Trump or Harris: Where’s the Best Bet?

August 05, 2024 | [Read Online]( Polling Expert Suddenly Changes His Mind About the Political Candidates “The promise of the American Dream requires that we are all provided an equal opportunity to participate in and contribute to our nation.” —Charles B. Rangel On Tuesday, Polling Expert Nate Silver unveiled his inaugural election model following VP Kamala Harris's ascension to the top Democrat spot. Initially, he projected Harris would capture the popular vote but trailed Trump in the crucial Electoral College arena, labeling her "a modest underdog". This setup raised concerns among Dems regarding another potential repeat of the devastating popular-vote-to-electoral-college splits witnessed during the 2000 and 2016 contests - both losses for the party. As per Silver, Harris stands stronger today versus then-incumbent-challenger President Biden. Silver dramatically shifted gears just before the weekend by pronouncing the contest a dead heat: "the presidential election is a toss-up". This stark contrast marks a significant departure from earlier predictions favoring Trump. Recalling past models, Silver reflected upon launching the initial presidential framework last month when Biden held court as Dem standard-bearer: "When we launched the presidential model on June 26 — in the lifetime ago when Joe Biden was the Democratic nominee — the headline in the post that introduced the model was that the election wasn’t a toss-up. Instead, Biden had persistently been behind in the states that were most likely to decide the Electoral College, enough so that he was about a 2:1 underdog in the election despite the uncertainties in the race. His situation wasn’t unrecoverable, or at least it wasn’t until the debate.” However, given the current circumstances surrounding 'Kamala-mode', Silver opined that there is no clear winner. Harris is much more capable of beating Trump than Biden, but “I wouldn’t blame you if you wanted to bet either on Harris or on Trump.” Advertisement Just this month, she expressed sympathy for pro-Hamas protestors! ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ Friend, if you thought Kamala Harris would be better for Israel than Joe Biden, think again. She would be an absolute disaster for Israel. Just this month, she expressed sympathy for pro-Hamas protestors! [Kamala is an utter disgrace, Friend, and we can’t let her get any closer to the Presidency.]( [STOP KAMALA HARRIS]( We must do whatever we can to defeat this anti-Israel candidate who sympathizes with Jew haters. [Will you commit to helping us ensure that Kamala Harris’ political career is over and we elect President Donald J. Trump this November?]( We are counting on you, Friend. Republican Jewish Coalition --------------------------------------------------------------- [Show Your Support for Israel Claim Your Sticker]( America’s greatest ally needs YOU. As Americans, we lived through the horrors of 9/11 and during that trying time, our Israeli friends stood shoulder to shoulder with us in our war on terror. Right now is Israel’s 9/11, and they need our unwavering and steadfast support. 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