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The BIG Red Flag in the Current Market

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thetradingpub.com

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TradingPub@j.TheTradingPub.com

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Mon, Aug 12, 2024 04:26 PM

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To view this email as a web page, go The BIG Red Flag in the Current Market On the other hand, specu

[] Today's market commentary from TradingPub is here! And why we must be extra careful with longs To view this email as a web page, go [here.]( To view this email as a web page, go [here.]( [] [] [] [Join Roger and Nate at 1 p.m. ET TODAY for no-hold-barred demonstration of a setup that SHINES in a volatile market like we should see this week!]( The BIG Red Flag in the Current Market [] When you're navigating the markets, it's crucial to understand the difference between a downtrend and a simple pullback. And right now, that distinction is more important than ever. Let's take a look at what’s happening across various sectors. The defensive sectors — Utilities, Health Care and Consumer Staples — are holding up relatively well. They’ve seen minimal pullbacks and are in a position to bounce back easily. These sectors don’t have much ground to cover to hit new highs. This is a sign that they’ve maintained their uptrends, which is expected since these sectors usually perform well when the broader market is shaky. [] On the other hand, speculative sectors like Technology (QQQ) and Semiconductors (SMH) are in a much different situation... They’ve taken significant hits, and the charts clearly show a broken uptrend, and this is why I’m so fearful of the current market. [] The NASDAQ (QQQ) and semiconductors, for example, have steep hills to climb just to get back to where they were. I’m talking about clearing major resistance levels like the VWAP, the 50- and 100-day moving averages — and that’s no small feat. This is a big red flag and why I’m staying cautious. While the defensive sectors could easily recover, the speculative sectors have much more work to do. If we see a reversal in these speculative areas, it’s going to take a lot of momentum to get them back on track. The market needs to prove itself before I get bullish again. Until we see substantial movement above those critical resistance levels, I’m treating this as a downtrend and holding onto my short positions. Look at semiconductors, for instance. [] To get back to where they were, they need to rally significantly, overcoming several layers of resistance. Compare that with the likes of utilities or Health Care, and they don't face the same uphill battle. They could resume their uptrend with just a slight push, while semiconductors are staring at a mountain. This stark contrast between the defensive and speculative sectors is a major red flag. It’s a clear signal that the market’s broader uptrend might be broken, and that’s not something to take lightly. The steep declines we’ve seen in the speculative sectors are significant. They’re not just minor dips — they’re structural breaks in the trend. So, what does all this mean? It means we need to be careful. Don’t get overly excited about a few green days or minor rallies. Until we see the speculative sectors reclaim their lost ground in a meaningful way, the risk of further downside is real. Stay alert, keep your positions tight, and don’t get caught up in the hype. Remember, the market has a steep hill to climb, and it’s not clear yet if it has the energy to make it to the top. While the market is figuring out its next move, I’m trading gaps. If you want to see exactly how I do it, I’ll be live at 1 p.m. ET for a very special class…. [Just go here to join me!]( [] Roger Scott Roger Scott Trading Follow along and join the conversation for real-time analysis, trade ideas, market insights and more! Telegram: [_vmfwkeP8fA5YWQ5]( *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is an inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] _______________________________________________ [] Get Ready for the Coming Volatility… I can’t wait to show everyone the inner workings of the “Gap to Recovery” setup with Nate Tucci, LIVE at 1 p.m. ET TODAY, Aug. 12. [You can join us here!]( This will be a fun, informative, no-holds-barred demonstration of a setup that absolutely SHINES in a volatile market. I know a lot of traders start to sweat when they say crazy swings in the chart… But me? I love ’em! When there’s a big tug of war between bulls and bears… I’m like a kid in a candy store because there’s a new way to trade that’s ONLY possible with falling stocks… A way that Nate and I would love to share with you later today. Plus, we’re going to reveal the No. 1 asset we have our eyes on right now. If that sounds interesting to you… [Join Us By 1 p.m. ET SHARP]( [] The profits and performance shown are not typical, we make no future earnings claims, and you may lose money. Between 10/2023 and 8/2024 the average LIVE trade return (winners and losers included) is 49.8% per trade in a 5 day hold time with a 73.5% win rate and an average winner of 97%. [] _______________________________________________ [] Today's Daily Chart Setup This idea came directly from Jeffry Turmmire’s Daily Chart Setup that automatically signals potential plays. You can find full details on exactly how this works down below. Keep in mind, this is for informational and educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk. Eli Lilly (LLY) [] • LLY is a new potential entry. Target: 997.75 Stop below: 746.55. • LLY has a historical win rate of 71.7%. • LLY trades last 51 trading days on average over 53 trades since 1970. Catch Jeffry’s newsletter each weekday to get these setups before the market open! How the Daily Chart Setup Works Here’s a more detailed description of how the pattern triggers: The price breaks upward through the orange Market Roadmap Line. Then the price goes up and down while staying above the line. Eventually, it comes down to touch the line again — this could take days, weeks or even months. Once it touches the line and starts moving back up, that signals an entry. I use Fibonacci levels for for profit targets and stop losses, and these two tools combined have helped me achieve a 77% win rate over the past six-plus years! [You can grab my Market Roadmap Indicator here for just $5]( — less than a cup of coffee at most places! [] Want to get a link to TradingPub content, trade ideas, real-time market analysis and educational tidbits? We have you covered! Telegram is an entirely free messaging app and getting access is as easy as 1… 2… 3… 1. Download Telegram on your mobile device (Before you can add Telegram to your desktop computer, you must download the application on your phone and create your account: To download to your iPhone, [click here](. To download to your Android device, [click here](. After the download is complete, please create an account. NOTE: You can manage your privacy settings by clicking “Settings,” and then “Privacy & Security.” 2. Download Telegram on your desktop: Once you’ve downloaded Telegram onto your mobile device and created your personal account, you can download it onto your desktop computer. To download onto your PC, [click here](. To download onto your MacOS, [click here](. 3. Then add our channels by clicking these links! • Lance Ippolito: [-gVwEIwGJhplMTgx]( • Graham Lindman: [abM5RWRJKrpkNWI5]( • Roger Scott: [_vmfwkeP8fA5YWQ5]( • Jeffry Turnmire: [6TdDE7-F6GlhMmJh]( See you there! [] _______________________________________________ [] [] [] [Join Roger and Nate at 1 p.m. ET TODAY for no-hold-barred demonstration of a setup that SHINES in a volatile market like we should see this week!]( The BIG Red Flag in the Current Market [] When you're navigating the markets, it's crucial to understand the difference between a downtrend and a simple pullback. And right now, that distinction is more important than ever. Let's take a look at what’s happening across various sectors. The defensive sectors — Utilities, Health Care and Consumer Staples — are holding up relatively well. They’ve seen minimal pullbacks and are in a position to bounce back easily. These sectors don’t have much ground to cover to hit new highs. This is a sign that they’ve maintained their uptrends, which is expected since these sectors usually perform well when the broader market is shaky. [] On the other hand, speculative sectors like Technology (QQQ) and Semiconductors (SMH) are in a much different situation... They’ve taken significant hits, and the charts clearly show a broken uptrend, and this is why I’m so fearful of the current market. [] The NASDAQ (QQQ) and semiconductors, for example, have steep hills to climb just to get back to where they were. I’m talking about clearing major resistance levels like the VWAP, the 50- and 100-day moving averages — and that’s no small feat. This is a big red flag and why I’m staying cautious. While the defensive sectors could easily recover, the speculative sectors have much more work to do. If we see a reversal in these speculative areas, it’s going to take a lot of momentum to get them back on track. The market needs to prove itself before I get bullish again. Until we see substantial movement above those critical resistance levels, I’m treating this as a downtrend and holding onto my short positions. Look at semiconductors, for instance. [] To get back to where they were, they need to rally significantly, overcoming several layers of resistance. Compare that with the likes of utilities or Health Care, and they don't face the same uphill battle. They could resume their uptrend with just a slight push, while semiconductors are staring at a mountain. This stark contrast between the defensive and speculative sectors is a major red flag. It’s a clear signal that the market’s broader uptrend might be broken, and that’s not something to take lightly. The steep declines we’ve seen in the speculative sectors are significant. They’re not just minor dips — they’re structural breaks in the trend. So, what does all this mean? It means we need to be careful. Don’t get overly excited about a few green days or minor rallies. Until we see the speculative sectors reclaim their lost ground in a meaningful way, the risk of further downside is real. Stay alert, keep your positions tight, and don’t get caught up in the hype. Remember, the market has a steep hill to climb, and it’s not clear yet if it has the energy to make it to the top. While the market is figuring out its next move, I’m trading gaps. If you want to see exactly how I do it, I’ll be live at 1 p.m. ET for a very special class…. [Just go here to join me!]( [] Roger Scott Roger Scott Trading Follow along and join the conversation for real-time analysis, trade ideas, market insights and more! Telegram: [_vmfwkeP8fA5YWQ5]( *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is an inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] _______________________________________________ [] Get Ready for the Coming Volatility… I can’t wait to show everyone the inner workings of the “Gap to Recovery” setup with Nate Tucci, LIVE at 1 p.m. ET TODAY, Aug. 12. [You can join us here!]( This will be a fun, informative, no-holds-barred demonstration of a setup that absolutely SHINES in a volatile market. I know a lot of traders start to sweat when they say crazy swings in the chart… But me? I love ’em! When there’s a big tug of war between bulls and bears… I’m like a kid in a candy store because there’s a new way to trade that’s ONLY possible with falling stocks… A way that Nate and I would love to share with you later today. Plus, we’re going to reveal the No. 1 asset we have our eyes on right now. If that sounds interesting to you… [Join Us By 1 p.m. ET SHARP]( [] The profits and performance shown are not typical, we make no future earnings claims, and you may lose money. Between 10/2023 and 8/2024 the average LIVE trade return (winners and losers included) is 49.8% per trade in a 5 day hold time with a 73.5% win rate and an average winner of 97%. [] _______________________________________________ [] Today's Daily Chart Setup This idea came directly from Jeffry Turmmire’s Daily Chart Setup that automatically signals potential plays. You can find full details on exactly how this works down below. Keep in mind, this is for informational and educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk. Eli Lilly (LLY) [] - LLY is a new potential entry. Target: 997.75 Stop below: 746.55. - LLY has a historical win rate of 71.7%. - LLY trades last 51 trading days on average over 53 trades since 1970. Catch Jeffry’s newsletter each weekday to get these setups before the market open! How the Daily Chart Setup Works Here’s a more detailed description of how the pattern triggers: The price breaks upward through the orange Market Roadmap Line. Then the price goes up and down while staying above the line. Eventually, it comes down to touch the line again — this could take days, weeks or even months. Once it touches the line and starts moving back up, that signals an entry. I use Fibonacci levels for for profit targets and stop losses, and these two tools combined have helped me achieve a 77% win rate over the past six-plus years! [You can grab my Market Roadmap Indicator here for just $5]( — less than a cup of coffee at most places! [] Want to get a link to TradingPub content, trade ideas, real-time market analysis and educational tidbits? We have you covered! Telegram is an entirely free messaging app and getting access is as easy as 1… 2… 3… 1. Download Telegram on your mobile device (Before you can add Telegram to your desktop computer, you must download the application on your phone and create your account: To download to your iPhone, [click here](. To download to your Android device, [click here](. After the download is complete, please create an account. NOTE: You can manage your privacy settings by clicking “Settings,” and then “Privacy & Security.” 2. Download Telegram on your desktop: Once you’ve downloaded Telegram onto your mobile device and created your personal account, you can download it onto your desktop computer. To download onto your PC, [click here](. To download onto your MacOS, [click here](. 3. Then add our channels by clicking these links! - Lance Ippolito: [-gVwEIwGJhplMTgx]( - Graham Lindman: [abM5RWRJKrpkNWI5]( - Roger Scott: [_vmfwkeP8fA5YWQ5]( - Jeffry Turnmire: [6TdDE7-F6GlhMmJh]( See you there! [] _______________________________________________ [] Disclaimer: The material in this document is for informational purposes based on our proprietary research. It is not an offering, specific recommendation, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned or discussed herein. Any performance results discussed herein represent past performance, are not a guarantee of future performance, and are not indicative of any specific investment. Due to the timing of information presented, any investment performance reflected within this document may be adjusted after the publication and distribution of this material. There can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, or product made reference to directly or indirectly in this communication will be profitable, be equal to any corresponding indicated historical performance levels or be suitable for your portfolio. Any investment results set forth in this document are not net of expenses and execution costs, nor do they account for other relevant trading or investment fees. Please visit thetradingpub.com/terms-of-service/ for our full Terms and Conditions. A TradingPub Publication ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from TradingPub LLC are for your informational purposes only. Neither TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [] Disclaimer: The material in this document is for informational purposes based on our proprietary research. It is not an offering, specific recommendation, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned or discussed herein. Any performance results discussed herein represent past performance, are not a guarantee of future performance, and are not indicative of any specific investment. Due to the timing of information presented, any investment performance reflected within this document may be adjusted after the publication and distribution of this material. There can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, or product made reference to directly or indirectly in this communication will be profitable, be equal to any corresponding indicated historical performance levels or be suitable for your portfolio. Any investment results set forth in this document are not net of expenses and execution costs, nor do they account for other relevant trading or investment fees. Please visit thetradingpub.com/terms-of-service/ for our full Terms and Conditions. A TradingPub Publication ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from TradingPub LLC are for your informational purposes only. Neither TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States

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