Why the ‘Fed Put’ Is Back on the Menu

[] And today’s Daily Chart Setup! To view this email as a web page, go [here.]( To view this email as a web page, go [here.]( [] [] [] [Join Jeffry for “30 Minutes of Awesome” at 5 p.m. ET TODAY — bring your ticker for real-time analysis!]( Why the ‘Fed Put’ Is Back on the Menu [] As I was analyzing the markets this morning, I noticed something very interesting happening under the surface... The options market is starting to price in a potential Fed put again. Let me break this down for you... Dealers — the big market makers — are increasingly short upside calls on the S&P 500. This means they’re hedging against a big move higher. Why would they do that? Well, it seems the market is starting to price in the Fed stepping in to put a floor under stocks if we see a deeper pullback — a Fed put. You see, the market had basically priced out any chance of a recession, with the S&P 500 not really pricing in much downside risk at all. But that dynamic appears to be shifting... Dealers are getting short upside exposure, likely because their customers, retail traders like you and me, are rushing to buy out-of-the-money call options, betting on a breakout to new highs. This "call skew" forming in the options market is a classic sign that the Fed put is back in play. Traders are positioning for the Fed to ride in and save the day if stocks start to tumble. The central bank may feel compelled to step in and prop up markets, just as they've done numerous times in the past. Now, I'm not saying this is a certainty... The market could certainly continue higher without the Fed's help. But the options activity is flashing some warning signs that traders are starting to get a bit too complacent about the upside. When everyone is piling into calls, expecting the Fed to have their back, that's usually when we see a nasty reversal. So I'll be keeping a very close eye on this dynamic in the options market. If the call skew continues to steepen, and dealers remain stubbornly short upside exposure, that could be a sign that a pullback is brewing. The Fed may feel pressure to step in and stop a deeper sell-off, putting a floor under stocks. As always, I'll be ready to adjust my positioning accordingly. I'm not trying to be a perma-bear here — I'm just reading the tea leaves and positioning myself for what the market may have in store. Stay tuned, because this Fed put saga should get very interesting in the weeks and months ahead. Also, don’t forget to join me at 5 p.m. ET TODAY, Aug. 27, for “30 Minutes of Awesome”! I’ll give my current read of the market, and analyze your ticker in real time to close the show! [Just go here!]( [] Jeffry Turnmire Jeffry Turnmire Trading Follow along and join the conversation for real-time analysis, trade ideas, market insights and more! Telegram: [6TdDE7-F6GlhMmJh]( *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is an inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] _______________________________________________ [] CNBC and Fox Business Are Too Busy Talking About These 2… You won’t hear about this from CNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg or Fox Business… They are all too busy talking about these two… And by the time they pick up this story, it could be too late for you. You see, I have undeniable evidence that a market crash could potentially take place within the next two months… A nightmare scenario [I’m calling “America’s Darkest Hour.”]( Where we could see retirement accounts get completely wiped out in a matter of months, if not weeks. And that’s why I’m doing something radically different from virtually any other investing professional out there… I’m abandoning 8,249 of the 8,252 publicly traded stocks… And instead focusing on only three tickers… Why? [You’ll Find This Answer SHOCKING]( [] _______________________________________________ [] Today’s Daily Chart Setup This idea came directly from Jeffry Turnmire’s Daily Chart Setup that automatically signals potential plays. You can find full details on exactly how this works by scrolling down further in this newsletter. Keep in mind that this is for informational and educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk. Morgan Stanley (MS) [] • MS is a new potential entry. Target: 111.74 Stop below: 89.94 • MS has a historical win rate of 84.85% • MS trades last 27 trading days on average over 33 trades since 1993. Always remember that past performance is not indicative of future results — anything can happen in trading! How the Daily Chart Setup Works Here’s a more detailed description of how the pattern triggers: 1. The price breaks upward through the orange Market Roadmap Line. 2. Then the price goes up and down while staying above the line. Eventually, it comes down to touch the line again — this could take days, weeks or even months. 3. Once it touches the line and starts moving back up, that signals an entry. I use Fibonacci levels for for profit targets and stop losses, and these two tools combined have helped me achieve a 77% win rate over the past six-plus years! [You can grab my Market Roadmap Indicator here for just $5]( — less than a cup of coffee at most places! [] _______________________________________________ [] Want to get a link to TradingPub content, trade ideas, real-time market analysis and educational tidbits? We have you covered! Telegram is an entirely free messaging app and getting access is as easy as 1… 2… 3… 1. Download Telegram on your mobile device (Before you can add Telegram to your desktop computer, you must download the application on your phone and create your account: To download to your iPhone, [click here](. To download to your Android device, [click here](. After the download is complete, please create an account. NOTE: You can manage your privacy settings by clicking “Settings,” and then “Privacy & Security.” 2. Download Telegram on your desktop: Once you’ve downloaded Telegram onto your mobile device and created your personal account, you can download it onto your desktop computer. To download onto your PC, [click here](. To download onto your MacOS, [click here](. 3. Then add our channels by clicking these links! • Lance Ippolito: [-gVwEIwGJhplMTgx]( • Graham Lindman: [abM5RWRJKrpkNWI5]( • Roger Scott: [_vmfwkeP8fA5YWQ5]( • Jeffry Turnmire: [6TdDE7-F6GlhMmJh]( See you there! [] _______________________________________________ [] [] [] [Join Jeffry for “30 Minutes of Awesome” at 5 p.m. ET TODAY — bring your ticker for real-time analysis!]( Why the ‘Fed Put’ Is Back on the Menu [] As I was analyzing the markets this morning, I noticed something very interesting happening under the surface... The options market is starting to price in a potential Fed put again. Let me break this down for you... Dealers — the big market makers — are increasingly short upside calls on the S&P 500. This means they’re hedging against a big move higher. Why would they do that? Well, it seems the market is starting to price in the Fed stepping in to put a floor under stocks if we see a deeper pullback — a Fed put. You see, the market had basically priced out any chance of a recession, with the S&P 500 not really pricing in much downside risk at all. But that dynamic appears to be shifting... Dealers are getting short upside exposure, likely because their customers, retail traders like you and me, are rushing to buy out-of-the-money call options, betting on a breakout to new highs. This "call skew" forming in the options market is a classic sign that the Fed put is back in play. Traders are positioning for the Fed to ride in and save the day if stocks start to tumble. The central bank may feel compelled to step in and prop up markets, just as they've done numerous times in the past. Now, I'm not saying this is a certainty... The market could certainly continue higher without the Fed's help. But the options activity is flashing some warning signs that traders are starting to get a bit too complacent about the upside. When everyone is piling into calls, expecting the Fed to have their back, that's usually when we see a nasty reversal. So I'll be keeping a very close eye on this dynamic in the options market. If the call skew continues to steepen, and dealers remain stubbornly short upside exposure, that could be a sign that a pullback is brewing. The Fed may feel pressure to step in and stop a deeper sell-off, putting a floor under stocks. As always, I'll be ready to adjust my positioning accordingly. I'm not trying to be a perma-bear here — I'm just reading the tea leaves and positioning myself for what the market may have in store. Stay tuned, because this Fed put saga should get very interesting in the weeks and months ahead. Also, don’t forget to join me at 5 p.m. ET TODAY, Aug. 27, for “30 Minutes of Awesome”! I’ll give my current read of the market, and analyze your ticker in real time to close the show! [Just go here!]( [] Jeffry Turnmire Jeffry Turnmire Trading Follow along and join the conversation for real-time analysis, trade ideas, market insights and more! Telegram: [6TdDE7-F6GlhMmJh]( *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is an inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] _______________________________________________ [] CNBC and Fox Business Are Too Busy Talking About These 2… You won’t hear about this from CNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg or Fox Business… They are all too busy talking about these two… And by the time they pick up this story, it could be too late for you. You see, I have undeniable evidence that a market crash could potentially take place within the next two months… A nightmare scenario [I’m calling “America’s Darkest Hour.”]( Where we could see retirement accounts get completely wiped out in a matter of months, if not weeks. And that’s why I’m doing something radically different from virtually any other investing professional out there… I’m abandoning 8,249 of the 8,252 publicly traded stocks… And instead focusing on only three tickers… Why? [You’ll Find This Answer SHOCKING]( [] _______________________________________________ [] Today’s Daily Chart Setup This idea came directly from Jeffry Turnmire’s Daily Chart Setup that automatically signals potential plays. You can find full details on exactly how this works by scrolling down further in this newsletter. Keep in mind that this is for informational and educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk. Morgan Stanley (MS) [] - MS is a new potential entry. Target: 111.74 Stop below: 89.94 - MS has a historical win rate of 84.85% - MS trades last 27 trading days on average over 33 trades since 1993. Always remember that past performance is not indicative of future results — anything can happen in trading! How the Daily Chart Setup Works Here’s a more detailed description of how the pattern triggers: 1. The price breaks upward through the orange Market Roadmap Line. 2. Then the price goes up and down while staying above the line. Eventually, it comes down to touch the line again — this could take days, weeks or even months. 3. Once it touches the line and starts moving back up, that signals an entry. I use Fibonacci levels for for profit targets and stop losses, and these two tools combined have helped me achieve a 77% win rate over the past six-plus years! [You can grab my Market Roadmap Indicator here for just $5]( — less than a cup of coffee at most places! [] _______________________________________________ [] Want to get a link to TradingPub content, trade ideas, real-time market analysis and educational tidbits? We have you covered! Telegram is an entirely free messaging app and getting access is as easy as 1… 2… 3… 1. Download Telegram on your mobile device (Before you can add Telegram to your desktop computer, you must download the application on your phone and create your account: To download to your iPhone, [click here](. To download to your Android device, [click here](. After the download is complete, please create an account. NOTE: You can manage your privacy settings by clicking “Settings,” and then “Privacy & Security.” 2. Download Telegram on your desktop: Once you’ve downloaded Telegram onto your mobile device and created your personal account, you can download it onto your desktop computer. To download onto your PC, [click here](. To download onto your MacOS, [click here](. 3. Then add our channels by clicking these links! - Lance Ippolito: [-gVwEIwGJhplMTgx]( - Graham Lindman: [abM5RWRJKrpkNWI5]( - Roger Scott: [_vmfwkeP8fA5YWQ5]( - Jeffry Turnmire: [6TdDE7-F6GlhMmJh]( See you there! [] _______________________________________________ [] Disclaimer: The material in this document is for informational purposes based on our proprietary research. It is not an offering, specific recommendation, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned or discussed herein. Any performance results discussed herein represent past performance, are not a guarantee of future performance, and are not indicative of any specific investment. Due to the timing of information presented, any investment performance reflected within this document may be adjusted after the publication and distribution of this material. There can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, or product made reference to directly or indirectly in this communication will be profitable, be equal to any corresponding indicated historical performance levels or be suitable for your portfolio. Any investment results set forth in this document are not net of expenses and execution costs, nor do they account for other relevant trading or investment fees. Please visit thetradingpub.com/terms-of-service/ for our full Terms and Conditions. A TradingPub Publication ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from TradingPub LLC are for your informational purposes only. Neither TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [] Disclaimer: The material in this document is for informational purposes based on our proprietary research. It is not an offering, specific recommendation, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned or discussed herein. Any performance results discussed herein represent past performance, are not a guarantee of future performance, and are not indicative of any specific investment. Due to the timing of information presented, any investment performance reflected within this document may be adjusted after the publication and distribution of this material. There can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, or product made reference to directly or indirectly in this communication will be profitable, be equal to any corresponding indicated historical performance levels or be suitable for your portfolio. Any investment results set forth in this document are not net of expenses and execution costs, nor do they account for other relevant trading or investment fees. Please visit thetradingpub.com/terms-of-service/ for our full Terms and Conditions. A TradingPub Publication ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from TradingPub LLC are for your informational purposes only. Neither TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States