Are We Ignoring the Tsunami? Recognizing the Major Warning Signs in Today's Market

[] Today's market commentary from TradingPub is here! To view this email as a web page, go [here.]( To view this email as a web page, go [here.]( [] [] [] Join Jeffry for “30 Minutes of Awesome,” LIVE at 5 p.m. ET TODAY — [bring your ticker for him to analyze and let’s have some fun!]( Are We Ignoring the Tsunami? Recognizing the Major Warning Signs in Today's Market [] Are we riding the waves higher and ignoring a potential tsunami that could crush the market? Potentially, the U.S. has been in a recession for a few years now. Let me explain… Back in the summer of 2021, I pointed out that we had two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth, which traditionally signals a recession. But instead of acknowledging it, they adjusted the numbers to avoid that label. This concerns me deeply, as I’ve been talking about the possibility of staring down a depression. The signs are piling up, and it really scares me. I came across an article that summarized these concerns well. An analyst I respect, Avi Gilbert — a guy who doesn’t throw out trades but provides solid analysis — recently wrote a piece comparing the current market to late 2019 and early 2020. Back then, we kept grinding higher despite poor chart patterns. The same thing is happening now. Even though we’re hitting new highs, the chart patterns don’t look good. Remember early 2020? The market needed that pullback, and I was already positioned for a drop before the COVID-19 story became the dominant narrative. I was ready for a downturn because of the chart patterns, not because of the news. That’s why some of my trades didn’t make sense to others — they didn’t see what I saw in the charts. Only a third of what I made during the COVID drop was directly related to the pandemic… The rest was due to my positioning based on market signals. Trading the VIX, for instance, paid off because the market drop looked imminent to me regardless of the cause. This brings me to a crucial piece of trading wisdom from Jesse Livermore, one of the pioneers of day trading from about 100 years ago. He never made the big money by being right... He did it through being patient when he was right that made him rich. I’ve been very patient with crypto, despite the rocky events of the past week. You have to give your trades enough rope, but also know when you’re wrong. Patience in trading is vital, but so is recognizing and admitting mistakes quickly. Let's look at some economic indicators. The nonfarm payrolls keep rising, but employment levels have leveled off. This discrepancy is concerning. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, new manufacturing orders are declining when adjusted for inflation, despite claims of big order volumes. Similarly, retail sales are nominally high, but the inflation-adjusted figures show a decline. These are red flags. The unemployment numbers also don’t paint a complete picture, as they don’t account for homeless people. And let's talk about the Consumer Price Index inflation data... The official CPI shows lower inflation, but if we use the pre-1983 methodology — before they started removing essential expenses — we’d see a much higher inflation rate, almost 20% at its peak. This discrepancy is BIG because many international forex traders watch U.S. food prices as an indicator of real inflation and economic health. Food prices have increased dramatically, by 30% to 50% percent in recent years. Let me share a personal anecdote... My wife Kimberly and I took a friend to a favorite burger spot, Abridged Beer Company, on a Saturday night. It was a cool evening, perfect weather. And here we are! [] But aside from our big table, the place was almost empty, which was shocking. Typically, there’s a wait for tables, but not this time. People just can’t afford to go out anymore. This is scary stuff — it feels like the economy is about to break. This is why we need to be extremely cautious. The market continues to climb, but the underlying indicators suggest trouble ahead. Be ready to exit positions when the market signals a downturn. It's not about being right all the time… It’s about being prepared and knowing when to act. Finally, stay vigilant. The signs are there, and they’re concerning. Don’t get caught off guard. Keep an eye on the economic indicators, and be ready to make moves when necessary. Remember, it’s your money — no one cares about it more than you do. Stay safe and be careful out there. [Be sure to join me LIVE for “30 Minutes of Awesome,”]( starting now! [] Jeffry Turnmire Jeffry Turnmire Trading Be sure to join me live at 9:15 a.m. ET each weekday for “Morning Monster,” my market-open livestream on YouTube, and again at 5 p.m. ET on Tuesdays for “30 Minutes of Awesome” — bring your ticker and I’ll analyze it in real time! [Please hit that Subscribe button on my YouTube page!]( *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is an inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] _______________________________________________ [] What Wall Street Was Doing While People Were Worried About the Debate While many people were focused on that dud of a debate a couple of weeks ago… [] Wall Street was busy making behind the scenes moves, and almost no one is talking about it… No one except Graham Lindman! [Wall Street is busy injecting cash infusions into stocks as fast as they can]( just before the closing bell each day… And that’s good news for ordinary folks… Because it opens the door for targeting what could be double- and triple-digit moves on stocks in just 24 hours. Just like anyone could have done with Wells Fargo… Back in April, Wells Fargo fell flat on its earnings report and the stock was stuck in the mud for WEEKS! [] For most folks… that’s a clear red flag… But anyone who knew about Wall Street’s cash infusions could have placed a quick trade and come back to… [] A nice 85% gain 24 hours later! Granted, there were smaller wins and those that did not work out and Graham cannot promise future profits or shield against losses… But he does have his eye on three stocks… and it looks like Wall Street could be injecting them with cash infusions right now. If you’d like to see the names of these stocks as well as how Graham’s leveraging them during these cash infusions... [Just Go Here!]( [] *The profits and performance shown are not typical, we make no future earnings claims, and you may lose money. The trades expressed are from historical data in order to demonstrate the potential of the system. [] _______________________________________________ [] Want to get a link to TradingPub content, trade ideas, real-time market analysis and educational tidbits? We have you covered! Telegram is an entirely free messaging app and getting access is as easy as 1… 2… 3… 1. Download Telegram on your mobile device (Before you can add Telegram to your desktop computer, you must download the application on your phone and create your account: To download to your iPhone, [click here](. To download to your Android device, [click here](. After the download is complete, please create an account. NOTE: You can manage your privacy settings by clicking “Settings,” and then “Privacy & Security.” 2. Download Telegram on your desktop: Once you’ve downloaded Telegram onto your mobile device and created your personal account, you can download it onto your desktop computer. To download onto your PC, [click here](. To download onto your MacOS, [click here](. 3. Then add our channels by clicking these links! • Lance Ippolito: [-gVwEIwGJhplMTgx]( • Graham Lindman: [abM5RWRJKrpkNWI5]( • Roger Scott: [_vmfwkeP8fA5YWQ5]( See you there! [] _______________________________________________ [] [] [] Join Jeffry for “30 Minutes of Awesome,” LIVE at 5 p.m. ET TODAY — [bring your ticker for him to analyze and let’s have some fun!]( Are We Ignoring the Tsunami? Recognizing the Major Warning Signs in Today's Market [] Are we riding the waves higher and ignoring a potential tsunami that could crush the market? Potentially, the U.S. has been in a recession for a few years now. Let me explain… Back in the summer of 2021, I pointed out that we had two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth, which traditionally signals a recession. But instead of acknowledging it, they adjusted the numbers to avoid that label. This concerns me deeply, as I’ve been talking about the possibility of staring down a depression. The signs are piling up, and it really scares me. I came across an article that summarized these concerns well. An analyst I respect, Avi Gilbert — a guy who doesn’t throw out trades but provides solid analysis — recently wrote a piece comparing the current market to late 2019 and early 2020. Back then, we kept grinding higher despite poor chart patterns. The same thing is happening now. Even though we’re hitting new highs, the chart patterns don’t look good. Remember early 2020? The market needed that pullback, and I was already positioned for a drop before the COVID-19 story became the dominant narrative. I was ready for a downturn because of the chart patterns, not because of the news. That’s why some of my trades didn’t make sense to others — they didn’t see what I saw in the charts. Only a third of what I made during the COVID drop was directly related to the pandemic… The rest was due to my positioning based on market signals. Trading the VIX, for instance, paid off because the market drop looked imminent to me regardless of the cause. This brings me to a crucial piece of trading wisdom from Jesse Livermore, one of the pioneers of day trading from about 100 years ago. He never made the big money by being right... He did it through being patient when he was right that made him rich. I’ve been very patient with crypto, despite the rocky events of the past week. You have to give your trades enough rope, but also know when you’re wrong. Patience in trading is vital, but so is recognizing and admitting mistakes quickly. Let's look at some economic indicators. The nonfarm payrolls keep rising, but employment levels have leveled off. This discrepancy is concerning. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, new manufacturing orders are declining when adjusted for inflation, despite claims of big order volumes. Similarly, retail sales are nominally high, but the inflation-adjusted figures show a decline. These are red flags. The unemployment numbers also don’t paint a complete picture, as they don’t account for homeless people. And let's talk about the Consumer Price Index inflation data... The official CPI shows lower inflation, but if we use the pre-1983 methodology — before they started removing essential expenses — we’d see a much higher inflation rate, almost 20% at its peak. This discrepancy is BIG because many international forex traders watch U.S. food prices as an indicator of real inflation and economic health. Food prices have increased dramatically, by 30% to 50% percent in recent years. Let me share a personal anecdote... My wife Kimberly and I took a friend to a favorite burger spot, Abridged Beer Company, on a Saturday night. It was a cool evening, perfect weather. And here we are! [] But aside from our big table, the place was almost empty, which was shocking. Typically, there’s a wait for tables, but not this time. People just can’t afford to go out anymore. This is scary stuff — it feels like the economy is about to break. This is why we need to be extremely cautious. The market continues to climb, but the underlying indicators suggest trouble ahead. Be ready to exit positions when the market signals a downturn. It's not about being right all the time… It’s about being prepared and knowing when to act. Finally, stay vigilant. The signs are there, and they’re concerning. Don’t get caught off guard. Keep an eye on the economic indicators, and be ready to make moves when necessary. Remember, it’s your money — no one cares about it more than you do. Stay safe and be careful out there. [Be sure to join me LIVE for “30 Minutes of Awesome,”]( starting now! [] Jeffry Turnmire Jeffry Turnmire Trading Be sure to join me live at 9:15 a.m. ET each weekday for “Morning Monster,” my market-open livestream on YouTube, and again at 5 p.m. ET on Tuesdays for “30 Minutes of Awesome” — bring your ticker and I’ll analyze it in real time! [Please hit that Subscribe button on my YouTube page!]( *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is an inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] _______________________________________________ [] What Wall Street Was Doing While People Were Worried About the Debate While many people were focused on that dud of a debate a couple of weeks ago… [] Wall Street was busy making behind the scenes moves, and almost no one is talking about it… No one except Graham Lindman! [Wall Street is busy injecting cash infusions into stocks as fast as they can]( just before the closing bell each day… And that’s good news for ordinary folks… Because it opens the door for targeting what could be double- and triple-digit moves on stocks in just 24 hours. Just like anyone could have done with Wells Fargo… Back in April, Wells Fargo fell flat on its earnings report and the stock was stuck in the mud for WEEKS! [] For most folks… that’s a clear red flag… But anyone who knew about Wall Street’s cash infusions could have placed a quick trade and come back to… [] A nice 85% gain 24 hours later! Granted, there were smaller wins and those that did not work out and Graham cannot promise future profits or shield against losses… But he does have his eye on three stocks… and it looks like Wall Street could be injecting them with cash infusions right now. If you’d like to see the names of these stocks as well as how Graham’s leveraging them during these cash infusions... [Just Go Here!]( [] *The profits and performance shown are not typical, we make no future earnings claims, and you may lose money. The trades expressed are from historical data in order to demonstrate the potential of the system. [] _______________________________________________ [] Want to get a link to TradingPub content, trade ideas, real-time market analysis and educational tidbits? We have you covered! Telegram is an entirely free messaging app and getting access is as easy as 1… 2… 3… 1. Download Telegram on your mobile device (Before you can add Telegram to your desktop computer, you must download the application on your phone and create your account: To download to your iPhone, [click here](. To download to your Android device, [click here](. After the download is complete, please create an account. NOTE: You can manage your privacy settings by clicking “Settings,” and then “Privacy & Security.” 2. Download Telegram on your desktop: Once you’ve downloaded Telegram onto your mobile device and created your personal account, you can download it onto your desktop computer. To download onto your PC, [click here](. To download onto your MacOS, [click here](. 3. Then add our channels by clicking these links! - Lance Ippolito: [-gVwEIwGJhplMTgx]( - Graham Lindman: [abM5RWRJKrpkNWI5]( - Roger Scott: [_vmfwkeP8fA5YWQ5]( See you there! [] _______________________________________________ [] Disclaimer: The material in this document is for informational purposes based on our proprietary research. It is not an offering, specific recommendation, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned or discussed herein. Any performance results discussed herein represent past performance, are not a guarantee of future performance, and are not indicative of any specific investment. Due to the timing of information presented, any investment performance reflected within this document may be adjusted after the publication and distribution of this material. There can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, or product made reference to directly or indirectly in this communication will be profitable, be equal to any corresponding indicated historical performance levels or be suitable for your portfolio. Any investment results set forth in this document are not net of expenses and execution costs, nor do they account for other relevant trading or investment fees. Please visit thetradingpub.com/terms-of-service/ for our full Terms and Conditions. A TradingPub Publication ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from TradingPub LLC are for your informational purposes only. Neither TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [] Disclaimer: The material in this document is for informational purposes based on our proprietary research. It is not an offering, specific recommendation, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned or discussed herein. Any performance results discussed herein represent past performance, are not a guarantee of future performance, and are not indicative of any specific investment. Due to the timing of information presented, any investment performance reflected within this document may be adjusted after the publication and distribution of this material. There can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, or product made reference to directly or indirectly in this communication will be profitable, be equal to any corresponding indicated historical performance levels or be suitable for your portfolio. Any investment results set forth in this document are not net of expenses and execution costs, nor do they account for other relevant trading or investment fees. Please visit thetradingpub.com/terms-of-service/ for our full Terms and Conditions. A TradingPub Publication ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from TradingPub LLC are for your informational purposes only. Neither TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States