Privacy & Security.” 2. Download Telegram on your desktop: Once you’ve downloaded Telegram onto your mobile device and created your personal account, you can download it onto your desktop computer. To download onto your PC, [click here](. To download onto your MacOS, [click here](. 3. Then add the TradingPub channel and you’re done: [9_jjnFuAvno0MjNh]( See you there! Garrett [] A TradingPub Publication ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from TradingPub LLC are for your informational purposes only. Neither TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [] A TradingPub Publication ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from TradingPub LLC are for your informational purposes only. Neither TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States